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Tectonic plates.

Another fun ingredient to add to the tally of global warming events and I’m assuming will rear its ugly head sooner or later, how else can it be, as explained below if the weight of ice disappears from Greenland than how else can the ground itself react but readjust its tectonic plate structure. Likewise subsea landslides are a real danger.

Not much seems forthcoming on this subject of tectonic plate readjustment / movement, maybe google is sometimes a hindrance than a boon? Or maybe articles pitched at the ‘layman’ aren’t so abundant? The achademic three year peer review system needs drastically to be shortened, we haven’t time.

Anyway, to read it and it is five minutes well spent. As always I hold self-education as vital, just like as in the olden days ….

https://qz.com/681239/global-warming-wont-just-change-the-weather-it-could-trigger-massive-earthquakes-and-volcanoes/

A couple of days ago we hear on bbc radio news that experts announce that the German and European floods could well be a sign of climate change. Wow, that is a serious under-reaction to ever increasing problems.

A petty grumble of mine but what really pips my noodle is cars especially diesel SUVs idling over in supermarket car parks whilst ‘the other half’ gets the shopping in ….. GRRRR !

Second grumble of the day is how lagging the IPCC are in all this, as if not wanting to upset anyone, they are supposed to be predicting the future and to motivate a worldwide response by scientists, engineers, governments, individuals etc. When a bomb was involved it was the Manhattan project, we need that seriousness of response multiple times over as well as vastly reducing our own personal carbon footprints, maybe its fruitless in actual reality but we cannot go down without a fight.

Aljazeera writes achingly sad re the famine in Madagascar, as when I read of the mass starvation during the Chinese Great Leap Forward and then the Cultural Revolution of people reduced to trying to eat scraps of leather or trying to scavenge nuts or berries that they know fine well is slowly killing them then we know the situation is bad, is irreversible for them. I think I shall be making my Christmas charity donations in the next few days. Interestingly a few years ago I learnt that in the Moslem world a working adult will contribute 1/40 of their income as charity contribution each year, I think a lot of us should work by that example and perhaps the tragedy of Yemen, Madagascar, refugees etc may find some relief from their plight.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/23/nothing-left-catastrophe-madagascar-famine-hit-south

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Siberian fires and carbon particles.

The title says it all, just about the last thing we need is the accumulation of carbon particles on Arctic ice with its increased absorption and hence melting all the quicker, as goes for a myriad of other interconnected feedback loops ie impending methane in its three forms, permafrost thawing, jet stream alteration (now very much in change) and Greenland ice loss, the demise of algae and plankton, bees and insects in decline, none of those things we need right now.

We have upset this chemistry set called planet Earth with its fag paper thin inhabitable zone as if a one thou cigarette paper clinging to a child eight inch diameter football as demonstrated by simple arithmetic.

Below, fires in Siberia 8th August 2021 … https://go.nasa.gov/3yHx2Kt

Fires in Siberia 8th August 2021 … https://go.nasa.gov/3yHx2Kt F

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Climate change, ice loss, the future.

Its not very well put actually, Prof Peter Wadhams does okay in his own style but the other two particularly Mark seem not too good with words, I’d have expected greater eloquence, must be hell to get a lecture from them, or maybe I should have been a lecturer myself.

Good to hear criticism of the IPCC, they have a powerful voice and grip on humankinds response to this climate catastrophe and impending mass extinction event.

It rambles and rumbles along, but I cannot share the enthusiasm at the loss of Stuart Scott the previous frontman for this, I always thought he was too much the lightweight, not much presence, too light a touch on the subject to get anyone to notice, too quiet a speaker. Maybe we need more of the Brian Blessed to get these discussions noticed!

Never mind, Mr Grumpy here, no harm intended, it starts very elementary and luckily gets better, salient points are mankinds inability with non-linear change and a hypothetical question at 28:00 that if we fast tracked solar generation into a five year period as how this would help or solve the matter of human extinction. Answer is ‘not really’ … all the changes are now ‘locked in’ to the unstoppable dynamic of climate change and extinction. Not much was made of the methane time bomb but when Prof Wadhams is quizzed into admitting five years as a possible diary marker for a cataclysmic event in my opinion I agree.

E&OE .. merely my personal views, no harm intended, copyright for text climate-change-briefing.com 2021

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IPCC

The IPCC is an organisation I am very sceptical of, the experts are ‘hand-sorted’ so to speak which as we know with the lamentable omission of Prof Peter Wadhams in their last big science-fest a few years ago and so by not publishing his work (the considerations of a world ranking Arctic ice expert) … this means mostly the IPCC can only offer a sanitised and diluted version of what could actually happen to us all.

