Scouting for climate info …

trump and his nastiness diverts us from pursuing a more usual constructive life and chemtrails I reckon are probably to be absent until spring and the warming of the sun, at least here in the UK. So now at backend 2018 we can look at climate change info ….

look at micro-granules of plastic and the blood/ brain barrier … https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/apr/24/record-levels-of-plastic-discovered-in-arctic-sea-ice

countries acting now … https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/oct/24/some-of-the-countries-leading-on-climate-change-might-surprise-you

sixty percent gone  … https://www.theguardian.com/environment/video/2018/oct/30/wwf-report-warns-annihilation-of-wildlife-threatens-civilisation-video

ditto … https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/oct/27/world-on-track-to-lose-two-thirds-of-wild-animals-by-2020-major-report-warns

It would take a full page A4 of close-typed headings to even bring together the basics of enquiry / search terms for the layman.

mainstream denial of Pacific die-off … https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDno5_ARLbY

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Watson

From experience I know that successive days or sessions on youtube yield better, more detailed or less populist material on any form of search, this was obvious about eight years ago one Christmas where I focused on Italian Neo-Realist cinema of the 1950’s. It took three evenings before I was offered the full-length ‘Umberto D’.

Heres some hints to look out for and many are covered/ linked here in previous posts …

  • bee and insect decline
  • arctic ice loss
  • antarctic melting from beneath
  • increasing sliding speed of glaciers
  • diatom and plankton loss and the importance of this
  • dead rivers
  • loss of caddis fly
  • fish stock decline (everywhere)
  • alzheimers in bees
  • west coast USA river entire ecosystem decline
  • Pacific seabird collapse (starvation) and its under-reporting
  • Fukushima
  • aluminium from chemtrails
  • California wildfires and chemtrail aluminium accumulation
  • autism increase (aluminium)
  • deforestation
  • needing to decrease beef consumption
  • population growth
  • too great a dependance on digital and the web and how we think
  • web manipulation, manipulating opinion
  • trumps madness and denial, the EPA tragedy
  • trumps lies and graduated decline into authoritarianism, American Fascism
  • the inadequecy of the IPCC reporting
  • methane in its three forms, frozen hydrate, microbial, geological (ice capped)
  • green plant transpiration reversal at increased CO2
  • the love affair with the SUV and carbon based personal transport
  • human arrogance and conceit
  • electric vehicles not being the answer they seem
  • chemtrail deployment, resultant ‘haze’ and impact on organic growers
  • Monsanto patents and aluminium resistance
  • jet stream alteration and split resulting in warm wet air over the Arctic
  • etc etc

 

 

So thats where the 12 years came from ….

I gained a chance conversation Sunday and the expression ’12 years’ was mentioned, I assumed she meant something like Sam Caranas prediction in that …  we have a decade left before annihilation, but in fact tootling on the web its a quote from the whacky, so very retro outdated … like … asshole useless IPCC bods.

Twelve years to act as in the quote ….

“there are just 12 years left to act to keep global warming to a maximum of 1.5 degrees Celsius.”

To act … that is too late, treacherously too late.

This is so off target … like … silly beyond belief. As posted previously Prof Peter Wadhams must be sickened whilst amazed and laughing and cringing that such out of sync IPCC thinking is promoted as ‘current’.  Dear God, Sam Carana would suggest its a decade max before serious human depletion on this planet, this little ball eight inches in diameter and with a fag paper covering ie 0.001 inch a thousandths of an inch is to live breath, fuck and fantasise.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

Anyone who knows me realises I’m cheesed off tonight. Reasons don’t matter but what does matter is how many ppl are ‘not up to speed’. To anyone new to this I suggest googling ‘East Siberian Ice Shelf’… this is the biggie. Better add ‘jet stream modification’ ‘loss of oceanic lower food chain’ … ‘loss of Greenland ice mass’ … hell the list needs its own page of A4.

So lets link to some other material gleaned online in the last hour, before I settle down to read …  like  … (not an e-book) one of my paper based books (of more than 2k) contained here within my chambers.

https://sputniknews.com/viral/201810161068939916-ice-bacteria-threat-emergence/

uh-oh, tiscali my ISP is messing abt, useless as usual. It often loses the server lately three times each morning and these last few weeks destroys my emails by notifying me as undeliverable via unwanted unneeded … spamhaus … to block my online activity. Be aware, spamhaus is quite nasty and often quite needless. Also, tiscali email say four years ago became un-usable so no bloody wonder its virtually abandoned by all and sundry; ailing, unusable, f’kcd… therefore I’m using a third party email provider which annoyingly is being thwarted. Who what is spamhaus and quite why they take it to be their business to disrupt my simple tiny quite clean activities ??

