Methane and climate change – the basics.

arctic-news-blogspot.com in my opinion is the ‘touchstone’ for up to date climate change info. http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

Here is a previous post from Sam Carana that explains the methane conundrum / problem / emergency…  http://methane-hydrates.blogspot.com/2013/04/methane-hydrates.html

I can read a text based post much quicker and is a more satisfying and efficient experience than listening to a fifteen minute recap of what I could read in a text format much quicker.  Paul?

It is all irreversible, is by its own nature of interconnected climate change feedback loops irreversible. Who would have thought warming ‘dirt’ would be so dangerous!

Note also the demise of diatoms, a particular keen interest if mine; the gas DMS a product of diatoms and algae is fundamental to ocean cloud formation. We think ourselves so slick and clever but our lifestyles are anathema to this planet.

 

I am baffled …

I had held YaleClimateConnections as worthwhile and a valid source for climate change info, not that I’m much of an avid watcher of these things, I’ve a life to lead and have gleaned full well where we are heading. When will the penny drop that ppl have not the time for presentations of say fifteen minutes, youtube has many other items that need to be scanned as quickly as possible, an attached precis in document form would be mighty handy.  But this mornings visit has me baffled. For instance at 02:40 we are told “by 2100” (a misnomer in itself) that I quote loosely …  “Permafrost carbon feedback by 2100 ‘is’ smaller, much smaller than human fossil fuel emissions” … EH ! ? “Its about ten percent of that” …. CRIKEY. Sorry, invert your arguament then factor in a move of the decimal point.

I find this misinformation and crap hard to stomach. Methinks there is skewed thinking, Orwellian newspeak in action; its called trump, the EPA putting the screws on. Maybe shrouded as a general balm to quell any mass hysteria? IPCC is not much better, its most recent foray into ‘forecasting’ I think I’m right in saying deliberately did not include material contributed by Prof Peter Wadhams the worlds expert on Arctic ice and forgot to factor in Arctic methane !!!

Earlier the first nugget of wisdom in this pointless misinformation from Yale is of the plant life re-colonising and will transform some areas of thawing permafrost / methane release to a nett uptake ie 00:50 and onto 01:00 ! Blimey … now that is real optimism gone crazy. Sorry but even a child would say a thin layer of green encroachment is far outnumbered by the dirty soup of thawing permafrost that in itself provides physical depth and bulk, coupled with and absence of oxygen to generate the dreaded methane that is 80-120 times he potency of the already dreaded CO2. Short term potency is all we need consider, human life will not be here to see it extend to the medium term. Remember too that with increasing CO2 and methane green growing things actually back down and go into reverse in their much needed conversion. Already diatom / algal populations and conversion are going into reverse, also diatom / bryozoan symbiosis on coral reef needs explaining clearly, not just the glib ‘bleaching’. Yesterday even, reading of the tiny numbers of remaining Right Whale and the loss of their principal food no mention is made that it is the loss of lower food chain, again diatoms/ algae that will probably be at the root of this problem.

Maybe I should have been a scientist, I hope I could get at the truth better than this.

 

Theres nothing in this presentation / vid that i can let go unchallenged, its back to back misinformation and nonsense, its endless and what is most alarming is that its issued June 2019!

“The abrupt thaw could represent about a half of the total permafrost climate feedback” at 02:50 …  in my opinion try 1,000 % plus.

“If we can slow down human carbon emissions” … no its all set in motion, nice optimism, but interconnected feedback loops and the workings of nature are so very stacked against us ie 03:25

“Hit our economy” …. yes indeed!

This is like something made by twelve year olds.

 

 

postscript … note the term ‘restricted grammar and limited vocabulary’ … reminds one of the Idiot in Chief presently occupying (sometimes) the Oval Office.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newspeak

One could say quite fairly that in this fag paper thin layer that we inhabit viewing the world as a childs football (ie 0.001in on an eight inch sphere) … drilling and capturing mostly the oil and gas from ancient diatoms that has upset the equilibrium which first allowed humankind to thrive and therefore latterly upset the amazing and horrifying multiplicity of feedback loops have now been forced to realign to the newly introduced contaminants and effluent that now trigger the chemical formula and physical  laws that are quite unstoppable.

trumps refusal and crowbar silencing (as with YaleClimateConnections above) are far worse than any war crime and he should be tried as such. Whilst we’ve got people in the dock maybe Carl Benz, Rudolf Diesel and Henry Ford are to be answerable. Strange but true.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

arctic methane.

