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Where are we with climate change?

I’ve lain fallow on this for a few weeks following the damp squib of a wasted COP26 Glasgow, to let the dust settle so to speak, to reflect. The IPCC should hang their heads in shame.

The four years of a trump vested interest and an ‘in reverse’ shambles of what could only laughingly be called an ‘administration’ (note I deny him upper case) has not helped this planet or its peoples in any way whatsoever unless of course you are already an exceedingly rich US billionaire; lets face it millions are small change these days….

But trump is not a billionaire, no matter how crooked his schemes and evasions it has still left him hanging on propped up by debt from lenders of near last resort.

I worry about the Yemen, the inexcusable shambles of a deliberately callous Afghanistan withdrawl etc etc

In all this blog of say six hundred posts I reckon my sources are of good quality, will stand to scrutiny and illuminate and educate. Brave people, particularly in the USA, they face demotion or dismissal for speaking like this.

Heres two for climate change …

Note in the above from Dr Guy Macpherson his concern at the big hit from ozone depletion at 02:45 from rising sea level and hence the loss and destruction of nuclear generation (ie meltdown) and hence near instant ozone loss rendering the ‘out of doors’ uninhabitable. Its a chilling quote “The living will envy the dead” at 03:28. My own hobby horse is diatoms and the oceanic plankton that scrub half of the worlds carbon for us for free, all are near or are actually microscopic; trees and land based CO2 conversion will fail us I’m sure and unfortunately the plankton too. We’ve played with a world size chemistry set and it all appears inevitable. I found the link for the above on …. https://www.facebook.com/groups/arcticnews/

Important, please see….. http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/about.html

Here below is disturbing footage, note the blackened ice, note how beavers are colonising further north and flood the land / permafrost with their dams, the catastrophic opening of Arctic ocean seaways with accompanying noise pollution destroying marine mammal habitat and their ability to communicate and organise.

Note the academic / scientific level of the people that made this film in the credits at the end; I obtained the embed from ….. https://theconversation.com/2021-arctic-report-card-reveals-a-human-story-of-cascading-disruptions-extreme-events-and-global-connections-172136

COP26 disaster …

COP26 is a failure, worse than I feared it would be.

Where are the scientists, where are the new ideas, the latest data, feedback projections?

It has dumbed down even below what a weak and blind IPCC could have stage managed.

I predicted a huge backlash to mans intransigence and eternal hubris and boy o boy theres going to be some very angry people, and in many senses rightly so.

Its my opinion the UK Government is delighted we are entering rapid and gross inflation, it will massage downwards the huge spend from Rishi, much of the money being quite un-needed, £10k lump sums to small businesses that didn’t need it and a furlough scheme that I reckon has been much abused and which continued for far too long. Covid is still out there but in many instances its a case of “Covid – what covid?”

I’m not impressed on the performance of bbc radio news on getting detail out on what really matters as we move forward to an unstoppable oven of catastrophe, this will make any war look as a minor scale dummy run.

We hardly hear of the feedback effect of multiple systems all catastrophically amplifying each others effect and eventually the collapse of one another, like a house of cards, in essence negating or destroying each single systems ability to survive; lets throw a few probable eventualities around…

  • diatoms and plankton will die, are in fact dieing, therefore half of the world CO2 to O collapses. Who mentions this?
  • the ability of land based green growing things decreases CO2 conversion as CO2 itself increases, never mind methane.
  • aerosol masking multiplier.
  • ice gone, particularly the importance of vertical melt.
  • fact: jet stream now in two parts, dragging warm wet air over the Arctic.
  • fact: sunspot max for 2026 and transition from El Nana to El Nino coincides!
  • weather systems will waver and abandon the worlds conventional food production areas.
  • meat production (burgers?) needs to be drastically curtailed / minimised.
  • live near to your work.
  • does anyone consider pollution from commercial sources, diesel fuelled agriculture, construction and the military?
  • if we are for a fact losing/ have lost insect populations, hence we are losing small songbirds then what if we lose earthworms … that would be catastrophe.
  • if the oceans are warmer and of greater bulk what of tectonic plate shift?
  • existing wind and solar depends on established conventional weather patterns, not weather in flux.
  • we need a one child policy.
  • methane
  • methane
  • methane
  • etc

Nero himself would be aghast as how we are holding our nerve and blind to what is happening, fiddling with inconsequentials when the big things need to be addressed. The tree problem for instance, unless its evergreen ie the conifer then here in northern latitudes we have a thing called autumn leaf fall, likewise most green growing things, for half the year are near to dormant. The tree thing is difficult in the UK, already near all land is used as is most appropriate, theres not much slack.

