We will all know the Lena and the Ob.

Most certainly as these immense rivers bigger than we westerners can visualise every minute every day supply vast quantities of warmed water onto the East Siberian ice shelf, the home of vast up to 20km deep stored carbon in oxygenless ie anaerobic conditions; the perfect laboratory for the production of vast amounts of methane as well as a catastrophic volume of methane ready to blow. The underwater ice cap itself has luckily sealed the methane, that is now going fast as it anywhere and everywhere on the circumpolar map of the Arctic where it shows white or pale blue, theres lots.

We should also realise the rivers Yenisey and the Kolyma.

Its a simple fact even a small portion of this impending methane release will destroy all CO2 conversion as we know it and us with it, last week at last a news story carried re ocean cloud formation and plankton (DMS) … to my mind too little reporting, too light ie no mention of the irony of diatom collapse (see where our oil and gas originated) and CO2 reduction quite futile. As in the link below the IPCC report is way off target (the usual plain underestimation / reduced easier to swallow figures misleadingly put forward) … but hey … why alarm anyone or Governments when we can trundle onwards with half a smile and half a conscience.

Mostly I know where we are going and this latest s/h windows 10 acquisition seems to thwart new or latest links. I cannot listen to Paul Beckwith now, only a briefer zippier presentation could hold my interest. Names I will still google for are Prof Kevin Anderson, Prof Peter Wadhams, Prof Paul Erlich, links in order below.

Prof Kevin Anderson  … https://tyndall.ac.uk/people/kevin-anderson

Prof Peter Wadhams … http://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/user/pw11/

Prof Paul Erlich … https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_R._Ehrlich

 

 

Heres Sam Carana ie arctic-news.blogspot.

https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/08/ipcc-report-climate-change-and-land.html

 

And below a screen capture and a link for Siberia, it is big, the biggest landmass and the shallowest iceshelf we could imagine. Yet who in the west until now thinks of the rivers Lena and the Ob? Note vast plumes of smoke from forest fires, zoom in to see the areas alight.

Siberia worldview screenshot 11 Aug 2019 https://go.nasa.gov/2OPxvI4
Siberia worldview screenshot 11 Aug 2019 https://go.nasa.gov/2OPxvI4

I honestly don’t think I’ll be sat here in ten years time, in 2029, its quite impossible; there is just no way basic laws and interactions of physics and chemistry can be thwarted.

 

 

As foretold.

This newer replacement stack with Windows 10 does not help me get at new information so easily as XP, I feel distanced and I am not being presented the latest discussions. But then again we know where climate change is going. There is so much that is not reported, my own fascination with diatoms is central to the climate change arguament but no-one mentions them. Invisible to the naked eye, yet are responsible for 70% of the worlds oil and gas resources, (were) as oceanic algae responsible for DMS production, something which is essential for ocean cloud systems … a point which only last week is termed ‘news’ when in fact none of the scientific modelling even included !!! Beggars belief. Has no-one even remembered reading James Lovelock or have looked and learned about algae through a microscope? Diatom demise is the reason for coral reef decline.

Likewise Paris and the IPCC does not even include methane release in its (near worthless) predictions. I’ve a one-sided wager with a friend that we are the wrong side of 3 deg by end of 2026, which means catastrophe and our certain demise and my £1k will be safe, not that its going to be of any use, apart from some oxygen bottles and some synthetic food, all quite futile. trumps approach to climate change needs to be regarded as a War Crime.

Ponder on the problems of an absent or interrupted electrical supply, moving money and people, web, communications, sewage, water etc.

As an antidote to present and forthcoming stress I found this youtube v useful, I don’t have the ability (or patience) to sit quietly and watch in linear fashion, but hopping along I got what I could.

Note at night time its an all enveloping dark, and sleep comes quickly and easily. Contemplation comes easy and a good book would be treasured. Many times at my favourite place I have stood and delighted in the landscape around me as daylight turns to dusk and then to a starry night; quite magical, impressive and always a joy.

climate change …

Youtubes worth listening to re climate change …

 

I have a wager, a one sided wager of £1,000 GBP, the other man loses nothing regardless, that I will donate to my friend quite happily if I am wrong on this … that by the end of 2026 my gut feeling is that we will have most certainly have overshot 2 deg C and it will be 3 deg C plus. I cannot see how otherwise, the interconnectedness of feedback loops, methane etc etc

 

trump: I’m frightened now.

The dreadful nastiness of donald j trump now needs to be reined in. His intent is clear and he represents a regressive mindset far worse than anything visualised as ‘the swamp’. trumps downward spiral needs to now be reined in, for decency to be pressed upon him and his unsuitability for high office made clear. However today we read trump and his tweets are getting most unpleasant, sinking to lower depths of ignorance…

Ilhan Omar, isn’t she lovely, its in her face! Likewise with AOC, these are valuable and much needed people.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/apr/12/ilhan-omar-democrats-trump-attacks-sanders-warren

Some of the nicest people I’ve ever met are Moslem and Pakistani. To berate such people is silly trending toward sick. Offenders such as trump and I guess Stephen Miller and others in the creaking decrepit wagon called the White House have most evidently inadequete and shrivelled cold hearts, their paucity of human compassion is deplorable. It also indicates they seem to have read so little, never sampled the world at large as from the printed page; their minds and hearts have never got out of first gear. As with all con artists, fantasists and bluff merchants anything other than a ten second bar-room soundbite is beyond them. Nothing wrong with such brevity in its self among ordinary folk but not fit for a President.

We know for instance trumps only reading of a serious newspaper is to work across the page with his bigboy marker to see how many times his name appears, theres no comprehension, no insight, no learning. The racists such as we see attaching themselves to the trump bunker and to trump himself are narrow and cold, certainly lacking in completeness as civilised humans.  Perhaps their own guilt and shame fuels at lashing out at others they perceive as different, after all trump has quite happily mocked the handicapped. With climate change ahead we haven’t time for this nonsense. trump is immature, always was and is ignorant, always was.