Arctic methane is the biggie, on a ten year timescale x120 more potent then CO2 … this we know already from many sources online, I mean blogs and material from sensible people not alarmist junk of which the latter I tend to avoid.

Explaining to a new friend yesterday its not just the two and three deg C rise by at my guess 2026 (I’ve a £1k wager on this for 3C+ by end 2026) that will in itself hurt us ie its just a hotter day to endure … BUT its the effect on world interconnected natural systems with locked in feedbacks and associated drives that respond at such fine-scale limits that will alter this biosphere to become un-livable, this literally one thou inch thick biosphere on an eight inch diameter childs football.  This is thinner than any layer of modern varnish, more like the old fashioned shellac.  Already the jet stream has split into two loops and is streaming hot moist air over the Arctic. My guess is that the end of the greenland ice sheet I quote “By 2100” as bandied in the general press is woefully overestimated; the nature of ice melt is a law unto itself.

Note that of recent years no-one is bandying the expression that ‘nature is resilient’ anymore …

8 inch dia = 8k miles dia of planet Earth

therefore .001 in (one thou inch) = 1 mile approx.

cigarette paper = 0.001 in (copier paper is 0.004 in)

And still diesel drivers idle their engines all day, at work, at supermarkets whilst waiting, during lunchbreaks etc etc.

So much if not all of our CO2 to O conversion shuts down at increased CO2 levels, it does not / can not ‘rise to the occasion’, ie green plants and forests, diatoms, algae.  Likewise my particular ‘hobby horse’ and fascination with diatoms is a critical factor, the irony of using ancient deposits of oil and gas mainly derived from diatoms has led to their own and our demise, see also the loss of the symbiotic relationship of diatoms to bryozoans ie coral reef.  No-one has ever seen with the naked eye a diatom yet nearly all of our petrol and oil carbon lifestyle is based upon them.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/06/when-will-we-die.html

https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/9/6/251

 

 

 

 

IPCC underestimations …. COP 24

Are massive and most likely catastrophically so. The battle is with nature and the natural world of feedback systems. All were in place, fully functioning and in equilibrium  well before we walked upright.

To paraphrase the twit in the White House …. “Who would have thought Climate Change could be so complicated” … Yes and so powerful and so all enveloping. Its ‘everything’ and its as if the roulette wheel decides our fate on one cruel spin.

Carbon capture must happen, yet so far its exploratory and small scale. And may I interject that for each oversize SUV or needless pick-up there will be a swathe of carbon capture apparatus to offset the crap!

The IPCC for instance does not even factor in loss of Arctic ice; its computer modelling is twenty years behind the times and not one recognised Ice Scientist was on the panel. Its as if we are suffering from collective stupidity, the Brits cannot handle the Brexit problem, the Americans are saddled with an idiot in the White House.

Heres some exclamation marks !!!!!! and a few more !!!!!

Below is a vid tieing in Prof Peter Wadhams (Arctic Expert) and a presentation in immediate response to IPCC outdatedness / time lag / ineptitude.

Salient points ….

  • IPCC much over complacent.
  • Controversial area of geo-engineering not explored.
  • IPCC contains / embraces discredited modelling ie ice won’t disappear till end of century.
  • IPCC ignores albedo effect ie reflectivity of the suns warming rays instead of worst case being absorbed (think Arctic methane) .
  • IPCC ignores increased melting of Greenland.
  • IPCC not factoring in loss of ice caps.
  • Govts can quote any target for the future, yet we all know theres always a shortfall that is excused away sometime hence…

To contradict the IPCC, reaforestation is in a practical world not feasible; timescale too! But it always makes nice tv to see junior school bods piddling about with seedlings… Germany for instance is stripping forests to get at open cast mining of lignite  … dirty dirty dirty.