Still thinking trees, we only have land surface to play with and most of that being unsuitable, yet six sevenths of the worlds surface is water, therefore in my opinion a solution must be water based / oceanic.

Heres an idea, rather than carbon offset which is in itself an often dubious mechanism we could have death offset, pay poor brown people to die instead of ourselves … mighty quicker than a one child policy! Whoops, gallows humour.

But seriously here is a scientist talking

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

To the specific page in response to the COP26 cop-out …. http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2021/11/the-exclusion-of-climate-science-from-cop-meetings.html

Timescale? I just read stuff (preferably by scientists) … year 2026 will I fear be a much different place than where we are now, see the above bullet point list, year 2030 may well have seen homo sapiens much compromised if not near extinct.

Read up on aerosols ….http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/aerosols.html

read up on thermal expansion … http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/thermal-expansion.html

note in the above further down the page mention of ‘hole in sea ice in Laptev Sea 2010’,

The Laptev Sea will become famous for its shallowness and store of methane hydrate now set into melt mode. One could spend day upon day compiling this information, I only hope readers delve further than what at preseent at least at this address appears google presenting an obstacle at seeking out the latest scientific opinion, if it was fashion or burgers or stupid social networking it would be presenting me with a myriad of connections.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/runaway-warming.html

http://methane-hydrates.blogspot.com/2013/04/methane-hydrates.html

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/extinction.html

Poor Greta …

I abhor groups and crowds at the best of times buts let remember theres going to be one heck of a covid spike after scenes such as this slow moving jumble of people. How horrifying to be trapped in such a manner.

Covid virus is so small two hundred of the virus will fit side by side in one thousandth of an inch … this equates to four hundred virus side by side across the thickness of a human hair ie 0.002in. Lab workers, biochemists etc know fine well as how dastardly small virus can be and how difficult therefore to work with.

Masks may hinder breath projection which is all to the good but I doubt have much effect at scrubbing inward breath, distance is crucial, as is hand washing and minimising cross contamination, imagine its a powerful red dye that sticks to surfaces, keep off!

It is our daily 365 lives that signal our true carbon footprint, at the moment I’ve got my annualised electricity for my house at 86p a day, at the old tariff I wonder if I can get that to below 80p? Now I just need to work on the gas. We mustn’t lose sight that we still need to be productive in our work and business, unless of course our lives are propelled into a new and topsy turvy world of extinct businesses, shortages and limitations.

I fear for the poor, already in the UK Boris and rich kid Rishi are doing their best to knock the poor back, blind to the hardship they are creating with stopping a measley £20 note, this in practical reality anything BUT the handy feelgood ‘levelling up’ as promised. A lot of of what we hear from number ten is mere feelgood mantra, a slogan, a handy peg to hang an air thin promise upon, a soundbite and little else. Look at the decade and more of defunding of the NHS, ditto Education. Boris ‘acts the part’ but is no politician of any great ability, he does not respect Parliament quite obviously and from my observation has no perceptible knowledge or desire to take us to a better place.

I have no fear of the future, its as if we ourselves are a vast experiment viewed from some distant planet so to speak; our journey of exploration and discovery has spanned a hundred thousand years of stone tools to agriculture, to towns and cities, religion, electricity, the electron, things digital etc. I really don’t know if its at all possible to ‘get out of this jam’.

But also I can’t help but feel what a pity we invented the internal combustion engine! knowledge or desire

At least as a species we’ll not go down without an effort.

The more I think about all this the more I get bugged … Mans intransigence and utmost stupidity, trumps one trillion to the already super-wealthy, the craving for the latest bigger and bigger SUV, the multi home and multi car lifestyle. And sadly academics and scientists at least so far to this point having to keep shtum re the real situation, otherwise you get fired, side-lined, demoted, transferred to other duties; the USA particularly endemic of this so very non-scientific manner of managing things.