Oh well, back to reality …

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/10/18/russian-town-besieged-polar-bears-forced-melting-arctic-ice/

 

 

 

To discuss Global Warming …

This link below provides a lot of topics for discussion, the primary one being the IPCC falls short of providing the full picture of where we are heading with Climate Change; of falling short of what could be likely reality in the years ahead.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

As I’ve always said (at least from Nov 2017 which was for the first time I switched on to Climate Change) …. the IPCC incorporates large scale carbon capture that has yet to be invented in any serious form and ignores the upcoming effect of methane in its three forms ie geological, microbial and thawing hydrates. Lets enumerate the points and note that I do agree with what Sam Carana has to say which I argue is not bias but reason, the evidence and common sense. When trump as yesterday states that the Climate Change Scientists are being ‘political’ he himself is operating at a totally political and morally unsound position. Every sane thinking person on the planet knows this, the canaries are screaming but trump and his twisted and bitter white old men of the GOP insist otherwise !!!

Let me work through to precis Sams points …

  1.  IPCC has moved the baseline (though I’ve yet to read the IPCC document) …  imagine already how much smelting, burning of coal, steam power had added carbon to the atmosphere already by 1850.
  2. IPCC erroneously applies a straight line projection for whatever lies ahead, in reality its a huge tangle of interconnected self and mutually re-inforcing feedback ever increasing feedback loops. What engineers call positive feedback ie an expotential knock-on and is an upward curve, never conforms to a straight line plot.
  3. IPCC ignores spikes, these causing the really nasty shock effects.
  4. IPCC baseline chosen to wallpaper over the worse view from any other historical baseline.
  5. IPCC playing with the stats.
  6. Anomaly as ocean temperature is at surface and land temp figs as air based figures, this Sam Carana tells us can introduce error.
  7. Method and missing data not embracing latest thinking / developments
  8. IPCC omits temp spikes of 2016 that would have as yet again increased the projected figures and are omitted.
  9. WOW … IPCC does not take into account all the real world happening now events ie snow and ice loss, albedo effect, methanes, last ten year carbon effect, aerosol effect, increased water vapour feedback, jet stream alteration, sea level rise and expansion, green plant CO2 conversion fall off, carbon from wildfires, etc etc. Each single point is so very interconnected and all exacerbate each other.  May I add loss of diatoms and plankton that are major CO2 to O converters as well as being part of ocean weather systems, losing coral reef being a symptom of a the more fundamental crash in ocean food chain, the diatoms. Its time now for a fast tracking approach to science, silly bloody clusters of cagouled junior scientists out on the ice shelf / mass is looking a bit twee; a two year peer review is too slow.
  10. IPCC seems stuck in a time bubble, looking at a carbon ‘budget’ approach when in fact carbon is a massive deficit, a carbon bankruptcy, a bankrupt carbon lifestyle that has to be fundamentally altered (which I doubt we can).
  11. Same old song, IPCC is deficient in abolishing fossil fuels.
  12. Tax or fees needed on polluters. Note the worlds obsession with cheap air travel, polluting gas guzzlers, car based lifestyle (of which I too am some way guilty). In my opinion even electric vehicles are suspect and not as green as we’d like to think.

 

Okay, enumerated rant over. As stated previously, I keep things brief here at this new blog of mine. Human nature being what it is, hubris, the desire for status-objects and lifestyle, recreational air travel, a meat diet … all are near insurmountable obstacles.  There would have to be unwavering catastrophe before affluent western populations realise changes must occur and of course global warming and climate change being what it is ie a cumulative self re-inforcing feedback all change would be too late.

There are three embedded vids at the bottom of Sam Caranas blog, lets listen to the first briefer version of Prof Peter Wadhams wise words (a practical Scientist, a lifelong specialist in sea ice) and pretend not to notice the tedious drawn out intro …

  • IPCC non-alarmist, soft pedalling on feedback machanisms.
  • IPCC pays no attention to potential run-away warming.
  • IPCC by not mentioning a major contributor/s its as if it doesn’t exist !
  • More of the same little sticking plasters or feelgood initiatives are no longer any good.
  • Note that even if we stopped all emmisions ie 100% … its already not sufficient to avert us to catastrophe.
  • World expert on sea ice Prof Wadhams tells us that what the IPCC says on sea ice is ‘daft’. Listen to this crap from the IPCC “An ice free summer once every hundred years”  !!!
  • To approximately quote Prof Wadhams “One would have thought that by now the IPCC would be so embarrassed by its out-dated modelling to have withdrawn that type of approach”. “Pretending the situation isn’t the way it is”.
  • Not a single well-known sea-ice researchers name on the author list from the IPCC.