Little better than a snot-nosed playground bully from the backward class.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/apr/12/ilhan-omar-democrats-trump-attacks-sanders-warren

I see a great similarity with Mao and trump, both were determined to establish chaos and set people against each other. And Mao of course just like trump in his ignorance could never accept the notion he had made a mistake, or did not understand practical reality, both are highly impractical. Likewise, Mao and trump will so quickly turn against a previously devoted member of staff. The similarities of Mao and trump are quite uncanny.

Its quite accurate to compare Mao and trump as alike …

  • insulated from reality.
  • impractical in the extreme, Mao was extraordinarilly impractical.
  • endlessly creating chaos, delighting in chaos.
  • turning upside down established practices and customs.
  • secretive, above the common masses as if breathing rarified air.
  • hidden schemes and projects.
  • brazen, capable of violence, no compassion, much like trumps beloved sharks.
  • thinking only of themselves.
  • knowing how to manipulate/control media, to create a cult, to create fear.
  • can do no wrong.
  • will easily drop and destroy anyone that served them.
  • deliberately sets person against person.
  • its trump / Mao they serve, not the nation.
  • experts are ignored.
  • sycophants promote absurd non-truths and their masters ignorance zealously.
  • Russias influence on 1950’s and 1960’s China has never been fully revealed… just as with trump!
trump and his multi-pronged attack on decency and truth ..... a misguided and dangerous fool, the ultimnate con-man.
trump and his multi-pronged attack on decency and truth ….. a misguided and dangerous fool, the ultimate con-man.

Thom tells it like it is !

Useful ten minutes from Thom Hartmann, shorter vids are better vids, thanks Thom.

Heres the comment i made, makes sense ….

to quote myself ….

I’ve a benchmark pinned to my kitchen wall, it will be somewhere between three to four degrees C by end of 2026, if i’m wrong and it doesn’t reach that temperature then I’ll donate £1k GBP to the poor and needy (but i cannot see how it can be avoided by say 2030). From what I’ve read the interconnectedness of feedback loops is quite staggering and how very insightful independant scientist James Lovelock was in his book ‘Gaia’ to open this to the layman. I fear Greenland is going to de-ice a lot quicker than the ‘2100’ figure that is bandied about. Air travel, beef consumption and the need for multi-car households are all going to have to be crow-barred from the hands of the affluent west. I fear many will want to continue ‘as is’ until they are gasping for breath, in a confused state and eating basic rations merely to survive. And the rich? ….. maybe its time the rich were taxed a little more significantly. It annoys me at present at the silence from better reporting of the Pacific seabird die-off three and four years ago and near universal omission to mention the role diatoms play both as the base of the marine food chain, symbiosis with the now departed bryozoans and producing DMS and conversion of CO2 to O. As you rightly say IPCC is a most emasculated and lamentable in some respects charade, i realise its better than nothing but do we continually have to be making excuses? They didn’t even include Prof Peter Wadhams re Arctic ice !! The worlds expert.

unquote.

And i forgot to say the IPCC do not even factor in the impending release of methane in its three forms ie geological, microbial and thawing hydrates.

 

Essential listening…

This is a good vid, straight into the nitty gritty … the stupidity of trump, the urgency of climate change, the arrogance and blind refusal of the GOP to accept climate change being real and the problem is here right now … notice Noam Chomsky tells us of the obscene roll-back of USA Emmisions Laws … they admit they don’t care and it ‘doesn’t matter’ ….. the bar is set so low now that people are limboing in the mud itself.

 

Climate change discussion.

Just found this … https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-35068-1

… its in nature.com so it has validity.

With the temp rise, the loss of diatoms and the loss of coral (erroneously in my opinion termed ‘bleaching) the bryozoans fail, die because the microscopic partners have gone. Therefore to paraphrase trump … “Who would have known invisible things could be so complicated” … yup!

I got the link above from arctic-news … makes for the grimmest reading, but I’m glad its there. As I’ve learnt and repeated for the life of this blog the past year it is the sledge hammer threat from the thawing subsea methane that will stop the pendulum of life. Its a fact, its elementary observation and realisation, things as yet hardly seen that we cannot get politicians or the IPCC to take heed; the latter as generally acknowledged by climate-savvy scientists to be a report twenty years behind; witness the fact that the IPCC does not even recognise or factor in the importance of arctic methane release which in fact will be the death of us all.

Yet can we get ‘the man in the street’ to ponder on these things, to think a little bit more ???

Go back to my post half a year ago ‘making a model of planet Earth’ we are in fact a habitable zone of a wet cigarette paper placed on a childs 8inch football. Thats all we have and so hence our habitable layer is ultra sensitive to change, is staggeringly interconnected in all climate systems, jet stream, oceanic waterflow, gulf stream, accelerated melting of Greenland ad infinitum …  never mind the fun down in the Antarctic.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/01/global-extinction-within-18-34-months.html

Please note I always have my radar turned on for either plain simple crackpot sites or sites designed to mislead or render a subject as ‘nuts’ ie misinformation. Beware that general media can be ‘loaded’ in this respect. My own beef being bbc radio news r4 being so un-crtical of trump and their choice of words actually sounding to support him or serve him up in the best light. That is what I think is the value of my blog, quality material.

postscript …. we may as well have the video from the latest arctic-news, it makes a valuable contribution.

 

Its just hit me, this year I cannot recall seeing the little hoverflies that used to be so prevalant at my local nature reserve the ‘pit heap’.

In five years time will I be able to see any honeybees, any pied flycatchers here in the UK ?? … I think the answer will be negative.