Also the bitchiness, obfuscation and sheer downright twattery of Science reared its head when Dr Wadhams chapter on arctic methane was omitted from a written book / presentation for a Conference in China (without informing Prof Wadhams)  because we are told the Harvard Prof in charge did not believe Arctic methane was a possibility !!!  Remember that methane will arrive from three sources, geological, microbial and the release from thawing frozen hydrates; all from vast areas previously frozen we never visit nor can visualise in their seemingly endless expanse, ie East Siberian ice shelf which exists in huge swathes of shallow sea.

Interestingly Stuarts presentation included ‘Villian of the Day’ naming Theresa May in which she has sanctioned fracking and fossil fuel infrastructure; I don’t know details.

 

 

Also, a brief list ….

https://www.scientistswarning.org/

https://paulbeckwith.net/https://paulbeckwith.net/

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/

https://www.carbonbrief.org/

 

 

 

Hedgerows are hit in the UK …

Tonight I was staggered at the dieback of common hedgerow trees here in north east England. I’d say minimum 5% of leaves are useless and more like 10% for oak and birch of dead and useless leaf cover and also say 50% look less than healthy, I would assume not able to do their job of transpiration and converting CO2 to O.  Is the distress species specific or merely the presence or absence of drains or watercourses that anyway are all now dried up and any moisture retreating downwards?  Theres a long time to go yet in this increasingly dry summer. So far I don’t think I’ve heard of hosepipe bans on the radio, the same medium ie UK national radio last week told us “There had been sufficient rain this spring”  …uhm … I beg to differ, its been mostly dry here all spring and any fool can tell the water table must be low. However the same bulletin did tell us we are a fortnight from ‘wilting’ of crops here in the UK (a week now) which of course farmers dread, it is disaster if is prolonged. Disaster as in ‘no product to sell’ no food for the populus.

It’ll also be a disaster if we get two or three years in a row like this, summer and the landscape in England will become so much different, our CO2 converters dwindling and man-made CO2 ever increasing, in turn feeding into all the multiple feedback loops, already we have the disappearance of arctic ice, methane in its three forms, jet stream modification, food production severely hampered etc etc all waiting in the wings so to speak. If medium size trees can’t survive then saplings won’t.

Theres BS at every turn, for instance I want to write a post later re Tesla cars, so much hype, so many adulatory trolls online yet a simple carbon audit reveals theres not much difference to conventional IC engine power, never mind the total hold up / inconvenience (and real / true cost) of a charging session and the very high initial purchase price and something that cannot or is not allowed to be fixed locally.  Think about mining for lithium, think about disposal of the batteries, theres not much green about it. The only ‘green car’ you’ll ever have is no car at all which is in fact the direction we need to be heading. Perhaps its fair to say that this planet cannot sustain our modern slick consuming lifestyles.

 

Its a multiple whammy …. we need herbage and trees for CO2 to O conversion as the former has risen to all time levels, something like 420ppm.  But the more CO2 rises the less transpiration and conversion is likely to occur, this is how growing things react and are reacting already, as if the plants and trees are working against us; a cross-over on the graph. Likewise plankton in the oceans, massive dieback but scientists are so quiet (and slow) on the subject. I say get some balls, use your wits and don’t wait two years for it to be peer reviewed.

Unless of course the plan is that weather modification comes to the rescue (and aluminium resistant Monsanto GM) …  not sure how as the moisture levels do not seem present to be able to conjure with in the cycle of water. I also wonder these last couple of days looking upward at what chemtrails are present above the blanket of grey?

How much of this leaf damage is from aluminium chemtrails?

The damage I observe is that say 50% of leaves look not healthy …  dull, curled, drying out …. a third or half of the leaf turned a light brown and crumbles at touch. Ten percent of leaves most definitely dead or useless.

I’ve also wondered about the quality of the light this year, it feels harsh, more intense. I’ve read elsewhere that the layers of the atmosphere of which there are many (well researched and have specific names) are undergoing a change. Yet ANOTHER of the multiple changes that are in feedback mode both upon themselves and influencing all manner of other natural feedback systems.

