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Dominic Cummings …

What a nasty opportunistic individual with his skewed vision and nail scratching desire to be somehow kept in the news cycle. He’s bitter to the extreme and hurtful to others – whats new – this is Dom Cummings! It is his nature to be so, to ‘have the angle’ no-one else can see, to dismember to turn upside down. Reminds me of very clever sixth formers trying to impress the girls, lots of noise and ‘cleverness’ but in the end of little value.

I think we often get the face we deserve and Cummings bears this out, is most unattractive. In simple terms ‘he has a screw loose’ if not several … always able to promulgate ideas as if known in depth, the glib glibber, but I wonder at his real depth, perhaps just a clever bod, arguamentative and ‘on the make’. He’s been too close to power to let go of it now and in fact wielded far too much influence and policy as unelected and the close advisor of Boris. Why did Boris allow him so much influence, to suffer and encourage him ?

Dom the clever sixth former impressing all around with his desire to be known as the cleverest man in the room, trashing all established norms, de-rating everyone and everything in sight. Again, I find him repulsive, I’m glad I never knew him. It seems so out of character of him for to now be so concerned at loss of life, in his day to day dealings with people his manner is dire, he certainly cares nothing for their feelings. Many if not all in the Commons must dread his presence.

We remember them sadly but looking at the death toll remember that many that died were old people, already so vulnerable, but this is reality, crap happens and must be realised when looking at the numbers; we cannot cheat the effects of age or the weakened old state we will all enter, whether birds animals or humans.

It was hearing Dom Cummings on radio that really made me so sceptical of this desire to pour out all the minutae from fifteen months ago, obviously it was in some ways a different world then, we muddled through, what else can be expected. All I needed to know was in his to my ears a painful delivery, the phoney concerns, the pauses, all telling us so very much more than he realises. He’s clever alright, tricky, an ace manouverer. Pre-Machiavellian or post-Machiavellian take your choice, but in my minds eye I see as if Dickens at his darkest, Mr Cummings stalking the dorm with cane in hand all too ready to inflict pain.

Dom Cummings in his dire outpourings today has capitalised on hindsight to a ridiculous degree. Yes mistakes and a lethargic response created problems and the PPE shortage really should not have happened but considering we were asked to conform to and accept totally new concepts with constricting lockdowns, its my opinion we did okay, outside of war this was as dire a sea change one could imagine, no bombs dropped, we were generally still okay and infinitely lucky as compared to war. Everyone in this country and in Government were being asked to accept completely and with total adherence a totally different way of spending our days. My heart bleeds for all those small businesses, self employed, those on the fuzzy margins, all the struggling black economy workers, the lonely and infirm during all this. The analogy of ‘at war’ is sometimes drawn into the arguament with covid, but goodness me being at war was full of mistakes and errors, yet somehow in an ad hoc fashion we muddled on in a muddy messy muddle. Things have to be done, decisions made, we move forward each day. Ask my grandfather, on a minesweeper in the English Channel with hundreds of evacuees from Dunkirk then to be hit by ‘friendly fire’ and only three survived, swam to France.

I often had the feeling with Matt Hancock his hands were tied, too many to appease, there was a back story we were not allowed to hear; of course there was, its called democratic input and a Cabinet of high stressed colleagues that somehow need to be melded into agreement and with bevys of scientists and modellers adding their data, noise, and opinion. I remember that the 2001 foot and mouth was handled badly, way too much pain and suffering heaped onto both animals and farmers and as if the gold standard 100% credible report from the Duke of Northumberland in 1968 was totally ignored, modellers this time got ahead of themselves and as far as i can see inflicted misery. As the Duke and all practical farmers realised bury local and in quick lime, no transportation, no need for contiguous cull, no ridiculous inefficient pyres. Mr Ferguson! But also we must realise the EU controlled our response during that 2001 foot and mouth, its a blessing and a tragedy avoided with covid yr 2020 we were free of EU control.

A major PR disaster was the term ‘herd immunity’ that was freely aired at the first few weeks of covid here in the UK; yes I can see its meaning but it sounded bad. I was also very sceptical of input from Prof Ferguson, as I remembered him from the foot and mouth cock-up twenty years ago. Maybe I’m wrong, I’ll have to read further.

