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Global warming.

This is indeed something the IPCC (ie a worldwide ‘formal’ association and so-called working group of bods pertinent to governments, policy, forecasting and climate change) which in reality lags way behind in vision and of forecasting the dreaded consequences of global warming.

So many crashes and disasters seem so under-reported and under-recognised, for instance to name just a few topics …. the Arctic, jet stream, diatoms, algae, plankton, marine food chain, loss of seabirds, loss of salmon, loss of bees, flying insects, decreasing soil health and microbial activity, methane, importance of ocean algae for DMS and oceanic weather systems, even the decline of the beloved wasp!

In my own garden and at a nature reserve I have visited near daily for decades I’m sure theres less bees and flying insects, hoverflies, Vanessids etc. At the rear of this house two out of three birdboxes have been taken over by bees these last couple of years, my ‘unusual’ garden providing lots of flowering plants and shrubs for them, all intentional. Say March to July I’m actually not in the further reaches of my back garden as I want nesting birds and fledglings to feel undisturbed, apart of course from the dreaded hawk that even last night whizzed past my head and I think had caused problems for the blackbirds, a single adult blackbird clucking the alarm call for more than twenty minutes, I’m guessing as much distress as warning to others. I even a few years ago witnessed a queen fly her flightless workers into the birdbox one by one, carried ‘piggy-back’ from the shrubbery and vegetation at the far edge of the lawn, a sight I’ll never forget. She must have brought them in by stages, grouped for the final hurdle into the birdbox. So that is no problem, I’ll stick another couple of birdboxes up soon, made by me of thicker heavier section wood than anything one can usually buy.

The IPCC seems slow and stagnant on everything. From my viewpoint as merely an interested layman I don’t think there is anything that the IPCC is not woefully slow or blind to at present nor cognisant of the fast happening realtime changes, Governmental deficiencies and their consequences. For instance its near impossible to find mention online of the diatom/ bryozoan symbiosis that constitutes a living coral reef, all we ever hear is ‘coral whitening’ but no practical explanations for the ‘mechanics’ for this to occur, why the bryozoans have perished. To my mind the great IPCC sticking point and the professionals that comprise its panels and working groups is the spectre of potentially losing ‘funding’ for speaking out or being avoided and shut out by colleagues. From what I’ve read the IPCC also seems unable to realise the importance of the interconnectedness of feedback loops, Sam Carana mentions this regularly. An example, increased CO2 triggers plants to reduce conversion of CO2 to O …. and their pollen becomes less nuitritional / of value to bees and insects and I think I’m right in saying there is a decrease in nuitritional of green plant food material to humans and animals as a food source. Happy days!

At least some of our best brains do their best to get ahead on the subject …. Arctic News: Heatwaves and the danger of the Arctic Ocean heating up (arctic-news.blogspot.com)

This is from the above link, if this doesn’t grab attention and motivate then nothing will.

Heres a vid below I’m adding a day later, my heart goes out to all the people and animals and whatever that are stuck with these horribly high temperatures. With the attendant drought we wonder if west coast living might become a thing of the past. We can assume as summer rolls on wildfire will set new records, setting more ash and soot onto the surface of arctic ice and melting it even quicker, the big time bomb (of many) in my mind will be when we lose most of the ice as presently visible by satellite, ice extent is still quite considerable but it is thickness that is rapidly decreasing, ie multi-year ice is fast diminishing.

These temperatures are actually beyond what humans can survive, the phenomena ‘wet bulb temperature’ I first read on Sam Caranas arctic-news.blogspot.com an invaluable information source and my ‘go to’ for anything climate change. Arctic News: It could be unbearably hot in many places within a few years time (arctic-news.blogspot.com)

The vid, a news report …. Western US in grips of hottest, driest summer in 1000 years? | DW News – YouTube

Heres the wiki explaining wet bulb temperature and its dangers …. Wet-bulb temperature – Wikipedia

postscript, this is a worthwhile read ….. Climate-Change Summary – Nature Bats Last (guymcpherson.com)

trump ever the evil clown…

trumps performance at Davos as everywhere he goes is repugnant to any caring, free thinking sensible citizen, in the last couple of days all we hear is trump carnage and apparent ineptitude, but however the gold plated turd does in fact seem to have some ie a little energy and momentary focus, witness the removal of wetland protection and environmental safeguards for water quality … like that runny clear thing that is the cornerstone to a families establishment and a communities survival.