Aluminium from chemtrails is a problem that organic growers know fine well is destroying them. And we know that when chemtrails are aired on mainstream tv a lot is done to bundle it up with erroneous ‘controversy theory’ and ‘mind control’ and other wacky garbage so as to ridicule people such as myself that attempt to raise the matter. Its a big wall of disinformation that has to be scaled to see at the truth, few people bother. As detailed and linked many posts previously a Fisheries Biologist with a lifetimes experience can state with fact that aquatic insect life in west USA streams and rivers hardly exists …. a total collapse. You can no longer fish for trout.

And thinking about it, who actually walks a country lane these days, very very few if practically anyone. Except me….

 

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UK hedgerows are in trouble

 

Obscene chemtrails …

Yesterday 6th June 2018 teatime was quite horrible noth east UK with most obvious chemtrail activity. Remember mess media are most definitely slanted against anyone looking and questioning, they mix it all up with crap such as ‘conspiracy theory’ ‘mind control’ etc and this chemtrail topic is jumbled up say on youtube with garbage sensationalist listings.

This is weather modification and Governments sort of halfway admit its happening.

In the UK we had / were allowed a couple of clear bright weeks up to the Royal Wedding then as expected it gets darker, last week in the UK the skies have been most definitely uniformly grey and cold and to my mind not natural looking. Last three days blue is breaking through noticably later in the afternoon and chemtrails being noticeable. How much is being done above the cloud cover? However by yesterday teatime chemtrails were quite obscene. Clever job done by the media to frame any such looking up and questioning as ‘whacko’. Never mind, it’ll all come out eventually, where ‘we’ are going this is only the start.

Remember, chemtrails produce ‘free’ alunimium that would never normally exist in nature, though the element itself is abundant in a bonded form in the natural world. Its safe to assume that is why California burned the way it did (an incendiary in powder form) they’ve had lots of it for many years. Likewise autism is very high in California and along west coast USA life in lakes and rivers near absent due to chemtrails ie aluminium and other heavy metals ie in powder / nano-particle form. These are facts confirmed by fisheries biologists, at least those with the strength to say so publicly and not gagged by the chaos, cynicism and evil of trump and Pruitt and the lobbying by regressive out-moded nasty old white men with far too much money and self concern.  Likewise the silence on west coast USA / Pacific seabird die-off two years ago.

Checklist to get a handle on this chemtrail problem…….

non-fading aircraft trails

fast morphing and obstruction of clear skies

forming an overall haze

what should be a bright blue ‘high pressure day’ ruined

Also be aware organic growers are suffering most definitely, aluminium promotes disease and malformed growth. Bees are being destroyed by it, developing dementia. Here in the UK I notice the small shrub hebe and also conifers suffering first, never mind catastrophic diatom and plankton dieback, but the marine side also suffers acidification.  Yet its streams and rivers that are going back fast. Last night spied a whole small spinney of a single species immature looking most definitely browned and I would say irrecoverable. Monsanto have worldwide patents for their proven to be aluminium resistant seed, something that the farmer has to go back for each year as farmer grown crop is sterile seed.

The more that green growing things sense increased CO2 the less they transpire and produce converted CO2 to oxygen … and their dieing releases yet more carbon. Its a multiple never ending lose-lose situation. The machinery of nature and the complexity (one could say beauty) of its interconnected feedback loops is quite something to behold. See previous posts for lots of high quality links, vids etc.

 

The silence is deafening …

I leave the kitchen window open at nights but never any moths; a serious decline that in the UK is bereft of significant data in the last five years.

Here I am this morning trying to find recent posts for the frightening decline of moths and as with say west coast USA Pacific seabird decline there is very little recent material. UK moth decline reporting mostly dries up five years ago and the sea bird decline mentioned ‘falls off a cliff’ from two years ago when massive numbers were driven onto land before all perished. Near impossible to find current data. The silence is deafening.  I suspect there are forces at work to hinder propogation of current news of how things are; most certainly we know that the USA has gagged all scientists at the EPA, which in my view is a most certain admission that trump knows full well that climate change is real and catastrophic, hence his desire for the wall and its inevitable militarisation etc etc.  Witness diatoms, witness Pacific die-back and the poison from Fukushima.

