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IPCC

The IPCC is an organisation I am very sceptical of, the experts are ‘hand-sorted’ so to speak which as we know with the lamentable omission of Prof Peter Wadhams in their last big science-fest a few years ago and so by not publishing his work (the considerations of a world ranking Arctic ice expert) … this means mostly the IPCC can only offer a sanitised and diluted version of what could actually happen to us all.

Heres a case in point of the IPCC not liking the extent of what could occur in the next few years re climate change and how they throw out of the window any modelling that scares or offends them, its bad science, selective science of the worst sort, be sure to look at the chart …

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/07/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-forecasts-future-warming

It must be remembered that if we model climate on a childs eight inch football the portion that we inhabit ie half a mile up and half a mile down equates to the thickness of a cigarette paper, one thousandths of an inch which is half the thickness of a human hair… FACT.

This means the chemistry set known as our worldwide climate systems are easily jarred and reactive to new ingredients ie temperature, ocean flow, atmospheric modifications, jet stream modification, ice loss, methane eruption, carbon particles ie dust, the loss of algal activity in the oceans, changing weather patterns over whole continents, etc etc.

In other words ‘crazy cussed stuff’ … such as drought where we don’t want it (lets say Americas grainbelt or Chinas rice bowl) and rain where it should not be for example in the Gobi Desert or the Himalayas (just guessing). Today we hear in the news that California is losing its electricity supply, upstream theres not enough water to power the hydro-electric generators.

Therefore in the above link which exposes the IPCC dislike of what could happen and refusal to accept modelling for a more catastrophic future than they are prepared to admit, I personally go with Sam Carana and fear the temperature rise will be greater than any contemplated by the IPCC, we are being spoon fed only what is deemed digestible by certain experts and vested interest.

What is fundamental to all this forecasting and modelling is that EVERYTHING seems somehow to be involved in a myriad of self reinforcing feedback loops. For instance today we hear on the news that Siberian fires are releasing carbon particles right up into the North Pole, this was easily seen on NASA Worldview a few days ago. Therefore the ice becomes darker, absorbs heat quicker and … BINGO melts faster from above, never mind the warmer water attacking from beneath. It will be near an instantaneous event when all ice ‘flashes’ from the Arctic, an event of probably weeks, months but not decades.

We have to fight, we cannot go down without a fight, but will it do any good? Not really.

It saddens me that hubris, name it what you will, will never un-mend peoples needs for vehicles of any sort which always one way or another carry huge carbon costs in manufacture and huge problems of disposal.

  • We need to live near our work, to walk there or maybe an electric or hydrogen trolleybus.
  • We need a one child policy everywhere. And applaud those with no children.
  • Car ownership of any sort needs to be a rarer thing.
  • Vastly reduce the American style burger culture.
  • Much reduce airflight for personal and even business need.
  • Minimise food waste, ie see your supermarket near closing, trolleyfulls of meat for disposal!
  • Only eat what you need.
  • Look at the footprint for concrete as a building material.
  • Look at the longevity of wind production, not so green.
  • etc etc name anything you like, there will be a downside to it!

If we lived ‘biblically’ simple farmers and traders and craftspeople I’m sure we would not be in this mess.

Will any of the above bullet points help us all … not really.

A valuable link …

… re climate change, arctic ice loss and ice thinning.

Arctic sea ice’s dramatic transformation revealed through 42 years of satellite data – ABC News

You have to realise thinning can occur from underside as well as from the top. The former I’m guessing will be the downfall of the Antarctic ice shelves as they are levered away from the parent body, its a different set-up down south so to speak.

The action is in the Arctic as we read in the above, the highest and lowest extremes in Siberia at one same location has now set new records and sat imagery shows the depletion and the near non-existance of multi-year ice. You can add my tears to the ever increasing sea level.

Arctic News (arctic-news.blogspot.com) is also a valuable read. Locations such as the shallow Laptev Sea are forever burnt into my mind. I’ve a £1k wager with friend Gary who is a little sceptical of the severity of my forecast that if we have not reached 3deg C or above by end of 2026 then I will hand him £1k cash, no quibble. I don’t want it to be so but we must all realise the severity of what is happening with multiple feedback loops, all self and mutually reinforcing to greater and higher levels, its a lethal chemistry set we should never have set in motion, as if all the ingredients are present and its one big joke to see how we exploit, extract and set in motion the inevitable. If only we could have lived as in a Biblical simplicity.