Destruction and the lowest common denominator is the trump byword, nothing good comes from trump. He is a showman, a fairground barker, a Father Coglan; trump mobilises hate. trump has no real ethical talent, he just knows that de-stabilising the sludge at the bottom of the barrel might just keep him in Office.

I particularly am horrified at trumps absolute refusal to take notice of the natural world (ie that thing outside the window that makes the clouds roll by) …  of climate and how quickly unfriendly feedbacks are cascading into a most horrible scenario.

It beggars belief the White House has sunk so low, the web / social media aiding his prospects enormously.

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2019-12-31/trumps-plans-to-strip-clean-water-protections-leave-new-mexico-fearing-pollution-health-risks

RELEASE: Trump Plan Would Strip Protections from Wetlands, Rivers, CAP Analysis Says

Debunking the Trump Administration’s New Water Rule

I think the above image ie NY Times doesn’t quite help us realise that it is running water that is under threat, that people and communities DOWNSTREAM expect better and deserve better than in the days of old.

Here the friendly folk at conservapedia at great time and effort list the vigour at which trump and his motley crew strip and de-establish hard won safeguards, trumps big-time business owner chums must be hardly be able to believe their luck at low IQ low attention span Donald twitching and jumping at every callous request … https://www.conservapedia.com/Donald_Trump_achievements:_Energy_and_environmental_policy

 

postscript, to see the evil and ignorance of trump ….. https://insideclimatenews.org/news/07012020/arctic-drilling-trump-oil-gas-lease-sales-anwr-wildlife-refuge-petroleum-reserve-offshore

The term ‘existential impasse’.

When a seasoned, experienced no frills highly regarded Scientist (and many like him) use the term ‘existential impasse’ and stresses the absolute need for real world CO2 draw-down and which entails developing the technique and then implementing practical solutions with apparatus (huge apparatus) on a multi-scale Manhattan Project style venture around the globe and that these things we know are not happening in any forseeable large scale venture, then we know our days as a species are numbered. At least of those that are of ordinary means and not of obscene and excessive wealth who for a time will be able to bypass the inevitable (I’m thinking methane release, East Siberian Ice Shelf). Remember trees are no good, once increased CO2 hits as well as the methane the trees will shrink from the task, a question of timescale too, but never mind, pretend, its good for planetary sanity.

Here is a regular ‘must-see’, which you can see prompted my title of using the quote ‘existential impasse’. https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/12/planetary-arson-and-amplifying-feedbacks-no-alternative-to-co2-drawdown.html

Look at the multi lane freeways, look at the adoration of huge personal vehicles, dinosaurs on wheels, can anyone detect a lessening of this fixation? No, men still want their big toys and outward success still has the same talismans to display. Of consumption, red meat, food waste, far too many airflights merely for leisure, diesels idling needlessly whilst the other person shops, everything spun and tumble-dried when the washing line used to suffice,  food flown in from across the world, excessive lighting when not needed, the American burger culture, hubris and ego. No wonder we are struggling as a species and throwing all the others into jeopardy.

This year theres no short-eared owls to be seen here in NE UK, therefore we can assume vole populations are down (their food chain also) and how is the earthworm faring as chemtrail aluminium wreaks whatever destruction is unseen by most people.  Already we know insect populations are much reduced hence songbird food sources are much scarcer, bees are critical, its supposedly dementia, again another nano-particle aluminium tie-in. By the time we get it as confirmed peer-reviewed scientific findings it will all be too late.