Heres a case in point of the IPCC not liking the extent of what could occur in the next few years re climate change and how they throw out of the window any modelling that scares or offends them, its bad science, selective science of the worst sort, be sure to look at the chart …

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/07/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-forecasts-future-warming

It must be remembered that if we model climate on a childs eight inch football the portion that we inhabit ie half a mile up and half a mile down equates to the thickness of a cigarette paper, one thousandths of an inch which is half the thickness of a human hair… FACT.

This means the chemistry set known as our worldwide climate systems are easily jarred and reactive to new ingredients ie temperature, ocean flow, atmospheric modifications, jet stream modification, ice loss, methane eruption, carbon particles ie dust, the loss of algal activity in the oceans, changing weather patterns over whole continents, etc etc.

In other words ‘crazy cussed stuff’ … such as drought where we don’t want it (lets say Americas grainbelt or Chinas rice bowl) and rain where it should not be for example in the Gobi Desert or the Himalayas (just guessing). Today we hear in the news that California is losing its electricity supply, upstream theres not enough water to power the hydro-electric generators.

Therefore in the above link which exposes the IPCC dislike of what could happen and refusal to accept modelling for a more catastrophic future than they are prepared to admit, I personally go with Sam Carana and fear the temperature rise will be greater than any contemplated by the IPCC, we are being spoon fed only what is deemed digestible by certain experts and vested interest.

What is fundamental to all this forecasting and modelling is that EVERYTHING seems somehow to be involved in a myriad of self reinforcing feedback loops. For instance today we hear on the news that Siberian fires are releasing carbon particles right up into the North Pole, this was easily seen on NASA Worldview a few days ago. Therefore the ice becomes darker, absorbs heat quicker and … BINGO melts faster from above, never mind the warmer water attacking from beneath. It will be near an instantaneous event when all ice ‘flashes’ from the Arctic, an event of probably weeks, months but not decades.

We have to fight, we cannot go down without a fight, but will it do any good? Not really.

It saddens me that hubris, name it what you will, will never un-mend peoples needs for vehicles of any sort which always one way or another carry huge carbon costs in manufacture and huge problems of disposal.

  • We need to live near our work, to walk there or maybe an electric or hydrogen trolleybus.
  • We need a one child policy everywhere. And applaud those with no children.
  • Car ownership of any sort needs to be a rarer thing.
  • Vastly reduce the American style burger culture.
  • Much reduce airflight for personal and even business need.
  • Minimise food waste, ie see your supermarket near closing, trolleyfulls of meat for disposal!
  • Only eat what you need.
  • Look at the footprint for concrete as a building material.
  • Look at the longevity of wind production, not so green.
  • etc etc name anything you like, there will be a downside to it!

If we lived ‘biblically’ simple farmers and traders and craftspeople I’m sure we would not be in this mess.

Will any of the above bullet points help us all … not really.

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Global warming.

This is indeed something the IPCC (ie a worldwide ‘formal’ association and so-called working group of bods pertinent to governments, policy, forecasting and climate change) which in reality lags way behind in vision and of forecasting the dreaded consequences of global warming.

So many crashes and disasters seem so under-reported and under-recognised, for instance to name just a few topics …. the Arctic, jet stream, diatoms, algae, plankton, marine food chain, loss of seabirds, loss of salmon, loss of bees, flying insects, decreasing soil health and microbial activity, methane, importance of ocean algae for DMS and oceanic weather systems, even the decline of the beloved wasp!

In my own garden and at a nature reserve I have visited near daily for decades I’m sure theres less bees and flying insects, hoverflies, Vanessids etc. At the rear of this house two out of three birdboxes have been taken over by bees these last couple of years, my ‘unusual’ garden providing lots of flowering plants and shrubs for them, all intentional. Say March to July I’m actually not in the further reaches of my back garden as I want nesting birds and fledglings to feel undisturbed, apart of course from the dreaded hawk that even last night whizzed past my head and I think had caused problems for the blackbirds, a single adult blackbird clucking the alarm call for more than twenty minutes, I’m guessing as much distress as warning to others. I even a few years ago witnessed a queen fly her flightless workers into the birdbox one by one, carried ‘piggy-back’ from the shrubbery and vegetation at the far edge of the lawn, a sight I’ll never forget. She must have brought them in by stages, grouped for the final hurdle into the birdbox. So that is no problem, I’ll stick another couple of birdboxes up soon, made by me of thicker heavier section wood than anything one can usually buy.