There are so many factors and components and values feeding into the active equation that is planetary science, remember our space on this spinning ball of eight inches diameter scales at one thousandth of an inch ie 0.001in equivilant to a cigarette paper licked and placed on a childs eight inch toy ball.

There is nothing we do re carbon emission that will take any effect inside of a decade, the latest scares and truths in fact are many, loss of the aerosol masking effect, arctic methane, loss of high altitude cloud cover, and my own pet hobby horse of (near never reported) of the loss of the oceanic plankton particularly diatoms, quite ironic as it is ancient diatoms that form the basis for 70% of the worlds oil and gas supplies.

Arch clown, otherwise now realised to be a ‘stand-up president’ as in comedian namely trump should be tried at The Hague for his four year climate denial, this is a crime against humanity, four valuable years lost.

What would help is a universal one child policy, a move from the American burger culture, to live close to work and abandon your car in whatever form it takes petrol or electric, none of them are particularly green. Everything starts and rests with the individual, I deliberately have hand washed my laundry for the last couple of years, its no problem to me as luckily I have a clean job, here in north east England works fine, a quick wring and the washing line does the rest, none of the endless tumbling and spinning of the electrical machine.

Theres approx five hundred posts on this paid for blog, please explore.

copyright climate-change-briefing 2021

Those clever bbc r4 people.

Greta Thunberg was Guest Editor this morning on the bbc r4 ‘Today’ programme.

Does everyone know this? I was very impressed, I only caught the last half hour but is available to listen again and download over on the bbc radio website. Only drawback is that these days we have to perform the dreaded ‘log-in’; this I shall in this instance do. At one time it was merely click and play; everyone every organisation wants their stats.  ‘The Cloud’ I read is running at 4% of annual electricity consumption and of course is set to rise!

I’m v impressed with Greta, she is erudite in English, has a v good brain and implores everyone note EVERYONE to read the science. We would hope a certain donald trump and his crooked coterie would likewise read the science but of course we know of his unshakable inability to read, inability to accept experts and inability to learn.

Science we know can be achingingly slow at coming back from the ‘front line’, we now have to stay on the up-curve, work hard to be near the crest of real-time feedbacks and data. Science too is full of vested interest, funding sensitivities, viewpoints and stances of all forms of regard and hue.

I wish Greta the greatest good luck and good health in maintaining ‘the message’. She is much too valuable to go back into a schoolroom, it would horrifying for me to see her having to plod along at dated quite needless material when her real task is elsewhere ie the whole world. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=na1aHtv0OKI

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b006qj9z/episodes/player

For a ‘no punches pulled’  instructional overview on climate change and what we need do, the best I can think of is anything from Prof Kevin Anderson, full of intelligent  content; it is a no waffle, pure condensed informative and knowledgeable overview. He speaks with the directness and brevity of a top class experienced engineer.

 

My own ethos is, in my own immediate little world:-

  • no more long drives out into the countryside, I walk and ramble much closer to home.
  • make clothes last, wear them out.
  • cook quick meals, seldom any longwinded oven cooking (and for me certainly no  baking).
  • I wash everything by hand, wring dry and use a bamboo pole across the kitchen ceiling and/ or my washing line outside. No tumbler, no spinner.
  • get rid of the SUV…. and something that particularly irritates me, forget about letting the diesel idle pointlessly in the supermarket car park!
  • forget about airflights.
  • pester the Council, some carriageways are far too overlit at night.
  • eat less red meat; move away from ready-bought ‘burger culture’ its a con !
  • I actually prefer a £15 Melissa bench-top oven, the main oven hasn’t been used in twenty years.
  • slim down web posts, keep it brief, therefore reduces charging and ‘cloud’.

 

 

Endlessly explaining.

It really bugs me that so much hot air is continually expended endlessly repeating the basics of what climate change and mass extinction is all about, ie methane, changing weather systems, ocean food chain die-off, red meat production, forest clearance etc with so many (in the end) irrelevant ‘actors’ to use the trendy term who keep poking their stick into the spokes while times runs through our fingers like water.

Maybe communications and punditry are too easy nowadays; just as I am here adding my pennyworth; but at least we can voice our concerns in some way, cross-influence and develop dialogue, to reach out.

Yet still we have deniers to climate change itself!

The complete overhaul and re-alignment of human mind-set looks in my opinion to be impossible; consumerism and keeping up with the Joneses has too great a hold, ego rules peoples lives, western ‘face’ is everything. So many ppl seem unable to resist advertising pressure; good salaries are expended on forgotten tomorrow high end gifts and short term fixes, gizmos kids don’t need. We’ve become too slick, too mindless; we cannot it seems move the decades back to a cannier closer lifestyle of smaller pleasures and more modest activities.