The biggest disgrace and being led along the garden path during this covid 19 outbreak was the Dido Harding track and trace fiasco; we are talking literally billions of pounds, where the heck did it all go, there certainly needs to be an enquiry. After the tiscali foul-up during her tenure I would have thought she must be kept from any systems and software! When we read ‘billions were pumped into it’ … then where the heck did the money go ?

okay, more to follow perhaps …

E&OE entertainment purposes only, no harm intended, climate-change-briefing.com 2021

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A valuable link …

… re climate change, arctic ice loss and ice thinning.

Arctic sea ice’s dramatic transformation revealed through 42 years of satellite data – ABC News

You have to realise thinning can occur from underside as well as from the top. The former I’m guessing will be the downfall of the Antarctic ice shelves as they are levered away from the parent body, its a different set-up down south so to speak.

The action is in the Arctic as we read in the above, the highest and lowest extremes in Siberia at one same location has now set new records and sat imagery shows the depletion and the near non-existance of multi-year ice. You can add my tears to the ever increasing sea level.

Arctic News (arctic-news.blogspot.com) is also a valuable read. Locations such as the shallow Laptev Sea are forever burnt into my mind. I’ve a £1k wager with friend Gary who is a little sceptical of the severity of my forecast that if we have not reached 3deg C or above by end of 2026 then I will hand him £1k cash, no quibble. I don’t want it to be so but we must all realise the severity of what is happening with multiple feedback loops, all self and mutually reinforcing to greater and higher levels, its a lethal chemistry set we should never have set in motion, as if all the ingredients are present and its one big joke to see how we exploit, extract and set in motion the inevitable. If only we could have lived as in a Biblical simplicity.

There are so many factors and components and values feeding into the active equation that is planetary science, remember our space on this spinning ball of eight inches diameter scales at one thousandth of an inch ie 0.001in equivilant to a cigarette paper licked and placed on a childs eight inch toy ball.

There is nothing we do re carbon emission that will take any effect inside of a decade, the latest scares and truths in fact are many, loss of the aerosol masking effect, arctic methane, loss of high altitude cloud cover, and my own pet hobby horse of (near never reported) of the loss of the oceanic plankton particularly diatoms, quite ironic as it is ancient diatoms that form the basis for 70% of the worlds oil and gas supplies.

Arch clown, otherwise now realised to be a ‘stand-up president’ as in comedian namely trump should be tried at The Hague for his four year climate denial, this is a crime against humanity, four valuable years lost.

What would help is a universal one child policy, a move from the American burger culture, to live close to work and abandon your car in whatever form it takes petrol or electric, none of them are particularly green. Everything starts and rests with the individual, I deliberately have hand washed my laundry for the last couple of years, its no problem to me as luckily I have a clean job, here in north east England works fine, a quick wring and the washing line does the rest, none of the endless tumbling and spinning of the electrical machine.

Theres approx five hundred posts on this paid for blog, please explore.

copyright climate-change-briefing 2021

Forecasting what next …

With the virus shutdown there very seldom is any chemtrail to be seen (maybe say only something every three days)  and so now we have the problem such clear blue skies will aid heat absorption by the oceans. Therefore its my guess governments will put forward the idea quite openly that we need to spray our skies to hinder climate change and slow down the seas warming and hinder the crucial but inevitable and dreaded methane release.  For instance google for methane hydrate, an ice-free Arctic, thawing permafrost, East Siberian Ice Shelf.

I had a bad dream the other day,  quite horrible in fact, a total inept termed donald j trump (I deny him upper case) …. had become President of the United States !  One can only state that this is indeed beyond the realm of sanity … preposterous!

Here in the UK its my opinion the lockdown leaves a lot to desired, there is seemingly total refusal to deal specifically with those in health care and their immediate family, how in fact they are a ‘special case’ and need much greater rigour in how they circulate after they leave work. Has anyone mentioned this so far – looks to be not. They will; they will have to as too many ‘innocent people’ are being needlessly corralled. The sight of those silly pale blue plastic pinnies drives me nuts, the slightest breeze and they are flying around all over, as good as useless I assume.