The IPCC seems slow and stagnant on everything. From my viewpoint as merely an interested layman I don’t think there is anything that the IPCC is not woefully slow or blind to at present nor cognisant of the fast happening realtime changes, Governmental deficiencies and their consequences. For instance its near impossible to find mention online of the diatom/ bryozoan symbiosis that constitutes a living coral reef, all we ever hear is ‘coral whitening’ but no practical explanations for the ‘mechanics’ for this to occur, why the bryozoans have perished. To my mind the great IPCC sticking point and the professionals that comprise its panels and working groups is the spectre of potentially losing ‘funding’ for speaking out or being avoided and shut out by colleagues. From what I’ve read the IPCC also seems unable to realise the importance of the interconnectedness of feedback loops, Sam Carana mentions this regularly. An example, increased CO2 triggers plants to reduce conversion of CO2 to O …. and their pollen becomes less nuitritional / of value to bees and insects and I think I’m right in saying there is a decrease in nuitritional of green plant food material to humans and animals as a food source. Happy days!

At least some of our best brains do their best to get ahead on the subject …. Arctic News: Heatwaves and the danger of the Arctic Ocean heating up (arctic-news.blogspot.com)

This is from the above link, if this doesn’t grab attention and motivate then nothing will.

Heres a vid below I’m adding a day later, my heart goes out to all the people and animals and whatever that are stuck with these horribly high temperatures. With the attendant drought we wonder if west coast living might become a thing of the past. We can assume as summer rolls on wildfire will set new records, setting more ash and soot onto the surface of arctic ice and melting it even quicker, the big time bomb (of many) in my mind will be when we lose most of the ice as presently visible by satellite, ice extent is still quite considerable but it is thickness that is rapidly decreasing, ie multi-year ice is fast diminishing.

These temperatures are actually beyond what humans can survive, the phenomena ‘wet bulb temperature’ I first read on Sam Caranas arctic-news.blogspot.com an invaluable information source and my ‘go to’ for anything climate change. Arctic News: It could be unbearably hot in many places within a few years time (arctic-news.blogspot.com)

The vid, a news report …. Western US in grips of hottest, driest summer in 1000 years? | DW News – YouTube

Heres the wiki explaining wet bulb temperature and its dangers …. Wet-bulb temperature – Wikipedia

postscript, this is a worthwhile read ….. Climate-Change Summary – Nature Bats Last (guymcpherson.com)

Dominic Cummings …

What a nasty opportunistic individual with his skewed vision and nail scratching desire to be somehow kept in the news cycle. He’s bitter to the extreme and hurtful to others – whats new – this is Dom Cummings! It is his nature to be so, to ‘have the angle’ no-one else can see, to dismember to turn upside down. Reminds me of very clever sixth formers trying to impress the girls, lots of noise and ‘cleverness’ but in the end of little value.

I think we often get the face we deserve and Cummings bears this out, is most unattractive. In simple terms ‘he has a screw loose’ if not several … always able to promulgate ideas as if known in depth, the glib glibber, but I wonder at his real depth, perhaps just a clever bod, arguamentative and ‘on the make’. He’s been too close to power to let go of it now and in fact wielded far too much influence and policy as unelected and the close advisor of Boris. Why did Boris allow him so much influence, to suffer and encourage him ?

Dom the clever sixth former impressing all around with his desire to be known as the cleverest man in the room, trashing all established norms, de-rating everyone and everything in sight. Again, I find him repulsive, I’m glad I never knew him. It seems so out of character of him for to now be so concerned at loss of life, in his day to day dealings with people his manner is dire, he certainly cares nothing for their feelings. Many if not all in the Commons must dread his presence.

We remember them sadly but looking at the death toll remember that many that died were old people, already so vulnerable, but this is reality, crap happens and must be realised when looking at the numbers; we cannot cheat the effects of age or the weakened old state we will all enter, whether birds animals or humans.

It was hearing Dom Cummings on radio that really made me so sceptical of this desire to pour out all the minutae from fifteen months ago, obviously it was in some ways a different world then, we muddled through, what else can be expected. All I needed to know was in his to my ears a painful delivery, the phoney concerns, the pauses, all telling us so very much more than he realises. He’s clever alright, tricky, an ace manouverer. Pre-Machiavellian or post-Machiavellian take your choice, but in my minds eye I see as if Dickens at his darkest, Mr Cummings stalking the dorm with cane in hand all too ready to inflict pain.