Lets drag a few other points, elaborate and often wasteful food consumption ….. just look at the problem of obesity. The need for a foreign holiday. The nonsense of countries saying “Look at our reduced carbon footprint” when in fact most our of goods are made in China, shipped across the world and the West has the audacity to accuse Chine of carbon footprint! Lets remember until recent times all through the C20 the near universal personal mode of transport in China was the bicycle.

Meat being dumped, does this figure in the news, the actual amount of meat taken back off supermarket shelves as out of date, I’ve witnessed this late in the evening as standard supermarket practice, is there data on this, is it fully recognised? I think I’ve had merely half a dozen traditional Sunday dinners in thirty years and now cooking my own food even regrettably being a meat eater I can pad out any casserole or stew with lots of veg, herbs and spices, particularly so far with tricks from India and Pakistan, hint … incorporate punchpooran, a five seed mix that to my mind eliminates the need for salt or meat to any great extent.

In my opinion a one child policy is essential.

1.5 degrees is now a nonsense, its obscene to think this is still a valid number, likewise 2050 ….

Anything style ‘2050’ is utter nonsense, we haven’t got the time, I doubt we’ll be here. Likewise I doubt if the vast majority of humans will be here by 2035. I wonder how diluted will be the reports planned for the first day at COP26, I’d like to think there will be a few suprises, maybe scientists will come forward and ‘grow a pair’ so to speak.

This morning I read of the tragic and gross scouring of the sea bed by deep trawling, surely this should have been stopped years ago?

Interestingly its only been this week I’ve encountered the term ‘vertical melt’ … this is exactly what I’ve been railing about all the time I’ve blogged here, ie three / four years. As all kids know, the extent of snow and ice can still appear as it has been first arrived but only at closer observation can we see that in fact its the thickness that much reduces every day until suddenly one morning we wake up and our sledging and fun in the snow has completely gone. That, is the nature of snow and ice.

Link below for a high quality overview of climate change….

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

and … https://www.worldwildlife.org/pages/six-ways-loss-of-arctic-ice-impacts-everyone

Tectonic plates.

Another fun ingredient to add to the tally of global warming events and I’m assuming will rear its ugly head sooner or later, how else can it be, as explained below if the weight of ice disappears from Greenland than how else can the ground itself react but readjust its tectonic plate structure. Likewise subsea landslides are a real danger.

Not much seems forthcoming on this subject of tectonic plate readjustment / movement, maybe google is sometimes a hindrance than a boon? Or maybe articles pitched at the ‘layman’ aren’t so abundant? The achademic three year peer review system needs drastically to be shortened, we haven’t time.

Anyway, to read it and it is five minutes well spent. As always I hold self-education as vital, just like as in the olden days ….

https://qz.com/681239/global-warming-wont-just-change-the-weather-it-could-trigger-massive-earthquakes-and-volcanoes/

A couple of days ago we hear on bbc radio news that experts announce that the German and European floods could well be a sign of climate change. Wow, that is a serious under-reaction to ever increasing problems.

A petty grumble of mine but what really pips my noodle is cars especially diesel SUVs idling over in supermarket car parks whilst ‘the other half’ gets the shopping in ….. GRRRR !

Second grumble of the day is how lagging the IPCC are in all this, as if not wanting to upset anyone, they are supposed to be predicting the future and to motivate a worldwide response by scientists, engineers, governments, individuals etc. When a bomb was involved it was the Manhattan project, we need that seriousness of response multiple times over as well as vastly reducing our own personal carbon footprints, maybe its fruitless in actual reality but we cannot go down without a fight.

Aljazeera writes achingly sad re the famine in Madagascar, as when I read of the mass starvation during the Chinese Great Leap Forward and then the Cultural Revolution of people reduced to trying to eat scraps of leather or trying to scavenge nuts or berries that they know fine well is slowly killing them then we know the situation is bad, is irreversible for them. I think I shall be making my Christmas charity donations in the next few days. Interestingly a few years ago I learnt that in the Moslem world a working adult will contribute 1/40 of their income as charity contribution each year, I think a lot of us should work by that example and perhaps the tragedy of Yemen, Madagascar, refugees etc may find some relief from their plight.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/23/nothing-left-catastrophe-madagascar-famine-hit-south

Siberian fires and carbon particles.