And heres a little idea of mine, living and spending much time so close to agricultural land, the landscape,  a century ago stone walls were much commoner, we even had ‘hemels’ dotted around the agricultural landscape here in the North of England, ideal habitat / housing for small mammals and nesting sites. These days the vogue is for wire fencing and often with wildlife margins allowed, but its nothing near like the value of a stone wall, or winter protection for sheep for instance. Another example of how ‘we’ are trying so hard to be clever but absolutely missing the point. No-one observes, no-one evaluates, no critical thinking, what at one time would be termed the umbrella term COMMON SENSE.

I’m using a Mark Gertler painting below as what I perceive as the Merry-go-round of consumption, they all look hell bent on enjoying themselves, noisy and blind. The year 1916 and how very observant of Mark.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merry-Go-Round_(Gertler_painting)

 

 

Those clever bbc r4 people.

Greta Thunberg was Guest Editor this morning on the bbc r4 ‘Today’ programme.

Does everyone know this? I was very impressed, I only caught the last half hour but is available to listen again and download over on the bbc radio website. Only drawback is that these days we have to perform the dreaded ‘log-in’; this I shall in this instance do. At one time it was merely click and play; everyone every organisation wants their stats.  ‘The Cloud’ I read is running at 4% of annual electricity consumption and of course is set to rise!

I’m v impressed with Greta, she is erudite in English, has a v good brain and implores everyone note EVERYONE to read the science. We would hope a certain donald trump and his crooked coterie would likewise read the science but of course we know of his unshakable inability to read, inability to accept experts and inability to learn.

Science we know can be achingingly slow at coming back from the ‘front line’, we now have to stay on the up-curve, work hard to be near the crest of real-time feedbacks and data. Science too is full of vested interest, funding sensitivities, viewpoints and stances of all forms of regard and hue.

I wish Greta the greatest good luck and good health in maintaining ‘the message’. She is much too valuable to go back into a schoolroom, it would horrifying for me to see her having to plod along at dated quite needless material when her real task is elsewhere ie the whole world. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=na1aHtv0OKI

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b006qj9z/episodes/player

For a ‘no punches pulled’  instructional overview on climate change and what we need do, the best I can think of is anything from Prof Kevin Anderson, full of intelligent  content; it is a no waffle, pure condensed informative and knowledgeable overview. He speaks with the directness and brevity of a top class experienced engineer.

 

My own ethos is, in my own immediate little world:-

  • no more long drives out into the countryside, I walk and ramble much closer to home.
  • make clothes last, wear them out.
  • cook quick meals, seldom any longwinded oven cooking (and for me certainly no  baking).
  • I wash everything by hand, wring dry and use a bamboo pole across the kitchen ceiling and/ or my washing line outside. No tumbler, no spinner.
  • get rid of the SUV…. and something that particularly irritates me, forget about letting the diesel idle pointlessly in the supermarket car park!
  • forget about airflights.
  • pester the Council, some carriageways are far too overlit at night.
  • eat less red meat; move away from ready-bought ‘burger culture’ its a con !
  • I actually prefer a £15 Melissa bench-top oven, the main oven hasn’t been used in twenty years.
  • slim down web posts, keep it brief, therefore reduces charging and ‘cloud’.

 

 

Freshwater mussel die off.

Blimey, this is worrying. I wonder also how the common earthworm is faring, without it we are snookered. Likewise plankton and remember marine diatoms are utterly essential. I hate to be a doomster but when things ‘get into gear’ re species loss it will all happen frighteningly fast ie a few years. Likewise in my opinion ice loss is being dreadfully under forecast, it seems to my mind laughable when we hear on serious news programmes “Greenland ice could all be gone by the end of the century”, even as a kid I can tell you ice goes a lot quicker than thought credible. More like ten years than eighty, just my guess that’s all.