Dom Cummings in his dire outpourings today has capitalised on hindsight to a ridiculous degree. Yes mistakes and a lethargic response created problems and the PPE shortage really should not have happened but considering we were asked to conform to and accept totally new concepts with constricting lockdowns, its my opinion we did okay, outside of war this was as dire a sea change one could imagine, no bombs dropped, we were generally still okay and infinitely lucky as compared to war. Everyone in this country and in Government were being asked to accept completely and with total adherence a totally different way of spending our days. My heart bleeds for all those small businesses, self employed, those on the fuzzy margins, all the struggling black economy workers, the lonely and infirm during all this. The analogy of ‘at war’ is sometimes drawn into the arguament with covid, but goodness me being at war was full of mistakes and errors, yet somehow in an ad hoc fashion we muddled on in a muddy messy muddle. Things have to be done, decisions made, we move forward each day. Ask my grandfather, on a minesweeper in the English Channel with hundreds of evacuees from Dunkirk then to be hit by ‘friendly fire’ and only three survived, swam to France.

I often had the feeling with Matt Hancock his hands were tied, too many to appease, there was a back story we were not allowed to hear; of course there was, its called democratic input and a Cabinet of high stressed colleagues that somehow need to be melded into agreement and with bevys of scientists and modellers adding their data, noise, and opinion. I remember that the 2001 foot and mouth was handled badly, way too much pain and suffering heaped onto both animals and farmers and as if the gold standard 100% credible report from the Duke of Northumberland in 1968 was totally ignored, modellers this time got ahead of themselves and as far as i can see inflicted misery. As the Duke and all practical farmers realised bury local and in quick lime, no transportation, no need for contiguous cull, no ridiculous inefficient pyres. Mr Ferguson! But also we must realise the EU controlled our response during that 2001 foot and mouth, its a blessing and a tragedy avoided with covid yr 2020 we were free of EU control.

A major PR disaster was the term ‘herd immunity’ that was freely aired at the first few weeks of covid here in the UK; yes I can see its meaning but it sounded bad. I was also very sceptical of input from Prof Ferguson, as I remembered him from the foot and mouth cock-up twenty years ago. Maybe I’m wrong, I’ll have to read further.

The biggest disgrace and being led along the garden path during this covid 19 outbreak was the Dido Harding track and trace fiasco; we are talking literally billions of pounds, where the heck did it all go, there certainly needs to be an enquiry. After the tiscali foul-up during her tenure I would have thought she must be kept from any systems and software! When we read ‘billions were pumped into it’ … then where the heck did the money go ?

okay, more to follow perhaps …

E&OE entertainment purposes only, no harm intended, climate-change-briefing.com 2021

A valuable link …

… re climate change, arctic ice loss and ice thinning.

Arctic sea ice’s dramatic transformation revealed through 42 years of satellite data – ABC News

You have to realise thinning can occur from underside as well as from the top. The former I’m guessing will be the downfall of the Antarctic ice shelves as they are levered away from the parent body, its a different set-up down south so to speak.

The action is in the Arctic as we read in the above, the highest and lowest extremes in Siberia at one same location has now set new records and sat imagery shows the depletion and the near non-existance of multi-year ice. You can add my tears to the ever increasing sea level.

Arctic News (arctic-news.blogspot.com) is also a valuable read. Locations such as the shallow Laptev Sea are forever burnt into my mind. I’ve a £1k wager with friend Gary who is a little sceptical of the severity of my forecast that if we have not reached 3deg C or above by end of 2026 then I will hand him £1k cash, no quibble. I don’t want it to be so but we must all realise the severity of what is happening with multiple feedback loops, all self and mutually reinforcing to greater and higher levels, its a lethal chemistry set we should never have set in motion, as if all the ingredients are present and its one big joke to see how we exploit, extract and set in motion the inevitable. If only we could have lived as in a Biblical simplicity.

There are so many factors and components and values feeding into the active equation that is planetary science, remember our space on this spinning ball of eight inches diameter scales at one thousandth of an inch ie 0.001in equivilant to a cigarette paper licked and placed on a childs eight inch toy ball.

There is nothing we do re carbon emission that will take any effect inside of a decade, the latest scares and truths in fact are many, loss of the aerosol masking effect, arctic methane, loss of high altitude cloud cover, and my own pet hobby horse of (near never reported) of the loss of the oceanic plankton particularly diatoms, quite ironic as it is ancient diatoms that form the basis for 70% of the worlds oil and gas supplies.