The title says it all, just about the last thing we need is the accumulation of carbon particles on Arctic ice with its increased absorption and hence melting all the quicker, as goes for a myriad of other interconnected feedback loops ie impending methane in its three forms, permafrost thawing, jet stream alteration (now very much in change) and Greenland ice loss, the demise of algae and plankton, bees and insects in decline, none of those things we need right now.

We have upset this chemistry set called planet Earth with its fag paper thin inhabitable zone as if a one thou cigarette paper clinging to a child eight inch diameter football as demonstrated by simple arithmetic.

Below, fires in Siberia 8th August 2021 … https://go.nasa.gov/3yHx2Kt

Fires in Siberia 8th August 2021 … https://go.nasa.gov/3yHx2Kt F

Climate change, ice loss, the future.

Its not very well put actually, Prof Peter Wadhams does okay in his own style but the other two particularly Mark seem not too good with words, I’d have expected greater eloquence, must be hell to get a lecture from them, or maybe I should have been a lecturer myself.

Good to hear criticism of the IPCC, they have a powerful voice and grip on humankinds response to this climate catastrophe and impending mass extinction event.

It rambles and rumbles along, but I cannot share the enthusiasm at the loss of Stuart Scott the previous frontman for this, I always thought he was too much the lightweight, not much presence, too light a touch on the subject to get anyone to notice, too quiet a speaker. Maybe we need more of the Brian Blessed to get these discussions noticed!

Never mind, Mr Grumpy here, no harm intended, it starts very elementary and luckily gets better, salient points are mankinds inability with non-linear change and a hypothetical question at 28:00 that if we fast tracked solar generation into a five year period as how this would help or solve the matter of human extinction. Answer is ‘not really’ … all the changes are now ‘locked in’ to the unstoppable dynamic of climate change and extinction. Not much was made of the methane time bomb but when Prof Wadhams is quizzed into admitting five years as a possible diary marker for a cataclysmic event in my opinion I agree.

E&OE .. merely my personal views, no harm intended, copyright for text climate-change-briefing.com 2021

IPCC

The IPCC is an organisation I am very sceptical of, the experts are ‘hand-sorted’ so to speak which as we know with the lamentable omission of Prof Peter Wadhams in their last big science-fest a few years ago and so by not publishing his work (the considerations of a world ranking Arctic ice expert) … this means mostly the IPCC can only offer a sanitised and diluted version of what could actually happen to us all.

Heres a case in point of the IPCC not liking the extent of what could occur in the next few years re climate change and how they throw out of the window any modelling that scares or offends them, its bad science, selective science of the worst sort, be sure to look at the chart …

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/07/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-forecasts-future-warming

It must be remembered that if we model climate on a childs eight inch football the portion that we inhabit ie half a mile up and half a mile down equates to the thickness of a cigarette paper, one thousandths of an inch which is half the thickness of a human hair… FACT.

This means the chemistry set known as our worldwide climate systems are easily jarred and reactive to new ingredients ie temperature, ocean flow, atmospheric modifications, jet stream modification, ice loss, methane eruption, carbon particles ie dust, the loss of algal activity in the oceans, changing weather patterns over whole continents, etc etc.

In other words ‘crazy cussed stuff’ … such as drought where we don’t want it (lets say Americas grainbelt or Chinas rice bowl) and rain where it should not be for example in the Gobi Desert or the Himalayas (just guessing). Today we hear in the news that California is losing its electricity supply, upstream theres not enough water to power the hydro-electric generators.

Therefore in the above link which exposes the IPCC dislike of what could happen and refusal to accept modelling for a more catastrophic future than they are prepared to admit, I personally go with Sam Carana and fear the temperature rise will be greater than any contemplated by the IPCC, we are being spoon fed only what is deemed digestible by certain experts and vested interest.