Lets not forget thawing permafrost and the East Siberian iceshelf.

I’ve thought for years that a condensed print onto paper resume of such talkie vids would save time, get the point across quicker. You can name the app after me …..

It vexes me at the increasing and needless number of ever bigger SUVs and even more expensive cars that my neighbours buy; quite needless as we can hardly assume they are involved in ‘light haulage’! I assume they a) feel they need them and b) are drawn into such a value system. I’ve a neighbour that eats nothing but meat and most others that value a meal at its meat content or its closeness to an oversized burger. Others that thrill at their endless air travel, even a weekend break involves the airport or the insanity of a weekend home a thousand miles away. I’m no angel, far from it but strive to somehow do better, to keep things simple, a lighter carbon footprint and have done for years; at least my work is nearby and I’ve no need to venture more than a few miles.

 

Ward Hunt Ice Shelf.

I’m no genius. I try to include links and hope people revisit the sites over time so as to see whatever is latest. Therefore a link followed from here can update itself and be a regular port of call providing lots of material to mine into. Heres one from the very useful site neven1 that I posted recently and takes us to … a link to material published in 2004 and still certainly is worthwhile reading ie ….. https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/wardhunt

I need to try to seek out more of the microbial/ algal activity of the deposits mentioned, but I know fine well such microscopic imagery will hardly exist, so seldom is it shown to the wider public and I don’t know why, are there journalistic filters that are blind or ignorant to this ???  I don’t think David Attenborough has any interest in this either. This baffles and annoys me, yes we can take the sight of a diatom without wretching.

 

diatoms
diatoms anyone can see through a simple microscope.

 

The algal/ protozoan aspect of this fascinates me and looms large in my approach to nature. You can’t see it but it is very important and on a global scale utterly essential for life on this planet. Its a bit like my curiosity for chemtrails, as with algae it is not direct and in your face but it most certainly is important. It must have been mighty difficult or near impossible centuries ago to get people to realise theres important and essential ‘worlds’ all around us that cannot even be seen! I could imagine rustic types tekkin excitedly o de ‘atoms’ theh chessed oot ont fields yisterdeh, lowped ower’t wall, but deyn’t worry, he nos where deh nestin  ….

Heres another updated version first link … https://earthdata.nasa.gov/user-resources/sensing-our-planet/breakup-of-the-ward-hunt-ice-shelf

I can’t help but notice a certain reticence in the second newer article.

 

 

 

 

Climate change links …

Heres useful info … http://neven1.typepad.com/

look at the articles linked at right ie …

https://www.iflscience.com/environment/incredible-nasa-image-reveals-how-much-of-the-world-is-on-fire-right-now-/

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/aug/21/arctics-strongest-sea-ice-breaks-up-for-first-time-on-record

…. well worth an hour or two of close investigation.

As stated before, an idiot in the White House does NOT help. IPCC predictions and modelling is woefully and increasingly off target incorporating by this time large scale carbon capture that has yet to be invented and totally blind to any release of methane in its three forms. Too many scientists and organisations are treading too carefully, a mindset promulgated from the bizarre stance of the trumps disastrous EPA.

All of what I write demonstrates the total control that nature and simple physics, the forces and interconnected systems of nature plays in this film-thin layer of life on the globe of our planet. Even plants and growing things, algae, diatoms, forests etc are acting in ways contrary to our needs, reducing their vital transpiration ie CO2 to O conversion as trigerred by increasing CO2. Whoops we say “Is that the way its really supposed to happen?”

An example of stupidity, these last couple of weeks seen a highly unusual vehicle for these parts an American Humvee type monstrosity complete with ‘HUM’ personalised reg plate.  I can only conclude … you can guess the words. If nothing else an example of money to burn.

In actual practical conclusion, whatever we try to do in minimising affluent carbon lifestyle is firstly not going to be realised as so many are addicted and welded to their outwardly visible SUV dashing around ‘we are consuming’ lifestyle but also once the methane really starts to release (which it will sooner than ten years) our own efforts ie mankind will be quite ineffective. However, to give up, to not fight is untenable; unthinkable. We need a worldwide one child policy, we need to live in a more sophisticated ie ‘simpler’ manner – not a contradiction in terms. Its quite brainless to buy and consume.  Populations must be prepared for the worst, move or starve, flooding, traditional growing areas no longer viable, extremes. Its all happened before in various forms, its just this time we have too much baggage.

Fran Ulmer on Climate Change.

I’m impressed, good speaker and better if left uninterrupted.

This one hour gets through lots of material, worthwhile, the Q&A works well.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fran_Ulmer

We hear that existing infrastructure and homes on what was previously stable permafrost are having to be relocated.