Note the irony if that’s the word that the virus shutdown is in fact facilitating the reduction of carbon footprint, of unnecessary airflights etc – just what the planetary doctor ordered!  Huge sheds with respirators, much limited personal mobility, all as would be required when the methane time bomb hits.

The term ‘existential impasse’.

When a seasoned, experienced no frills highly regarded Scientist (and many like him) use the term ‘existential impasse’ and stresses the absolute need for real world CO2 draw-down and which entails developing the technique and then implementing practical solutions with apparatus (huge apparatus) on a multi-scale Manhattan Project style venture around the globe and that these things we know are not happening in any forseeable large scale venture, then we know our days as a species are numbered. At least of those that are of ordinary means and not of obscene and excessive wealth who for a time will be able to bypass the inevitable (I’m thinking methane release, East Siberian Ice Shelf). Remember trees are no good, once increased CO2 hits as well as the methane the trees will shrink from the task, a question of timescale too, but never mind, pretend, its good for planetary sanity.

Here is a regular ‘must-see’, which you can see prompted my title of using the quote ‘existential impasse’. https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/12/planetary-arson-and-amplifying-feedbacks-no-alternative-to-co2-drawdown.html

Look at the multi lane freeways, look at the adoration of huge personal vehicles, dinosaurs on wheels, can anyone detect a lessening of this fixation? No, men still want their big toys and outward success still has the same talismans to display. Of consumption, red meat, food waste, far too many airflights merely for leisure, diesels idling needlessly whilst the other person shops, everything spun and tumble-dried when the washing line used to suffice,  food flown in from across the world, excessive lighting when not needed, the American burger culture, hubris and ego. No wonder we are struggling as a species and throwing all the others into jeopardy.

This year theres no short-eared owls to be seen here in NE UK, therefore we can assume vole populations are down (their food chain also) and how is the earthworm faring as chemtrail aluminium wreaks whatever destruction is unseen by most people.  Already we know insect populations are much reduced hence songbird food sources are much scarcer, bees are critical, its supposedly dementia, again another nano-particle aluminium tie-in. By the time we get it as confirmed peer-reviewed scientific findings it will all be too late.

And heres a little idea of mine, living and spending much time so close to agricultural land, the landscape,  a century ago stone walls were much commoner, we even had ‘hemels’ dotted around the agricultural landscape here in the North of England, ideal habitat / housing for small mammals and nesting sites. These days the vogue is for wire fencing and often with wildlife margins allowed, but its nothing near like the value of a stone wall, or winter protection for sheep for instance. Another example of how ‘we’ are trying so hard to be clever but absolutely missing the point. No-one observes, no-one evaluates, no critical thinking, what at one time would be termed the umbrella term COMMON SENSE.

I’m using a Mark Gertler painting below as what I perceive as the Merry-go-round of consumption, they all look hell bent on enjoying themselves, noisy and blind. The year 1916 and how very observant of Mark.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merry-Go-Round_(Gertler_painting)

 

 

Arctic methane and its speed of delivery.

As this link below stresses and it is quoting Natalia Shakhova, University of Alaska (a world expert) when methane burps it will be exraordinarilly fast, hours, a day or two, not years. And note also the strength of methane over CO2 in a short time frame, I think its 120 fold over a five year period, imagine if that can be possible when its a two day or two week time-frame for the methane to do its work.

Release of Arctic Methane “May Be Apocalyptic,” Study Warns

Today I’m using my old stack with Firefox and immediately a whole new world of links and information unfolds, I knew fine well my newer purchase of six months ago (Dell with windows 10)  was holding me back from getting at the online news and reports that I need.

more to follow.

I know where we are heading – methane.

I’ve done sufficient to know where we are heading with methane, the East Siberian Ice Shelf methane time-bomb etc. Yet in these early days of the unfolding methane ‘problem’ its horrible to see the waves of information and pictures unfold confirming where we are heading.

I got the twitter from the Paul Beckwith youtube channel.