Wake up sheeple !!

The time lag between what is happening right now with climate and it reaching the open public forum is too slow, too late. Funny how trump goes on about ‘fake news’ when in fact a monumental effort is being made by unanswerable powers including himself to do just that !!

Incidentally, the continuing ‘moronisation’ of household gardens certainly annoys me, does not help nature whatsoever; the endless stripping of any growing thing to a sterile patch of gravel, block paving and crushed slate is moronic beyond belief. As decades progress the average not particularly talented gardener has lost what little ingenuity they once had. Theres little thought or attention to a succession of flowering things throughout the year. Likewise much street lighting and household security lighting could be scaled back. For instance, roads lit where no pedestrian ever goes and all cars have headlights anyway !

Regarding bees … is it commonly known that with increased CO2 pollen and green growing things are now a third less valuable as protein ?? Think of bees carrying home nowadays ‘junk food’ where at one time this would be high value material, this limits their ability to survive winter. We also need to alter human diet, this meat obsessed ‘affluent diet’ needs to be modified, its damaging the planet. Its tedious and sickening to see oversized white men drooling over overstuffed burgers, meanwhile planning their next longhaul holiday destination. Carbon footprint boys and girls, carbon footprint !!!

Anyway, some good quality links …

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/feb/01/british-moths-calamitous-decline

https://farming.co.uk/news/ukand%2339%3Bs-moth-populations-suffer-massive-declines

https://www.ceh.ac.uk/news-and-media/news/biggest-analysis-british-nature-biodiversity-decline

searching around we find cuckoos are much declined …

http://www.field-studies-council.org/cuckoos/disappearing-cuckoos.aspx

 

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WordPress likes a picture so heres one from three years ago in my garden.

Postscript 17th May 2018. Regarding media manipulation. Maybe half a dozen times to different people I’ve pointed upwards to the sky not really getting anywhere and today it was a revelation.

“Oh you don’t believe in that mind control” ….

Uh??

“Of course not but what I am saying is that those straight lines that haze and merge are not conventional aircraft trails, they’re full of aluminium and organic growers are having problems with it, its also why California burned the way it did.”

(Remember …. Monsantos GM patents include aluminium resistance).

So who the heck is talking abt mind control? As with the first two people I mentioned this to and avid Fox News fans, as I did determine from that encounter there is conscious effort to broadcast material that ridicules the ‘look at the chemtrail’ people. I’m an engineer and used to producing solutions where there isn’t a guide book, no flow chart to help me with never encountered often unique ‘one-off’ problems. Its called thinking and using ones eyes; developed skill, insight, experience. But theres often precious little of that nowadays, third and fourth generation tv fed leisure obsessed sheeple are lost, often quite brainless. The obvious broadcast of derogatory material specifically intended to ridicule anyone that questions something ‘not right’  indeed is nasty and explains why its so difficult to get ppl to look up and take notice, if already they are conditioned to think its silly ‘mind control’.  Thats why its so difficult, they have been set against any such enquiring mind by it being framed in the media as a crackpot notion. Framed to automatically be seen as a nutcase enthusiasm. You see, theres no tv in this house so how wld I know their prior knowledge is so affected, so conditioned to ridicule and disregard my concern?

This week starting in Cumbria on Monday under the west coast flight path and now its Friday in the NE of England its been chemtrail spraying everyday. This was ineveitable as we’d been granted a fortnight of clear blue to get things going in the Merry Month of May. I wonder what I’ll be reporting in a year, two and three years from now ? With jet stream alteration and the cooling effect of the Arctic near to extinction its maybe this year and next when Americas mid and Eastern food production will be severely diminished. Realise too that plant transpiration is down ie CO2 to O conversion as well as the contribution from diatoms which has fallen most significantly. Think ‘feedback loops’. So much always happening out of sight (and out of mind) in a most wonderful interconnected web of nature but those days are gone.

*I was tempted to post a youtube here but to be honest who the hell has half an hour to throw away when the text as a document could be read in a tenth of the time. Thats the problem … too much time taken ‘watching something’ ……