I read yesterday of how at present  ‘the cloud’  consumes 4% of existing electricity produced and will something like triple in a decade! Likewise bitcoin mining, soaks up electricity at a bizarre and frightening amount, equivelant to a small European country.

I just do not know how we can wean humans away from needless consumerism wanting to buy ‘new things’ and excessive sprawling carbon footprint. Disney has a lot to answer for, brain washing then screwing its customers for the ‘Disney experience’ FLA Paris etc  and its pointless merchandise. I can imagine cars, personal transport and red meat consumption will shift to the rich only, such things will still exist right to the end but at a price.

Everyone seems to have a viewpoint, yet for most of these their viewpoint merely slows change, treacles up the process to an aching slowness.

We lose Arctic ice and all that seems to mean is territorial affirmation, commercial exploitation, big corporate self interest; witness trump and his shenanigans. I feel sorry for the Australians, I feel sorry for the coming El Nino.

 

 

Why do diesel drivers do this?

A flash new diesel SUV in the supermarket and as happens so often the remaining nitwit in the SUV insists on the diesel engine continuing to run, I was away from my own small car and twenty minutes later he’s still got the running !!!

I think some form of bye-law banning this would be in order.

This always annoys me, diesel drivers parked at the supermarket yet the engine running. I was starting to get vocal, the driver oblivious, never mind, gave him a good peep on the horn as I pulled away and twenty yards further on spoke to total strangers … “Theres catastrophic global warming and for twenty minutes he’s been sat there with the engine running”!! Thankfully they agreed.

My own carbon footprint is improving, my walks and nature rambles happily closer to home, saves petrol too and since my washing machine broke down a couple of months ago i actually do prefer the simple manual activity of a plastic bucket. I have that ‘wonder-gizmo’ called a washing line and gravity drains my clothes and the breeze dries them, even on cold days its okay as long as not actual ice. Anyone that can should be encouraged to do likewise. there never has been a tumble drier here and these last few years it has always bugged me as to how long the washing machine took to spin. now, i don’t think i could tolerate its noise. i also do think that my towels seem cleaner and fresher by virtue of manual plastic bucket over electricity consuming washing machine.

What we now need to see is a reduction in street lighting and a reduction in needless use of security lighting for homes as well as industrial.  Homeowners often have glaring security lighting for yards / gardens they never hardly enter and that no sane burglar would ever wish to go there ie the place is bare, bereft.

bbc r4 news tells us theres moves afoot here in the UK to be carbon neutral by 2050. Fine, if we are still here (which I personally doubt ie Arctic methane, etc) …  but the cringing inadaquecy of the brief news piece at the top of the hour was that we “May have to turn the thermostat down to 19” and also that “We may have to eat less red meat” … wow talk about inadequate!

Ideas for reducing carbon foortprint …

  • halve red meat consumption every two years, get inventive in the kitchen.
  • ban diesels idling in car parks.
  • wash a few items in the sink, get a washing line if feasible.
  • drastically reduce street lighting / security lighting and home outdoor lighting say to one third.
  • drastically reduce air flights, encourage limiting personal mobility from engine powered devices.
  • limit acceleration on bigger SUV type vehicles on open roads / motorways.
  • police more effectively forest elimination ie for red meat production.
  • population control, a one child policy.

 

footnote: we read this morning how prescient tv presenter James Burke actually was, particularly the negative side of web and connectivity … https://www.indy100.com/article/james-burke-internet-politics-1985-video-viral-8894851

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Burke_%28science_historian%29

Insect decline.

Plenty of news coverage yesterday re insect decline, bizarre predictions of  ‘100 years’ seem so silly, if insect loss stands as it does now I’d say three years, five or seven. How else, if they’re ‘dropping like flies’  (horrible pun)  with nicotinoids and unmentioned aluminium levels then the tail off will can only be drastic. I feel so sorry for the knock on effects, to lose garden song birds will be so sad. Likewise bees, butterflies, and i wonder at earthworms. I garden for birds here, strangers have told me so, yet we use the term ‘garden songbird’ when in fact gardens suitable for them, swathes of urban garden are punctuated with barren grass patches at best or paving and gravel and the dreaded dreaded membrane. People just do not seem to connect, few people plant a garden hedge, there are other preoccupations, other toys to play with nowadays. People are so THICK …

My garden is a maze of carefully thought out ‘jumble’, niche corners, shrubs, flowering things, every day of the year theres something in flower. All done at little expense, lots from seed and cuttings.