Arch clown, otherwise now realised to be a ‘stand-up president’ as in comedian namely trump should be tried at The Hague for his four year climate denial, this is a crime against humanity, four valuable years lost.

What would help is a universal one child policy, a move from the American burger culture, to live close to work and abandon your car in whatever form it takes petrol or electric, none of them are particularly green. Everything starts and rests with the individual, I deliberately have hand washed my laundry for the last couple of years, its no problem to me as luckily I have a clean job, here in north east England works fine, a quick wring and the washing line does the rest, none of the endless tumbling and spinning of the electrical machine.

Theres approx five hundred posts on this paid for blog, please explore.

copyright climate-change-briefing 2021

trump ever the evil clown…

trumps performance at Davos as everywhere he goes is repugnant to any caring, free thinking sensible citizen, in the last couple of days all we hear is trump carnage and apparent ineptitude, but however the gold plated turd does in fact seem to have some ie a little energy and momentary focus, witness the removal of wetland protection and environmental safeguards for water quality … like that runny clear thing that is the cornerstone to a families establishment and a communities survival.

Destruction and the lowest common denominator is the trump byword, nothing good comes from trump. He is a showman, a fairground barker, a Father Coglan; trump mobilises hate. trump has no real ethical talent, he just knows that de-stabilising the sludge at the bottom of the barrel might just keep him in Office.

I particularly am horrified at trumps absolute refusal to take notice of the natural world (ie that thing outside the window that makes the clouds roll by) …  of climate and how quickly unfriendly feedbacks are cascading into a most horrible scenario.

It beggars belief the White House has sunk so low, the web / social media aiding his prospects enormously.

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2019-12-31/trumps-plans-to-strip-clean-water-protections-leave-new-mexico-fearing-pollution-health-risks

RELEASE: Trump Plan Would Strip Protections from Wetlands, Rivers, CAP Analysis Says

Debunking the Trump Administration’s New Water Rule

I think the above image ie NY Times doesn’t quite help us realise that it is running water that is under threat, that people and communities DOWNSTREAM expect better and deserve better than in the days of old.

Here the friendly folk at conservapedia at great time and effort list the vigour at which trump and his motley crew strip and de-establish hard won safeguards, trumps big-time business owner chums must be hardly be able to believe their luck at low IQ low attention span Donald twitching and jumping at every callous request … https://www.conservapedia.com/Donald_Trump_achievements:_Energy_and_environmental_policy

 

postscript, to see the evil and ignorance of trump ….. https://insideclimatenews.org/news/07012020/arctic-drilling-trump-oil-gas-lease-sales-anwr-wildlife-refuge-petroleum-reserve-offshore

Freshwater mussel die off.

Blimey, this is worrying. I wonder also how the common earthworm is faring, without it we are snookered. Likewise plankton and remember marine diatoms are utterly essential. I hate to be a doomster but when things ‘get into gear’ re species loss it will all happen frighteningly fast ie a few years. Likewise in my opinion ice loss is being dreadfully under forecast, it seems to my mind laughable when we hear on serious news programmes “Greenland ice could all be gone by the end of the century”, even as a kid I can tell you ice goes a lot quicker than thought credible. More like ten years than eighty, just my guess that’s all.

I wonder if this freshwater mussel die-off is tied into aluminium levels from chemtrail, I also wonder at the diatom and algal populations in the river under question, the Clinch River. These last few days theres been plenty to see on NASA Worldview; but first, mussel die off links ….

https://phys.org/news/2019-12-scientists-huge-freshwater-mussel-die-off.html

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/2019/12/freshwater-mussels-die-off-united-states/

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/oct/14/the-smell-will-knock-you-off-your-feet-mass-mussel-die-offs-baffle-scientists

For Greenland ice melt … https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/09/greenland-ice-getting-denser-thats-bad/

For Antarctic ice melt … https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/10/how-antarctic-melting-above-below-ice-sheet/

 

 

 

 

 

 

Arctic methane and its speed of delivery.

As this link below stresses and it is quoting Natalia Shakhova, University of Alaska (a world expert) when methane burps it will be exraordinarilly fast, hours, a day or two, not years. And note also the strength of methane over CO2 in a short time frame, I think its 120 fold over a five year period, imagine if that can be possible when its a two day or two week time-frame for the methane to do its work.

Release of Arctic Methane “May Be Apocalyptic,” Study Warns

Today I’m using my old stack with Firefox and immediately a whole new world of links and information unfolds, I knew fine well my newer purchase of six months ago (Dell with windows 10)  was holding me back from getting at the online news and reports that I need.

more to follow.