Heres the article you need to read ..  https://www.newsweek.com/methane-boiling-sea-discovered-siberia-1463766

Hint: google for the arctic map and note all the shallow sea that covers the undersea thawing permafrost, I read somewhere it is up to 20km thick, all ripe for frozen hydrate to thaw, the subsea frozen cap to disappear and microbial activity to get into full swing and for sealed methane gas deposits to vent. Green things, trees and plants will go into reverse, shutdown and already the 20% of CO2 conversion offered by oceanic plankton, algae (diatoms etc) is most definitely declining.

And meanwhile trump fiddles ….

 

 

Climate change, a laymans guide.

I often feel there is difficulty in finding or locating the latest on climate change ie increasing methane, ice loss, feedback loops etc.

This overview by Sam Carana holds up well, succinct and eminently digestible for the layman; I am a layman.   http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/extinction.html

It illustrates the stacking pernicious influences which in themselves arithmetically ensure sufficiently our downfall and even for this guaranteed scenario Sam Carana plays a light touch re the inevitable compounding and accelerating positive feedback loops that will push us into a whole new series of situations. Its all a quite dire mix, highly ironic as its mainly the consumption of oil and gas from ancient diatoms that has led to our demise, taking away the fundamental first layer of oceanic food chain and 20% of the worlds CO2 >O conversion. And yet no-one has ever seen a diatom with the naked eye.

I think I’m correct in saying it was independent scientist James Lovelock that discovered the gas DMS a product of oceanic plankton and its importance. I suggest read his autobiography, an instructive blend of practical science, talent and an independent thinking mind.

Also …  https://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/dms–the-climate-gas-youve-never-heard-of/

Sam Carana in a more recent post highlights the disregard paid by the latest IPCC (Sept 2019) briefing / report in which NO FIGURE IS QUOTED for the effects of subsea methane in its three forms, frozen hydrates, microbial, capped gas deposits. The IPCC are criminal in this neglect. However not as criminal as donald trump in the rolling back and eradication of decades of wise strategies to husband the planet more sensibly; but of course trump would know nothing of the natural world.

 

IPCC and the refusal to acknowledge the importance of impending methane release.

IPCC is wrong.

Just now I heard on bbc r4 ‘Inside Science’ an interview with Phil Williamson  from Univ East Anglia ie https://people.uea.ac.uk/p_williamson   … concerning the latest report from the IPCC in which impending methane release is given very low priority. This is utterly baffling, quite erroneous and I think the placative ‘one metre by the end of the century’ to be shameful in its misleading nature.

There will not be any  ‘end of century’ to witness I am afraid.

Most of what was said I disagreed with from Phil Williamson, for instance stating that coral reefs could re-generate in fifteen years is utter nonsense, yet again no mention of the bryozoan / diatom symbiosis. Diatoms factor into so many perspectives of what we are going through. I may be wrong, merely an interested layman here. However to quote myself …

Diatoms also live a symbiotic relationship with Bryozoans ie the coloured animals that create and live in coral reefs. It is a dire irony that consuming the oil and gas of ancient diatoms ie comprising 70% of the oil and gas industry has led to both their own and our demise. No-one has ever seen a diatom with the naked eye.
diatoms – climate-change-briefing
climate-change-briefing.com/category/diatoms/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diatom

http://www.microscopy-uk.org.uk/micropolitan/marine/algae/index.html

I would have thought last years IPCC Annual Report in which low importance was given to impending methane release (ie thawing permafrost cap releasing already formed methane gas, rapidly rising microbial activity and thawing methane calthrates; both from land and from the horribly shallow East Siberian ice shelf )  would have now been aligned with enlightened thinking but no, its been swept under the carpet yet again by the IPCC and its select band of contributors. In addition Phils endeavour to constantly massage downward the numbers to 1.5 from 2.0 degrees warming is taking things too far, as dangerous as any over-exaggeration, in my opinion from what I read of other scientists 2 deg C will soon come and go, to be overshot rapidly.

Why is it Prof Peter Wadhams was not interviewed, he knows ice, a lifetimes work.

https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/aug/21/farewell-to-ice-peter-wadhams-review-climate-change

Its the nature of nature to ramp and accelerate as outside influences ie mans fossil fuel greed and polluting activities come home to roost. ‘Ye reap as ye shall sow’ seems appropriate. https://www.kingjamesbibleonline.org/Bible-Verses-About-Reap-What-You-Sow/

Sorry to get Biblical but maybe its an ‘endtimes prompt’ because after all as time trundles on what else shall we cling to, occupy our time?