What is fundamental to all this forecasting and modelling is that EVERYTHING seems somehow to be involved in a myriad of self reinforcing feedback loops. For instance today we hear on the news that Siberian fires are releasing carbon particles right up into the North Pole, this was easily seen on NASA Worldview a few days ago. Therefore the ice becomes darker, absorbs heat quicker and … BINGO melts faster from above, never mind the warmer water attacking from beneath. It will be near an instantaneous event when all ice ‘flashes’ from the Arctic, an event of probably weeks, months but not decades.

We have to fight, we cannot go down without a fight, but will it do any good? Not really.

It saddens me that hubris, name it what you will, will never un-mend peoples needs for vehicles of any sort which always one way or another carry huge carbon costs in manufacture and huge problems of disposal.

  • We need to live near our work, to walk there or maybe an electric or hydrogen trolleybus.
  • We need a one child policy everywhere. And applaud those with no children.
  • Car ownership of any sort needs to be a rarer thing.
  • Vastly reduce the American style burger culture.
  • Much reduce airflight for personal and even business need.
  • Minimise food waste, ie see your supermarket near closing, trolleyfulls of meat for disposal!
  • Only eat what you need.
  • Look at the footprint for concrete as a building material.
  • Look at the longevity of wind production, not so green.
  • etc etc name anything you like, there will be a downside to it!

If we lived ‘biblically’ simple farmers and traders and craftspeople I’m sure we would not be in this mess.

Will any of the above bullet points help us all … not really.

Global warming.

This is indeed something the IPCC (ie a worldwide ‘formal’ association and so-called working group of bods pertinent to governments, policy, forecasting and climate change) which in reality lags way behind in vision and of forecasting the dreaded consequences of global warming.

So many crashes and disasters seem so under-reported and under-recognised, for instance to name just a few topics …. the Arctic, jet stream, diatoms, algae, plankton, marine food chain, loss of seabirds, loss of salmon, loss of bees, flying insects, decreasing soil health and microbial activity, methane, importance of ocean algae for DMS and oceanic weather systems, even the decline of the beloved wasp!

In my own garden and at a nature reserve I have visited near daily for decades I’m sure theres less bees and flying insects, hoverflies, Vanessids etc. At the rear of this house two out of three birdboxes have been taken over by bees these last couple of years, my ‘unusual’ garden providing lots of flowering plants and shrubs for them, all intentional. Say March to July I’m actually not in the further reaches of my back garden as I want nesting birds and fledglings to feel undisturbed, apart of course from the dreaded hawk that even last night whizzed past my head and I think had caused problems for the blackbirds, a single adult blackbird clucking the alarm call for more than twenty minutes, I’m guessing as much distress as warning to others. I even a few years ago witnessed a queen fly her flightless workers into the birdbox one by one, carried ‘piggy-back’ from the shrubbery and vegetation at the far edge of the lawn, a sight I’ll never forget. She must have brought them in by stages, grouped for the final hurdle into the birdbox. So that is no problem, I’ll stick another couple of birdboxes up soon, made by me of thicker heavier section wood than anything one can usually buy.

The IPCC seems slow and stagnant on everything. From my viewpoint as merely an interested layman I don’t think there is anything that the IPCC is not woefully slow or blind to at present nor cognisant of the fast happening realtime changes, Governmental deficiencies and their consequences. For instance its near impossible to find mention online of the diatom/ bryozoan symbiosis that constitutes a living coral reef, all we ever hear is ‘coral whitening’ but no practical explanations for the ‘mechanics’ for this to occur, why the bryozoans have perished. To my mind the great IPCC sticking point and the professionals that comprise its panels and working groups is the spectre of potentially losing ‘funding’ for speaking out or being avoided and shut out by colleagues. From what I’ve read the IPCC also seems unable to realise the importance of the interconnectedness of feedback loops, Sam Carana mentions this regularly. An example, increased CO2 triggers plants to reduce conversion of CO2 to O …. and their pollen becomes less nuitritional / of value to bees and insects and I think I’m right in saying there is a decrease in nuitritional of green plant food material to humans and animals as a food source. Happy days!

At least some of our best brains do their best to get ahead on the subject …. Arctic News: Heatwaves and the danger of the Arctic Ocean heating up (arctic-news.blogspot.com)

This is from the above link, if this doesn’t grab attention and motivate then nothing will.