At 30 mins we hear of the Russian excitement to open up Arctic seaways.

At 37 mins a considered, honest and realistic responese to the Q of “What is trump doing” …. and I’m glad she mentions that companies, corporation, states, cities are making their own way forward on climate change.

Theres lots, worthwhile !

Also Fran Ulmer : https://medium.com/@StanfordWoods/three-reasons-the-arctic-is-changing-and-why-you-should-care-q-a-with-fran-ulmer-69ada71102cc

http://www.kyuk.org/post/scientists-fear-presidential-administration-will-wipe-climate-change-data-government-websites

 

ps… My previous point still holds, that it would be mighty handy if we could get hold of time indexed transcript for talks such as these, I mean talks that are valuable and worthwhile. Surely voice recognition can convert easily and quickly to that ‘lil old thing called ‘the printed word’ ? On paper too, which I enjoy.

A map of natures reaction …

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/07/can-we-weather-the-danger-zone.html

Its three posts ago from arctic-news but this map I’ve pasted below is certainly worth contemplation and committing to memory, I find it stunning. Titled vulnerable carbon pools.

Here also we can find the same map, its in several sites across the web … http://cosmology.com/ClimateChange101.html

Also from Aug 2013 … https://www.sbs.com.au/news/comment-methane-and-the-risk-of-runaway-global-warming

I cannot get it to copy and paste and being an old geezer my instant reaction is draw it on paper, but taking pics and uploading is a chore for me now mostly. Recently its popped into my mind several times that drawing maps freehand would be a useful hobby for me and in fact for kids too … most are woefully ignorant of the shape of countries, location, the assemblage of the land masses. Something to draw you out of yourself and is not connected with money and also the pursuit of what I call an American style  ‘leisure lifestyle’  and sold to us as consumerism… create some quiet time, another version of a Tea Ceremony! Use an atlas in book form, no need for a screen for this one. Screens in fact are page specific likewise the material delivered by google, books in some or many instances can provide a so much broader and serependitious view ie you can leaf through the pages. Thank goodness I grew up in a pre-web age.

One thing I do miss about the pre-web days is how easy it was to stumble upon new things, for instance art in its various forms, architecture, sculpture, paintings, watercolours, sketches; thought made visible by clever and talented people.

Got it …..

carbon-pools-1

Its more than just a ‘map of the land’ my initial choice of ‘nature’ in the post title fits better as the change and disturbance of temperature means that the brown areas ie high altitude peatlands are in for a catastrophic awakening. Remember that methane exists in three forms, geological deposits, frozen hydrate and microbial action. But on reflection ‘reaction’ fits better as boy-o-boy these huge unpopulated land masses are most certainly going to react. Remember too the slowing down of transpiration of green growing things in reaction to increased CO2; diatoms / algae much affected (another converter out in the oceans)  reduced regeneration or new growth of trees due to water and heat stress and the myriad of self amplifying and interconnected amplifying interconnected feedback loops. Certainly the increasing desire for a meat based diet is wasteful of resources, too expensive ecologically and can be seen to lag fifty years as to what we should be doing nowadays. Its not easy to keep this to an intentional brief post as is the fashion these days. Thats why theres previous posts here to read through. I’m learning as I go …..

For instance to quote from http://www.sbs.com.au posted 2013  …

In 2010 a Russian marine survey conducted more than 5000 observations of dissolved methane showing that more than 80% of East Siberian shelf bottom waters and more than 50% of surface waters are supersaturated with methane. Atmospheric methane levels (during glacial periods: 300–400 parts per billion; during interglacial periods: 600–700 ppb) have recently reached 1850 ppb – the highest in 400,000 years (see Figure 2b)

Much food for thought and would have liked to think could prod for Governmental and worldwide action. The only country to pull out of the Paris Agreement, trump is an odd character to say the least, he needs enlightened influence, not the circle of courtiers and grim outdated lobbyists at present whispering to his ear. Likewise Elon Musk, if he’s as clever as he portrays he should forget about cars (EV are not that green in a full carbon audit anyway) and get into carbon capture. If trump turned on this and got climate change savvy it would be the greatest boost possible for the world to like him, its win-win for everyone.

 

 

postscript … re drawing maps freehand. People wouldn’t do it but they’d blow thousands jetting to places they needn’t go. I am very anti air flight, always have been.

also, just found UK Guardian on current heatwave  …. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jul/13/heatwave-sees-record-high-temperatures-set-around-world-this-week

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jul/13/disaster-half-a-million-hectares-of-forest-bulldozed-in-great-barrier-reef-catchment

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/20/senate-to-probe-great-barrier-reef-grant-of-444m-to-small-charity