I wonder if this freshwater mussel die-off is tied into aluminium levels from chemtrail, I also wonder at the diatom and algal populations in the river under question, the Clinch River. These last few days theres been plenty to see on NASA Worldview; but first, mussel die off links ….

https://phys.org/news/2019-12-scientists-huge-freshwater-mussel-die-off.html

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/animals/2019/12/freshwater-mussels-die-off-united-states/

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/oct/14/the-smell-will-knock-you-off-your-feet-mass-mussel-die-offs-baffle-scientists

For Greenland ice melt … https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/09/greenland-ice-getting-denser-thats-bad/

For Antarctic ice melt … https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/10/how-antarctic-melting-above-below-ice-sheet/

 

 

 

 

 

 

My heart bleeds for the plight of the Polar Bear …

Most certainly change is afoot, buildings toppling, tundra reduced to a squishy mess, roads disturbed and in some cases unusable.

I’ve refrained from ever posting a picture of the difficulties for Polar Bears, its sort of perhaps a tad comic in the image below but mostly sad that these fine creatures are reduced to scavenging through human cast off junk and detritus to find a morsel. As I’ve said before, a picture of a starving polar bear should be nailed to the forehead of the nasty clown known as d.j.trump so that he can appreciate the subject to which he is an arch-denier ie climate change.

Maybe yes Polar Bears are scavengers, they can drift inward to seek out something from human presence but we all know these fine animals need to be out on the ice and following tens of thousands or millions of years of pre-programmed instinct.

d41586-019-00843-1_16529292 ... polar bears scavenging a rubbish tip. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00843-1
d41586-019-00843-1_16529292 … polar bears scavenging a rubbish tip. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00843-1

However, we must be careful how we interpret a photograph.

Climate change, a laymans guide.

I often feel there is difficulty in finding or locating the latest on climate change ie increasing methane, ice loss, feedback loops etc.

This overview by Sam Carana holds up well, succinct and eminently digestible for the layman; I am a layman.   http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/extinction.html

It illustrates the stacking pernicious influences which in themselves arithmetically ensure sufficiently our downfall and even for this guaranteed scenario Sam Carana plays a light touch re the inevitable compounding and accelerating positive feedback loops that will push us into a whole new series of situations. Its all a quite dire mix, highly ironic as its mainly the consumption of oil and gas from ancient diatoms that has led to our demise, taking away the fundamental first layer of oceanic food chain and 20% of the worlds CO2 >O conversion. And yet no-one has ever seen a diatom with the naked eye.

I think I’m correct in saying it was independent scientist James Lovelock that discovered the gas DMS a product of oceanic plankton and its importance. I suggest read his autobiography, an instructive blend of practical science, talent and an independent thinking mind.

Also …  https://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/dms–the-climate-gas-youve-never-heard-of/

Sam Carana in a more recent post highlights the disregard paid by the latest IPCC (Sept 2019) briefing / report in which NO FIGURE IS QUOTED for the effects of subsea methane in its three forms, frozen hydrates, microbial, capped gas deposits. The IPCC are criminal in this neglect. However not as criminal as donald trump in the rolling back and eradication of decades of wise strategies to husband the planet more sensibly; but of course trump would know nothing of the natural world.

 

Greenland ice, carbon capture, climate debate.

Debate is perhaps not the best term but a useful search tag for google to pick-up on, action is more likely a better route. Yet here below is recent material to help us focus and realise we need action and fast.

https://www.channel4.com/news/greenland-melting-four-times-faster-than-predicted

From the above …

02:02 … Greenland ice loss id 8,500 tons per second… PER SECOND.

02:15   Half permanent arctic ice has gone.

09:20   How we will have to live and the 3 trillion that is half of what is present day subsidy to the fossil fuel industries that SHOULD be directed to carbon capture.

Author David Wallace-Wells in the above at 09:20 informs us that the IMF estimated world subsidy to traditional fossil fuel industries is approx 5.3 trillion annually; wheras a spend of 3 trillion could possibly completely neutrelise world carbon emission to zero by  utilising carbon capture.

