So thats where the 12 years came from ….

I gained a chance conversation Sunday and the expression ’12 years’ was mentioned, I assumed she meant something like Sam Caranas prediction in that …  we have a decade left before annihilation, but in fact tootling on the web its a quote from the whacky, so very retro outdated … like … asshole useless IPCC bods.

Twelve years to act as in the quote ….

“there are just 12 years left to act to keep global warming to a maximum of 1.5 degrees Celsius.”

To act … that is too late, treacherously too late.

This is so off target … like … silly beyond belief. As posted previously Prof Peter Wadhams must be sickened whilst amazed and laughing and cringing that such out of sync IPCC thinking is promoted as ‘current’.  Dear God, Sam Carana would suggest its a decade max before serious human depletion on this planet, this little ball eight inches in diameter and with a fag paper covering ie 0.001 inch a thousandths of an inch is to live breath, fuck and fantasise.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

Anyone who knows me realises I’m cheesed off tonight. Reasons don’t matter but what does matter is how many ppl are ‘not up to speed’. To anyone new to this I suggest googling ‘East Siberian Ice Shelf’… this is the biggie. Better add ‘jet stream modification’ ‘loss of oceanic lower food chain’ … ‘loss of Greenland ice mass’ … hell the list needs its own page of A4.

So lets link to some other material gleaned online in the last hour, before I settle down to read …  like  … (not an e-book) one of my paper based books (of more than 2k) contained here within my chambers.

https://sputniknews.com/viral/201810161068939916-ice-bacteria-threat-emergence/

uh-oh, tiscali my ISP is messing abt, useless as usual. It often loses the server lately three times each morning and these last few weeks destroys my emails by notifying me as undeliverable via unwanted unneeded … spamhaus … to block my online activity. Be aware, spamhaus is quite nasty and often quite needless. Also, tiscali email say four years ago became un-usable so no bloody wonder its virtually abandoned by all and sundry; ailing, unusable, f’kcd… therefore I’m using a third party email provider which annoyingly is being thwarted. Who what is spamhaus and quite why they take it to be their business to disrupt my simple tiny quite clean activities ??

Oh well, back to reality …

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/10/18/russian-town-besieged-polar-bears-forced-melting-arctic-ice/

 

 

 

To discuss Global Warming …

This link below provides a lot of topics for discussion, the primary one being the IPCC falls short of providing the full picture of where we are heading with Climate Change; of falling short of what could be likely reality in the years ahead.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

As I’ve always said (at least from Nov 2017 which was for the first time I switched on to Climate Change) …. the IPCC incorporates large scale carbon capture that has yet to be invented in any serious form and ignores the upcoming effect of methane in its three forms ie geological, microbial and thawing hydrates. Lets enumerate the points and note that I do agree with what Sam Carana has to say which I argue is not bias but reason, the evidence and common sense. When trump as yesterday states that the Climate Change Scientists are being ‘political’ he himself is operating at a totally political and morally unsound position. Every sane thinking person on the planet knows this, the canaries are screaming but trump and his twisted and bitter white old men of the GOP insist otherwise !!!

Let me work through to precis Sams points …

  1.  IPCC has moved the baseline (though I’ve yet to read the IPCC document) …  imagine already how much smelting, burning of coal, steam power had added carbon to the atmosphere already by 1850.
  2. IPCC erroneously applies a straight line projection for whatever lies ahead, in reality its a huge tangle of interconnected self and mutually re-inforcing feedback ever increasing feedback loops. What engineers call positive feedback ie an expotential knock-on and is an upward curve, never conforms to a straight line plot.
  3. IPCC ignores spikes, these causing the really nasty shock effects.
  4. IPCC baseline chosen to wallpaper over the worse view from any other historical baseline.
  5. IPCC playing with the stats.
  6. Anomaly as ocean temperature is at surface and land temp figs as air based figures, this Sam Carana tells us can introduce error.
  7. Method and missing data not embracing latest thinking / developments
  8. IPCC omits temp spikes of 2016 that would have as yet again increased the projected figures and are omitted.
  9. WOW … IPCC does not take into account all the real world happening now events ie snow and ice loss, albedo effect, methanes, last ten year carbon effect, aerosol effect, increased water vapour feedback, jet stream alteration, sea level rise and expansion, green plant CO2 conversion fall off, carbon from wildfires, etc etc. Each single point is so very interconnected and all exacerbate each other.  May I add loss of diatoms and plankton that are major CO2 to O converters as well as being part of ocean weather systems, losing coral reef being a symptom of a the more fundamental crash in ocean food chain, the diatoms. Its time now for a fast tracking approach to science, silly bloody clusters of cagouled junior scientists out on the ice shelf / mass is looking a bit twee; a two year peer review is too slow.
  10. IPCC seems stuck in a time bubble, looking at a carbon ‘budget’ approach when in fact carbon is a massive deficit, a carbon bankruptcy, a bankrupt carbon lifestyle that has to be fundamentally altered (which I doubt we can).
  11. Same old song, IPCC is deficient in abolishing fossil fuels.
  12. Tax or fees needed on polluters. Note the worlds obsession with cheap air travel, polluting gas guzzlers, car based lifestyle (of which I too am some way guilty). In my opinion even electric vehicles are suspect and not as green as we’d like to think.