Heres a vid below I’m adding a day later, my heart goes out to all the people and animals and whatever that are stuck with these horribly high temperatures. With the attendant drought we wonder if west coast living might become a thing of the past. We can assume as summer rolls on wildfire will set new records, setting more ash and soot onto the surface of arctic ice and melting it even quicker, the big time bomb (of many) in my mind will be when we lose most of the ice as presently visible by satellite, ice extent is still quite considerable but it is thickness that is rapidly decreasing, ie multi-year ice is fast diminishing.

These temperatures are actually beyond what humans can survive, the phenomena ‘wet bulb temperature’ I first read on Sam Caranas arctic-news.blogspot.com an invaluable information source and my ‘go to’ for anything climate change. Arctic News: It could be unbearably hot in many places within a few years time (arctic-news.blogspot.com)

The vid, a news report …. Western US in grips of hottest, driest summer in 1000 years? | DW News – YouTube

Heres the wiki explaining wet bulb temperature and its dangers …. Wet-bulb temperature – Wikipedia

postscript, this is a worthwhile read ….. Climate-Change Summary – Nature Bats Last (guymcpherson.com)

Dominic Cummings …

What a nasty opportunistic individual with his skewed vision and nail scratching desire to be somehow kept in the news cycle. He’s bitter to the extreme and hurtful to others – whats new – this is Dom Cummings! It is his nature to be so, to ‘have the angle’ no-one else can see, to dismember to turn upside down. Reminds me of very clever sixth formers trying to impress the girls, lots of noise and ‘cleverness’ but in the end of little value.

I think we often get the face we deserve and Cummings bears this out, is most unattractive. In simple terms ‘he has a screw loose’ if not several … always able to promulgate ideas as if known in depth, the glib glibber, but I wonder at his real depth, perhaps just a clever bod, arguamentative and ‘on the make’. He’s been too close to power to let go of it now and in fact wielded far too much influence and policy as unelected and the close advisor of Boris. Why did Boris allow him so much influence, to suffer and encourage him ?

Dom the clever sixth former impressing all around with his desire to be known as the cleverest man in the room, trashing all established norms, de-rating everyone and everything in sight. Again, I find him repulsive, I’m glad I never knew him. It seems so out of character of him for to now be so concerned at loss of life, in his day to day dealings with people his manner is dire, he certainly cares nothing for their feelings. Many if not all in the Commons must dread his presence.

We remember them sadly but looking at the death toll remember that many that died were old people, already so vulnerable, but this is reality, crap happens and must be realised when looking at the numbers; we cannot cheat the effects of age or the weakened old state we will all enter, whether birds animals or humans.

It was hearing Dom Cummings on radio that really made me so sceptical of this desire to pour out all the minutae from fifteen months ago, obviously it was in some ways a different world then, we muddled through, what else can be expected. All I needed to know was in his to my ears a painful delivery, the phoney concerns, the pauses, all telling us so very much more than he realises. He’s clever alright, tricky, an ace manouverer. Pre-Machiavellian or post-Machiavellian take your choice, but in my minds eye I see as if Dickens at his darkest, Mr Cummings stalking the dorm with cane in hand all too ready to inflict pain.

Dom Cummings in his dire outpourings today has capitalised on hindsight to a ridiculous degree. Yes mistakes and a lethargic response created problems and the PPE shortage really should not have happened but considering we were asked to conform to and accept totally new concepts with constricting lockdowns, its my opinion we did okay, outside of war this was as dire a sea change one could imagine, no bombs dropped, we were generally still okay and infinitely lucky as compared to war. Everyone in this country and in Government were being asked to accept completely and with total adherence a totally different way of spending our days. My heart bleeds for all those small businesses, self employed, those on the fuzzy margins, all the struggling black economy workers, the lonely and infirm during all this. The analogy of ‘at war’ is sometimes drawn into the arguament with covid, but goodness me being at war was full of mistakes and errors, yet somehow in an ad hoc fashion we muddled on in a muddy messy muddle. Things have to be done, decisions made, we move forward each day. Ask my grandfather, on a minesweeper in the English Channel with hundreds of evacuees from Dunkirk then to be hit by ‘friendly fire’ and only three survived, swam to France.