Many farmers are not the best of operators in ensuring biodiversity, often on my rambles hedges are left to fail and thin and then remain as a few straggling hawthorn sixty years later. A most useful small / mini wood at the entrance to Old B Church was destroyed a few years ago, snowdrop churned to muck, for no purpose, the Forestry Commission a hundred miles away telling me they granted a license to fell and there will be i assume grant aid to develop another artificial synthetic planting. Here in our local Park much used by urban dogwalkers similar nonsense is occurring, an obsession in destroying potential butterfly habitat ie strimming and putting out of reach leaf litter for blackbirds with an obsession with wood chippings; maybe I’m wrong, maybe it will house worms and woodlice, I shall have to check.

Likewise at a couple of separate places i visit, i place bird seed in useful rough weathered fencepost, for twenty years yellowhammer have always accompanied me along that road in spring and summer, its the least i can do. I feed horses too, initially a little neglected, twenty years ago, nowadays the owners realise they need to make an effort. Its what you do that matters, not platitudes or vacuous observations with no follow up. In the bad snow of seven years ago it was only one visit in six weeks that I missed a 28 mile round trip to feed each afternoon; snow tyres being essential.

Do kids do gardening at school? They’ve stopped the wood and metalwork decades ago. And I always wonder that once the photo-op has passed what are the results of their efforts with trowel and seed packet? The consistency, the regularity of effort?

I recall my years eleven to sixteen in a village Secondary School NE England … the microscopes only ever came out of the cupboard once in five years, the biology / science teacher hopeless and uninterested, many lessons devoted to playing ‘hangman’ while he played around with his admin tasks!

We most definitely are bringing up kids that cannot make perform simple tasks to satisfactorily conclusion, cannot complete a practical task. The term ‘using ones hands’ still carries to many a derogatory inflexion to it. Lets blame the Educationalists, they have eradicated so much that is practical and geared toward a finished piece of work, not just fannying on with the apron and plastic specs. We live in a bullshit world, we are getting what we deserve.

An American style obsession driven by big business, all sizes of business with red meat and burgers will have to be re-thought, likewise population control; likewise what we spray on the fields. Probably its too late, but i would never give in, never decline to make the effort.

Aluminium levels are much ignored, not embraced as mainstream and my interest in diatoms is just too obscure (fundamental to the marine food chain) to yield anything from online searches!

 

https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/world-seeing-catastrophic-collapse-of-insects-study

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/feb/10/plummeting-insect-numbers-threaten-collapse-of-nature

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47198576

https://www.wired.co.uk/article/insects-dying-out-uk

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00553-8

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47203344

 

From the Readers Digest Book of Birds, a most valuable and informative book. It 'appeals' ... is a beautiful object, it draws you in like no website ever could.
From the Readers Digest Book of Birds, a most valuable and informative book. It ‘appeals’ … is a beautiful object, it draws you in like no website ever could.

 

Isn’t that a beautiful rendition of the lapwing!  So accurate, so characterful, a credit to the artist. Their antics, their beautiful rippling warble across upland landscape is joyful, a masterpiece of creation. To those that don’t know it, they are sadly lacking.

So lets remind ourselves and also learn …

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silent_Spring

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pesticide_toxicity_to_bees

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R._Ehrlich

https://www.ecologise.in/2017/10/26/giant-insect-ecosystem-collapsing-due-humans-catastrophe/

Esquire and links…

The Esquire article holds worthwhile links to get a grip on climate change, it would benefit donald j trump enormously to get a handle on this  ….

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a26077427/trump-tweet-midwest-cold-global-warming/

With warming oceans you can forget abt the marine food chain, lower strata and indispensable diatoms, algae, plankton hardly get mentioned yet are crucial. Its my opinion its diatom collapse that we’ve lost coral reef, its a symbiotic relationship and have yet to find one article stating this case.  Its burning the oil and gas remains of diatoms that has led us to this predicament, ironic in the extreme. A few months ago i posted a ‘make a model of planet Earth’ whereby the usable space ie a mile total on this planet is represented by a one thousandths of an inch cigarette paper moistened onto the surface of a kids eight inch diameter football. Scale one thou inch equals one mile. A lot of the ice is melting from below, as when kids, we are so suprised next day its gone. As Sam Carana tells us its when grain production fails that we will really be in a predicament. Its as if everything we have, nature etc is merely a scummy film ready to be wiped off.

https://wordpress.com/read/feeds/84273524/posts/2153823518

trump is a dickhead of an extreme and dangerous kind, seems theres a word to express his wish to incubate, spread and render viable the worst of ignorance for the common masses i mean those people he cares not one jot for other than poll and voting numbers … the spread of ignorance agnotology.