 

Okay, enumerated rant over. As stated previously, I keep things brief here at this new blog of mine. Human nature being what it is, hubris, the desire for status-objects and lifestyle, recreational air travel, a meat diet … all are near insurmountable obstacles.  There would have to be unwavering catastrophe before affluent western populations realise changes must occur and of course global warming and climate change being what it is ie a cumulative self re-inforcing feedback all change would be too late.

There are three embedded vids at the bottom of Sam Caranas blog, lets listen to the first briefer version of Prof Peter Wadhams wise words (a practical Scientist, a lifelong specialist in sea ice) and pretend not to notice the tedious drawn out intro …

  • IPCC non-alarmist, soft pedalling on feedback machanisms.
  • IPCC pays no attention to potential run-away warming.
  • IPCC by not mentioning a major contributor/s its as if it doesn’t exist !
  • More of the same little sticking plasters or feelgood initiatives are no longer any good.
  • Note that even if we stopped all emmisions ie 100% … its already not sufficient to avert us to catastrophe.
  • World expert on sea ice Prof Wadhams tells us that what the IPCC says on sea ice is ‘daft’. Listen to this crap from the IPCC “An ice free summer once every hundred years”  !!!
  • To approximately quote Prof Wadhams “One would have thought that by now the IPCC would be so embarrassed by its out-dated modelling to have withdrawn that type of approach”. “Pretending the situation isn’t the way it is”.
  • Not a single well-known sea-ice researchers name on the author list from the IPCC.

Lets not forget thawing permafrost and the East Siberian iceshelf.

I’ve thought for years that a condensed print onto paper resume of such talkie vids would save time, get the point across quicker. You can name the app after me …..

It vexes me at the increasing and needless number of ever bigger SUVs and even more expensive cars that my neighbours buy; quite needless as we can hardly assume they are involved in ‘light haulage’! I assume they a) feel they need them and b) are drawn into such a value system. I’ve a neighbour that eats nothing but meat and most others that value a meal at its meat content or its closeness to an oversized burger. Others that thrill at their endless air travel, even a weekend break involves the airport or the insanity of a weekend home a thousand miles away. I’m no angel, far from it but strive to somehow do better, to keep things simple, a lighter carbon footprint and have done for years; at least my work is nearby and I’ve no need to venture more than a few miles.

 

I read that the EPA …

… has only re-appointed 11 out of its 68 scientists. To use the word of the Great Orange Fool himself ie the person laughingly referred to as POTUS 45  (and as usual using a derogatory term of his which is most applicable to himself) … SAD.

Whilst trump in his evil intent, in his churn creates a smokescreen, he obscures the massive damage and the dismantling that chunters on regardless; previous good work, research, knowledge, experience quickly unravelling, all these terms of course being anathema to the Fool in the White House.  With Climate Change we need more scientists, not less. Putin is very clever, he’s doing more than bombs and armies ever could.

trump realises in this soundbite world any of his rambling near incoherent vacuous performances known as a speech will be filtered and presented as the best one-liner, his slurring, his inability to read an auto-cue, his pathetic delivery, all are put aside as the self re-inforcing ‘I’ve got it nailed’ soundbite echoes round the world. He is a mockery, all nations just hope he can be contained and doesn’t do ‘anything too bad’. Sounds much like a wayward and handicapped teenager. I intend no insult to mentally handicapped people. He is wasting valuable time and is mocking the adults in the room, mocking the world.

trumps integrity we are assured can be checked with Fox presenter Sean Hannity, trump tells us so!