I often had the feeling with Matt Hancock his hands were tied, too many to appease, there was a back story we were not allowed to hear; of course there was, its called democratic input and a Cabinet of high stressed colleagues that somehow need to be melded into agreement and with bevys of scientists and modellers adding their data, noise, and opinion. I remember that the 2001 foot and mouth was handled badly, way too much pain and suffering heaped onto both animals and farmers and as if the gold standard 100% credible report from the Duke of Northumberland in 1968 was totally ignored, modellers this time got ahead of themselves and as far as i can see inflicted misery. As the Duke and all practical farmers realised bury local and in quick lime, no transportation, no need for contiguous cull, no ridiculous inefficient pyres. Mr Ferguson! But also we must realise the EU controlled our response during that 2001 foot and mouth, its a blessing and a tragedy avoided with covid yr 2020 we were free of EU control.

A major PR disaster was the term ‘herd immunity’ that was freely aired at the first few weeks of covid here in the UK; yes I can see its meaning but it sounded bad. I was also very sceptical of input from Prof Ferguson, as I remembered him from the foot and mouth cock-up twenty years ago. Maybe I’m wrong, I’ll have to read further.

The biggest disgrace and being led along the garden path during this covid 19 outbreak was the Dido Harding track and trace fiasco; we are talking literally billions of pounds, where the heck did it all go, there certainly needs to be an enquiry. After the tiscali foul-up during her tenure I would have thought she must be kept from any systems and software! When we read ‘billions were pumped into it’ … then where the heck did the money go ?

okay, more to follow perhaps …

E&OE entertainment purposes only, no harm intended, climate-change-briefing.com 2021

A valuable link …

… re climate change, arctic ice loss and ice thinning.

Arctic sea ice’s dramatic transformation revealed through 42 years of satellite data – ABC News

You have to realise thinning can occur from underside as well as from the top. The former I’m guessing will be the downfall of the Antarctic ice shelves as they are levered away from the parent body, its a different set-up down south so to speak.

The action is in the Arctic as we read in the above, the highest and lowest extremes in Siberia at one same location has now set new records and sat imagery shows the depletion and the near non-existance of multi-year ice. You can add my tears to the ever increasing sea level.

Arctic News (arctic-news.blogspot.com) is also a valuable read. Locations such as the shallow Laptev Sea are forever burnt into my mind. I’ve a £1k wager with friend Gary who is a little sceptical of the severity of my forecast that if we have not reached 3deg C or above by end of 2026 then I will hand him £1k cash, no quibble. I don’t want it to be so but we must all realise the severity of what is happening with multiple feedback loops, all self and mutually reinforcing to greater and higher levels, its a lethal chemistry set we should never have set in motion, as if all the ingredients are present and its one big joke to see how we exploit, extract and set in motion the inevitable. If only we could have lived as in a Biblical simplicity.

There are so many factors and components and values feeding into the active equation that is planetary science, remember our space on this spinning ball of eight inches diameter scales at one thousandth of an inch ie 0.001in equivilant to a cigarette paper licked and placed on a childs eight inch toy ball.

There is nothing we do re carbon emission that will take any effect inside of a decade, the latest scares and truths in fact are many, loss of the aerosol masking effect, arctic methane, loss of high altitude cloud cover, and my own pet hobby horse of (near never reported) of the loss of the oceanic plankton particularly diatoms, quite ironic as it is ancient diatoms that form the basis for 70% of the worlds oil and gas supplies.

Arch clown, otherwise now realised to be a ‘stand-up president’ as in comedian namely trump should be tried at The Hague for his four year climate denial, this is a crime against humanity, four valuable years lost.

What would help is a universal one child policy, a move from the American burger culture, to live close to work and abandon your car in whatever form it takes petrol or electric, none of them are particularly green. Everything starts and rests with the individual, I deliberately have hand washed my laundry for the last couple of years, its no problem to me as luckily I have a clean job, here in north east England works fine, a quick wring and the washing line does the rest, none of the endless tumbling and spinning of the electrical machine.

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