 

postscript : here a link from the above Esquire article, near total absence of insects and butterflies from Puerto Rican forest as visited by scientific professionals  ie 98% of ground dwelling insects are gonehttps://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jan/15/insect-collapse-we-are-destroying-our-life-support-systems

 

 

chemtrail diary 25th Jan 2019

I don’t want this, I didn’t ask for it and the media obfuscation / ridicule re chemtrails annoys me ie bundled up with spurious nonsense theories. All is factual here, nothing photoshopped; a nasty day full of chemtrails, on my reporting system say DQA 955 (MP)  … see bottom of post linked below to read of my reporting system, likewise search tags and categories. Note early DQA was max of 5,5,5, now its a max of 10,10,10, which allows me a finer gradation.

Previous post of mine re sat imagery … https://climate-change-briefing.com/2019/01/22/chemtrails-caught-on-nasa-imagerey/

Nothing appeared till 0800, then until 1200 noon it was continuous and quite blatant chemtrails (likewise as i type the 26th Jan ditto) …. the above link also includes sat imagery as additional proof. The sky was very much man made, aluminized.

Its obvious meteorologists / weathermen must all be under the Official Secrets Act, to not notice or comment on this is absurd.

Note the very obvious ‘aluminized sky’ … a term I’ve coined along with my DQA system and the slogan … ‘wise up – CARBON DOWN!’

And so everything we love such as pictured below is being rendered useless. I cannot see how the well heeled can swallow the bitter pill of a greener economy and lifestyle other than being massively taxed on both fuel and engine capacity, which I think will have to happen anyway.

Its imperative we live closer to work, rid ourselves of the obsession with beef and beefburgers, drastically reduce cheap air travel, stop having so many kids.

We need to forget the endless craving for yet more Economic Growth.

Plant conversion reduces with inc CO2, theres the methane time bomb not even included in the recent IPCC Report and jet stream, climate feedback loops etc have gone walkabout, escalating horribly interconnected. Marine food chain, sea life all fright now being screwed.  you cannot even find up to date data re earthworm reaction to aluminium from chemtrails nor the affects on diatoms at sea, algae, molds, bacteria as for soil health. Two year peer review and all that nonsense is now proving a hindrance I reckon. Lets say crop loss in three years, methane release out of control say year six.

wise up – CARBON DOWN !

 

 

Essential listening…

This is a good vid, straight into the nitty gritty … the stupidity of trump, the urgency of climate change, the arrogance and blind refusal of the GOP to accept climate change being real and the problem is here right now … notice Noam Chomsky tells us of the obscene roll-back of USA Emmisions Laws … they admit they don’t care and it ‘doesn’t matter’ ….. the bar is set so low now that people are limboing in the mud itself.

 

Greta Thunberg …

Go for it!

I’m so happy to see this activism.

The problems we now face are beyond anything we could ever have imagined fifty years ago or have contemplated would ever have to be grappled with in any ‘modern’ society. As if by our modernity we are above such things. But it is precisely our so-called twentieth / twenty first century modernity that has brought about such things ie the burning of fossil fuels. So God we can assume never meant for use to insist we all have a pick-up or an SUV or jet around on holidays and timeshares and family villas in other countries. God I mean as the final arbiter, the sense of knowing we are fckd.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/26/im-striking-from-school-for-climate-change-too-save-the-world-australians-students-should-too

https://www.mail.com/int/entertainment/celebrity/8881628-latest-teen-climate-activist-blasts-absent-politic.html#.1272-stage-ss1-1

Its like being in class, no-one individually wants to sit upright or exercise endless silence during lesson BUT as a corpus a body we must. I’m not at all sure we’ll get out of this, its do-able but means a step back two (or three) generations in comfort and convenience. We now have the ‘me’ and the ‘I want’ mindset, particularly among those with a little bit of financial advantage. How shall we wean them from their burgers? Or more specifically – you can only eat what you grow yourself !!! This would mean our ancient ancestors were so much cleverer than ourselves. Yes we have dumbed own. Imagine, instead of ‘all you can eat for $10’ we changed to ‘all you can eat in 12 months’ of horticultural activity.  We wld be lithe, slim, alert.

Seriously though, these now are problems beyond anything we have encountered previously.

Its a new urgency. And therefore bullshitters the like of trump need to be put in their place.

Postscript … https://wordpress.com/read/feeds/84273524/posts/2090916514