Who is it that sits there at night with their cans gawking at the screen “Go for it Don”, how sad their lives must be, to be bypassed. This demonstrates the greater effort needed at education and that as I’ve said many times rhetoric is a subject sadly missed. As a civilisation we are going backwards, vast pools of semi-literate are hooked on their drip feed of i-phone, they’ll never assimilate or remember a fraction of what pre-digital youngsters were expected to.  We are creating a sub-class of human, of  those kids whose parents take no notice of how much of their lives are consumed with  their devices.

Here below its hard to find recent material on this subject, but why?

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/04/24/politics/epa-scott-pruitt-science/index.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/gdpr-consent/?destination=%2fnews%2fenergy-environment%2fwp%2f2017%2f05%2f07%2fepa-dismisses-half-of-its-scientific-advisers-on-key-board-citing-clean-break-with-obama-administration%2f%3f&utm_term=.c610005c231f

https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2018/3/23/17147330/epa-scott-pruitt-science-regulations

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jul/17/epa-science-study-results-proposal-backlash

And something just to keep us up to date  … https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/oct/01/trump-nafta-usmca-speech-rose-garden-reporter-attack

We can assume the contraption known as trump ‘delivers the goods’ behind closed doors, does the hard hitting cut to the quick clever talk and gives his close at hand supporters what they like to hear, which I can guarantee is not …. goodwill, compassion, making better, caring or assisting. So the deal is done trump can then step outside to the Press or his rally and like a wind up toy deliver his usual junk. So I can assume the performance given on camera is not the full truth, not the whole man. This figures perfectly, anecdotal evidence of his use of language on his second rate reality tv activities backs this up.

What is the real trump?

postscript … I’m sickened at trumps performace in belittling valid questions from journalists, read the last of the links above. How slimey, how callous and hurtful and all the smug white fools behind him, no better than a group of drunken teenagers from decades past. This is pertinent, trumps angle on the Kavanaugh performance thirty years ago to his mind is that his misdemeanour is irrelevant, not once will it ever occur to him WHAT IS RIGHT AND WRONG ….

Further postscript … lets try some other search terms, to find out what ex-EPA scientists are talking about and luckily as with my new style format here, links generally these days are quickly read.

https://www.iflscience.com/policy/scientists-speak-out-about-whats-going-on-behind-the-scenes-at-the-epa/

https://www.iflscience.com/policy/epa-staff-say-the-trump-administration-is-changing-their-mission-from-protecting-human-health-and-the-environment-to-protecting-industry/

https://edition.cnn.com/2017/10/23/politics/epa-rhode-island/index.html

https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/hsph-in-the-news/mccarthy-epa-science-attack

Here below is a facebook link that is proving difficult to fix to this page, it keeps disappearing !!

/frontline/videos/an-ex-epa-staffer-speaks-out-against-scott-pruitt/10155482565206641/

I haven’t viewed the last link / vid as I don’t have facebook, maybe others have; hopefully is accurate, truth based and informative.

Nature wins every time …

Just heard on bbc r4 at 09:35 a most fascinating interview with Bernie Krause and his half century of sound recording, particularly how the volume and variety of natures soundscape has been declining for many years. The example given of the loss of water and habitat has rendered his example landscape near silent from a previous abundance of life and natures activity. Heres a vid I clicked at random, also we get a quote from William Dean Howells and so I also include the wiki. I actually did think of doing something with nature recordings, I’d collected a few dozen hours using my new Olympus DM-670 and was utterly impressed by its range and fidelity. I collected recordings out on walks and here several at say 04:30 spring thro early summer. Being out over the years I devised the June 13th shutdown which i’ve never read of anywhere else, its a ‘moveable feast’ so to speak.  Thats why i need to get this posted ASAP, I want to enjoy the atmosphere of my own garden before the bustle of the neighbourhood arrives.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Dean_Howells

A friend asked “How do you know all this stuff ?” … easy really, I use a computer at a desk and so can jot down in my daybook or diary or scraps of paper all I find interesting. Theres always pens and paper in every room in this house, books too, lots. Yet some folk think they are more ‘civilised’ than I am  … by living in stereotypical close to empty boxes !! Oh yes and no tv.

Guardian on wildlife…

Harrowing stats, all down. An open window at night might bring in a moth, 25yrs ago there would be lots and you would make sure it was only slightly ajar at night for eight months of the year. Even toads the Guardian tells us are at two thirds down in the 30 years I’ve been visiting the pit heap, funnily enough these last few years toads have been far fewer, water is fed in at a dribble from ag land further up, I wonder if and what they are spraying?

As cited previously its difficult to find up to date news of moth decline. Silence too on Pacific seabird decline and next to nothing on my favourite topic of diatoms – a strata of base level food chain that all successive levels depend upon.

