I’ve done sufficient to know where we are heading with methane, the East Siberian Ice Shelf methane time-bomb etc. Yet in these early days of the unfolding methane ‘problem’ its horrible to see the waves of information and pictures unfold confirming where we are heading.
I got the twitter from the Paul Beckwith youtube channel.
Hint: google for the arctic map and note all the shallow sea that covers the undersea thawing permafrost, I read somewhere it is up to 20km thick, all ripe for frozen hydrate to thaw, the subsea frozen cap to disappear and microbial activity to get into full swing and for sealed methane gas deposits to vent. Green things, trees and plants will go into reverse, shutdown and already the 20% of CO2 conversion offered by oceanic plankton, algae (diatoms etc) is most definitely declining.
Most certainly as these immense rivers bigger than we westerners can visualise every minute every day supply vast quantities of warmed water onto the East Siberian ice shelf, the home of vast up to 20km deep stored carbon in oxygenless ie anaerobic conditions; the perfect laboratory for the production of vast amounts of methane as well as a catastrophic volume of methane ready to blow. The underwater ice cap itself has luckily sealed the methane, that is now going fast as it anywhere and everywhere on the circumpolar map of the Arctic where it shows white or pale blue, theres lots.
We should also realise the rivers Yenisey and the Kolyma.
Its a simple fact even a small portion of this impending methane release will destroy all CO2 conversion as we know it and us with it, last week at last a news story carried re ocean cloud formation and plankton (DMS) … to my mind too little reporting, too light ie no mention of the irony of diatom collapse (see where our oil and gas originated) and CO2 reduction quite futile. As in the link below the IPCC report is way off target (the usual plain underestimation / reduced easier to swallow figures misleadingly put forward) … but hey … why alarm anyone or Governments when we can trundle onwards with half a smile and half a conscience.
Mostly I know where we are going and this latest s/h windows 10 acquisition seems to thwart new or latest links. I cannot listen to Paul Beckwith now, only a briefer zippier presentation could hold my interest. Names I will still google for are Prof Kevin Anderson, Prof Peter Wadhams, Prof Paul Erlich, links in order below.
And below a screen capture and a link for Siberia, it is big, the biggest landmass and the shallowest iceshelf we could imagine. Yet who in the west until now thinks of the rivers Lena and the Ob? Note vast plumes of smoke from forest fires, zoom in to see the areas alight.
I honestly don’t think I’ll be sat here in ten years time, in 2029, its quite impossible; there is just no way basic laws and interactions of physics and chemistry can be thwarted.