No10, Boris and climate change.

I subscribe to updates from carbonbrief.org and this just arrived in this morning. Makes for interesting reading, and pertinent to these last few weeks wishing this countrys leadership can get back to focusing on climate change, the elimination of poverty and coping with the future.

But lets also remind ourselves of COP26 Glasgow … what did it achieve?

Were the right people invited?

How will COP26 be viewed in hindsight?

In actual effect was it pointless?

One could be certainly justified in saying it was pointless, the IPCC we must remember does not factor in the effects of methane, something that can arrive as microbial activity, thawing methane hydrate previously locked as ice, and subsea ice itself thawing and allowing vent to previously trapped methane fields. Also, I find it erroneous when the multiplication factor of say 80x is bandied around for methane which is a projection over an incredibly generous time frame, in reality with a series of big releases in one season of thawing our time on this planet would be measured in months, and at that timeframe the methane effect must surely be many hundreds that of CO2.

Lets add some substance to this, casting around re methane Al Jazeera have this worthwhile article and vid embed third of four lower down the page … https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2021/10/27/melting-arctic-ice-permafrost-uncontrolled-global-heating

I know where we are heading – methane.

I’ve done sufficient to know where we are heading with methane, the East Siberian Ice Shelf methane time-bomb etc. Yet in these early days of the unfolding methane ‘problem’ its horrible to see the waves of information and pictures unfold confirming where we are heading.

I got the twitter from the Paul Beckwith youtube channel.

Heres the article you need to read ..  https://www.newsweek.com/methane-boiling-sea-discovered-siberia-1463766

Hint: google for the arctic map and note all the shallow sea that covers the undersea thawing permafrost, I read somewhere it is up to 20km thick, all ripe for frozen hydrate to thaw, the subsea frozen cap to disappear and microbial activity to get into full swing and for sealed methane gas deposits to vent. Green things, trees and plants will go into reverse, shutdown and already the 20% of CO2 conversion offered by oceanic plankton, algae (diatoms etc) is most definitely declining.

And meanwhile trump fiddles ….

 

 

Scientists warning.

A month ago (June 21st 2019) I blogged and drew attention to how nonsensical, silly and downright intentionally misleading was a Yale presentation on youtube telling us how insignificant and quite benign was the impending release of methane (in three forms ie frozen hydrate, microbial and geological) as the permafrost melts, as it is in fact doing right now quite happily in all shallow Arctic sea including the East Siberian Ice Shelf.

My post re Yale Climate Connections nonsense … https://climate-change-briefing.com/2019/06/21/i-am-baffled/

A motley crew indeed … its called ‘funding’ …  pure and simple.

I’ve written this post energised by viewing today the vid below saying exactly as I do that basically the Yale presentation is garbage, staggering in its complacency and lack of knowledge; just a total and tragic disconnect from where we are at present.

The vid below is an embed on this page … http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/07/most-important-message-ever.html

 

 

I think I’m correct in saying that last years folly of the 2018 IPCC Report did not include Dr Peter Wadhams Arctic Ice material (world expert) and ignored impending methane release.

In the above attention is drawn to the misleading nature of the Yale Climate Connections presentation (02:00), the importance of the Russian work on methane release (14:00) and how Natalia Shakhova cannot get her work peer reviewed or published as her data indicates methane levels her reviewers do not want to read of !! Basically this is censorship.

Below is a good intro to the subject … Natalia Shakhova, Univ Alaska, Fairbanks.

 

 

Another, easy read intro … https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/06/20/the-dangerous-methane-mystery/

Whilst we are here, a link below to a worthwhile read, climate change and the microbial aspect …

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41579-019-0222-5

A map of natures reaction …

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2018/07/can-we-weather-the-danger-zone.html

Its three posts ago from arctic-news but this map I’ve pasted below is certainly worth contemplation and committing to memory, I find it stunning. Titled vulnerable carbon pools.

Here also we can find the same map, its in several sites across the web … http://cosmology.com/ClimateChange101.html

Also from Aug 2013 … https://www.sbs.com.au/news/comment-methane-and-the-risk-of-runaway-global-warming

I cannot get it to copy and paste and being an old geezer my instant reaction is draw it on paper, but taking pics and uploading is a chore for me now mostly. Recently its popped into my mind several times that drawing maps freehand would be a useful hobby for me and in fact for kids too … most are woefully ignorant of the shape of countries, location, the assemblage of the land masses. Something to draw you out of yourself and is not connected with money and also the pursuit of what I call an American style  ‘leisure lifestyle’  and sold to us as consumerism… create some quiet time, another version of a Tea Ceremony! Use an atlas in book form, no need for a screen for this one. Screens in fact are page specific likewise the material delivered by google, books in some or many instances can provide a so much broader and serependitious view ie you can leaf through the pages. Thank goodness I grew up in a pre-web age.

One thing I do miss about the pre-web days is how easy it was to stumble upon new things, for instance art in its various forms, architecture, sculpture, paintings, watercolours, sketches; thought made visible by clever and talented people.

Got it …..

carbon-pools-1

Its more than just a ‘map of the land’ my initial choice of ‘nature’ in the post title fits better as the change and disturbance of temperature means that the brown areas ie high altitude peatlands are in for a catastrophic awakening. Remember that methane exists in three forms, geological deposits, frozen hydrate and microbial action. But on reflection ‘reaction’ fits better as boy-o-boy these huge unpopulated land masses are most certainly going to react. Remember too the slowing down of transpiration of green growing things in reaction to increased CO2; diatoms / algae much affected (another converter out in the oceans)  reduced regeneration or new growth of trees due to water and heat stress and the myriad of self amplifying and interconnected amplifying interconnected feedback loops. Certainly the increasing desire for a meat based diet is wasteful of resources, too expensive ecologically and can be seen to lag fifty years as to what we should be doing nowadays. Its not easy to keep this to an intentional brief post as is the fashion these days. Thats why theres previous posts here to read through. I’m learning as I go …..

For instance to quote from http://www.sbs.com.au posted 2013  …

In 2010 a Russian marine survey conducted more than 5000 observations of dissolved methane showing that more than 80% of East Siberian shelf bottom waters and more than 50% of surface waters are supersaturated with methane. Atmospheric methane levels (during glacial periods: 300–400 parts per billion; during interglacial periods: 600–700 ppb) have recently reached 1850 ppb – the highest in 400,000 years (see Figure 2b)

Much food for thought and would have liked to think could prod for Governmental and worldwide action. The only country to pull out of the Paris Agreement, trump is an odd character to say the least, he needs enlightened influence, not the circle of courtiers and grim outdated lobbyists at present whispering to his ear. Likewise Elon Musk, if he’s as clever as he portrays he should forget about cars (EV are not that green in a full carbon audit anyway) and get into carbon capture. If trump turned on this and got climate change savvy it would be the greatest boost possible for the world to like him, its win-win for everyone.

 

 

postscript … re drawing maps freehand. People wouldn’t do it but they’d blow thousands jetting to places they needn’t go. I am very anti air flight, always have been.

also, just found UK Guardian on current heatwave  …. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jul/13/heatwave-sees-record-high-temperatures-set-around-world-this-week

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jul/13/disaster-half-a-million-hectares-of-forest-bulldozed-in-great-barrier-reef-catchment

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jun/20/senate-to-probe-great-barrier-reef-grant-of-444m-to-small-charity