Here below is author David Wallace-Wells that when talking to scientists ‘off-the-record’ realised the disjoint between what scientists think and realise themselves and what is released to the public for general media / news consumption.

 

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Wallace-Wells

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Uninhabitable_Earth

https://www.penguin.co.uk/articles/2019/jan/david-wallace-wells-on-climate-change-and-the-uninhabitable-earth/

 

As foretold.

This newer replacement stack with Windows 10 does not help me get at new information so easily as XP, I feel distanced and I am not being presented the latest discussions. But then again we know where climate change is going. There is so much that is not reported, my own fascination with diatoms is central to the climate change arguament but no-one mentions them. Invisible to the naked eye, yet are responsible for 70% of the worlds oil and gas resources, (were) as oceanic algae responsible for DMS production, something which is essential for ocean cloud systems … a point which only last week is termed ‘news’ when in fact none of the scientific modelling even included !!! Beggars belief. Has no-one even remembered reading James Lovelock or have looked and learned about algae through a microscope? Diatom demise is the reason for coral reef decline.

Likewise Paris and the IPCC does not even include methane release in its (near worthless) predictions. I’ve a one-sided wager with a friend that we are the wrong side of 3 deg by end of 2026, which means catastrophe and our certain demise and my £1k will be safe, not that its going to be of any use, apart from some oxygen bottles and some synthetic food, all quite futile. trumps approach to climate change needs to be regarded as a War Crime.

Ponder on the problems of an absent or interrupted electrical supply, moving money and people, web, communications, sewage, water etc.

As an antidote to present and forthcoming stress I found this youtube v useful, I don’t have the ability (or patience) to sit quietly and watch in linear fashion, but hopping along I got what I could.

Note at night time its an all enveloping dark, and sleep comes quickly and easily. Contemplation comes easy and a good book would be treasured. Many times at my favourite place I have stood and delighted in the landscape around me as daylight turns to dusk and then to a starry night; quite magical, impressive and always a joy.

arctic methane.

Arctic methane is the biggie, on a ten year timescale x120 more potent then CO2 … this we know already from many sources online, I mean blogs and material from sensible people not alarmist junk of which the latter I tend to avoid.

Explaining to a new friend yesterday its not just the two and three deg C rise by at my guess 2026 (I’ve a £1k wager on this for 3C+ by end 2026) that will in itself hurt us ie its just a hotter day to endure … BUT its the effect on world interconnected natural systems with locked in feedbacks and associated drives that respond at such fine-scale limits that will alter this biosphere to become un-livable, this literally one thou inch thick biosphere on an eight inch diameter childs football.  This is thinner than any layer of modern varnish, more like the old fashioned shellac.  Already the jet stream has split into two loops and is streaming hot moist air over the Arctic. My guess is that the end of the greenland ice sheet I quote “By 2100” as bandied in the general press is woefully overestimated; the nature of ice melt is a law unto itself.

Note that of recent years no-one is bandying the expression that ‘nature is resilient’ anymore …

8 inch dia = 8k miles dia of planet Earth

therefore .001 in (one thou inch) = 1 mile approx.

cigarette paper = 0.001 in (copier paper is 0.004 in)

And still diesel drivers idle their engines all day, at work, at supermarkets whilst waiting, during lunchbreaks etc etc.

So much if not all of our CO2 to O conversion shuts down at increased CO2 levels, it does not / can not ‘rise to the occasion’, ie green plants and forests, diatoms, algae.  Likewise my particular ‘hobby horse’ and fascination with diatoms is a critical factor, the irony of using ancient deposits of oil and gas mainly derived from diatoms has led to their own and our demise, see also the loss of the symbiotic relationship of diatoms to bryozoans ie coral reef.  No-one has ever seen with the naked eye a diatom yet nearly all of our petrol and oil carbon lifestyle is based upon them.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/06/when-will-we-die.html

https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/9/6/251