I think municipal authorities could do more, excessive verge clearing must surely not help, though I do realise sapling encroachment may be part of their remit. Our local park is poorly managed say for unhindered sapling ash sprouting out of everything yet still there is the needless strimming at mid summer of any marginal herbage. So what about campion, yellow rattle or suchlike being able to set and scatter seed? Or my pending one thousand orchids scattered as seed a couple of years ago, the repeat of an experiment conducted sucessfully elsewhere. This tells me they know zilch for butterfly conservation. Also old and dead timber is not allowed to remain, hence are adamant on minimising food supply for songbirds.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/may/31/herbicides-insecticides-save-british-countryside-meaows

 

P1110800
Tiny toad found on the road. say 2011

 

Greenland Ice Sheet 2018 …

Googling image search for the above term seems to provide material other than a straightforward text search, perhaps the image has tags that drift toward my chosen term.

Below we read of new studies and the hopelessness of the IPCC Climate Model. In its defence I would say its a useful rallying point and focus of attention yet admittedly it is hopelessly off course.

https://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/bad-news-florida-models-greenland-ice-melting-could-be-way-n268761

The inter-connectedness of all manner of climate aand natural systems really is staggering. On the web generally we also have a problem with whatever slant or denial is woven into the text therefore the reader has to put their brain into gear to recognise what viewpoint is being promoted. To people that seldom read more than a few words onscreen this will be a problem for them, a widespread problem and getting worse. A case presented as first entry google (no link here) full well tells us of Greenland ice loss yet appears to deny any form of increased CO2 being a major factor. It sort of shoots itself in the foot as for whatever reason for this ice loss (and they forcefully promote data of geothermal ie underfloor heating) we are in a bad situation. So perhaps instead of outright denial of a situation the clever way is to weave it into something else. Crafty! The comments particularly are ‘loony’ but we can see quite clearly their silliness and their unimportance. We can notice this all over the web, information but sometimes is actually ‘disinformation’ in its bias I assume with intent to mislead. And I’ve met sane quite happy people adamant their Fox News view of the world is the correct one! Up till now I always maintained the old subject of Rhetoric was much neglected, now I can see being taught to evaluate ‘comparative texts’ is desperately needed.

Who are these people that go out of their way to deny the data, to run counter to what is happening? So energetic to promote their own fixed ‘angle’ when enlightened scientific opinion shows otherwise. A case in point is the reduced transpiration of green growing things due to present levels of CO2 ie less cooling, less conversion to O. Likewise searching for sea bird death in Alaska suddenly halts at two years ago, since then next to nothing available. Bee and insect decline, the former being found with high levels of unbonded ie free aluminium which ties in with climate engineering / chemtrails. By the time ‘studies’ prove this that or the other it will be woefully too late.

 

Postscript 17th May 2018. Regarding media manipulation. Maybe half a dozen times to different people I’ve pointed upwards to the sky not really getting anywhere and today it was a revelation.

“Oh you don’t believe in that mind control” ….

Uh??

“Of course not but what I am saying is that those straight lines that haze and merge are not conventional aircraft trails, they’re full of aluminium and organic growers are having problems with it, its also why California burned the way it did.”

(Remember …. Monsantos GM patents include aluminium resistance).

So who the heck is talking abt mind control? As with the first two people I mentioned this to and avid Fox News fans, as I did determine from that encounter there is concious effort to broadcast material that ridicules the ‘look at the chemtrail activists’. That indeed is nasty and explains why its so difficult to get ppl to look up and take notice. Thats why its so difficult, they have been set against any such enquiry by it being framed in the media as a crackpot notion. Framed to automatically be seen as a nutcase enthusiasm. You see, theres no tv in this house so how wld I know their prior knowledge is so affected, so conditioned to ridicule my concern?

 

 

2018 latest ice data …

Adding 2018 rather than ‘latest’ to the end of a search term will bring better what is the latest.

Using https://nsidc.org/news/inthenews as a source …

Kenya … https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2001272599/rivers-dry-up-as-mt-kenya-glaciers-slowly-fade-away

Hakai Magazine: coastal science and societies … https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2001272599/rivers-dry-up-as-mt-kenya-glaciers-slowly-fade-away

valuable re ice flow in Antarctica … https://eos.org/articles/new-maps-highlight-antarcticas-flowing-ice

rethink of CO2 levels and influence on ice loss, a bit wordy, indistinct but interesting …https://phys.org/news/2018-03-earth-approaching-carbon-dioxide-threshold.html