 

 

Work in progress, more info on IPCC obfuscation as info is obtained, merely the opinion of an interested layman.

A few hours later and bbc r4 again broadcasts the radio programme ‘Inside Science’ from five hours previously. Never before have I been so glad of a quick repeat. I feel sorry for Phil Williamson, I can hear in his voice the tension between what the IPCC expects and his own self worth and integrity; he invites others to reach their own conclusions, this I applaud. This also highlights the IPCC to focus on published papers where in fact change is happening SO FAST that published and peer reviewed papers have a self defeating time lag that we now need to circumvent, a view I’ve held since I first latched on to climate change a couple of years ago. Therefore the best we can be sure of is to listen to the likes of Peter Wadhams and for instance Jason Box and Natalia Shakhova.

https://envisionation.co.uk/index.php/blogs/99-russian-scientists-excluded-from-presenting-important-research-as-nasa-goddard-director-tries-to-discredit-observational-scientific-research

From the above I quote …

The event, held a fortnight ago, is still causing controversy beyond the negative tweeting by NASA Goddard Director, Dr Gavin Schmidt. Schmidt aimed his presentation at discrediting the Russian’s work, using theoretical models, without expertise in methane, or credible data. The end result is that the Russian team have composed a letter to Royal Society President, Sir Paul Nurse, asking for an opportunity to present their findings, including contributions from over 30 scientists working in the region for over 20 years.

end of quote.

Also,

https://robinwestenra.blogspot.com/2017/06/interview-by-nick-breeze-with-dr.html

How the Arctic climate drama runs its course

And …

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/09/ipcc-sea-level-rise-report/598765/

 

The ‘main man’ Sam Carana reports on the limp kow-towing IPCC Report and informs us that the IPCC doesn’t even add in methane from the submerged East Siberian ice-shelf ie what will be a quick warming and vast release of methane from less than 50m of underwater thaw; this beggars belief. http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/09/ipcc-report-ocean-and-cryosphere-in-a-changing-climate.html

 

 

 

Greenland ice melt.

I keep it brief, we know fine well what is to happen;  I haven’t the patience nor attention span for a fifteen minute ‘presentation’ or anyone droning on with minutae so to speak.

Its obvious already we are into extreme weather events both in ferocity and frequency,   likewise ice melt is heading in a most awful direction, note undersea ice volume as unseen from sat images will soon in a year or two at most surprise us all. Most arctic ice quite horribly is 0.5 metres or less.

Chemtrails are getting clever too, Tuesday morning last before any visible light from the Sun I could see huge definite parallel trails across the sky, I photographed them too with tripod and timer. Also this morning weather sat revealed huge amount of chemtrails NW of Ireland in the North Atlantic heading towards Ireland and Europe. Remember this most likely I am assuming contains aluminium, barium, strontium, etc in nano-particle form.

Therefore I am mindful to ‘keep it simple’ to live a righteous considerate life, gain pleasure where I can, to help whoever I may and am so sorry we are at such ‘interesting times’.

The real big triggers are ice loss, disappearing permafrost and the dreaded arctic methane (say x120 the nastiness of CO2 in the first five years) which are land based and beneath shallow water ie under 50m water depth of the East Siberian Iceshelf, as illustrated on any map of the north polar region.

For Arctic ice google Prof Peter Wadhams. http://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/user/pw11/

Look also how near un-reported is the loss of diatoms a particular interest of mine, these being the actual originators of 70% of the worlds oil and gas reserves, no-one has ever seen a single diatom with the naked eye yet to my untrained amateur mind the loss of diatoms is directly linked to massive widespread pacific seabird collapse, coral decline and the probable loss of ocean cloud systems and associated generation of DMS and the conversion of or generation of 20% of the worlds oxygen. By diatoms we can also include other marine / water based algae. Plankton is the next level of food chain above algae, both much neglected as a news item for the general public.

We all know as kids how ice melts, we wake up and next morning its all gone.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/07/greenland-melting-second-time-this-summer-bad/

https://nsidc.org/greenland-today/