quick easy access high quality links and comment re climate change, encroaching fascism, pricking pretension and the obsession of thinking 'we are so modern' …
The slowness, blindness and inaccuracy of the IPCC is astounding. I think I’m correct in saying didn’t include subsea methane release in their most recent ‘modelling’ (highly inaccurate anyway) and ignored melting Arctic ice. Lewis Carrol could have written the script. Levels that are in the short term are the levels that will destroy us, say x130 for methane; theres no medium or long term worth considering, we’ll not be here.
Anyways, 2C will come and go v quickly, better start thinking 3C plus, which of course means human life is teetering and gone. Think about it, feedback loops of enormous world encompassing comprehensivity, nature in the raw so to speak, grain production areas disabled, theres nowhere else it can be done, corporations had better get ‘superfood’ substitutes developed v quickly. Thank God I don’t live in a large centre of population, water distribution / delivery / pumping and sewage disposal will become so critical. And so on and so on …
So many pundits / governments / media voices seem to wish to project a false prediction that somehow or other 2 degrees C of warming will leave us all at a levelling off, when in fact the whole system of nature is now a frightening series of triggers and feedback loops revving up to go faster.
ice loss
jet stream
weather patterns
sea level rise
methane
green growing things ‘go in reverse’ for CO2 conversion
algae / diatom crash the oceans die (witness diatom / bryozoan symbiosis ie coral reef.
I had held YaleClimateConnections as worthwhile and a valid source for climate change info, not that I’m much of an avid watcher of these things, I’ve a life to lead and have gleaned full well where we are heading. When will the penny drop that ppl have not the time for presentations of say fifteen minutes, youtube has many other items that need to be scanned as quickly as possible, an attached precis in document form would be mighty handy. But this mornings visit has me baffled. For instance at 02:40 we are told “by 2100” (a misnomer in itself) that I quote loosely … “Permafrost carbon feedback by 2100 ‘is’ smaller, much smaller than human fossil fuel emissions” … EH ! ? “Its about ten percent of that” …. CRIKEY. Sorry, invert your arguament then factor in a move of the decimal point.
I find this misinformation and crap hard to stomach. Methinks there is skewed thinking, Orwellian newspeak in action; its called trump, the EPA putting the screws on. Maybe shrouded as a general balm to quell any mass hysteria? IPCC is not much better, its most recent foray into ‘forecasting’ I think I’m right in saying deliberately did not include material contributed by Prof Peter Wadhams the worlds expert on Arctic ice and forgot to factor in Arctic methane !!!
Earlier the first nugget of wisdom in this pointless misinformation from Yale is of the plant life re-colonising and will transform some areas of thawing permafrost / methane release to a nett uptake ie 00:50 and onto 01:00 ! Blimey … now that is real optimism gone crazy. Sorry but even a child would say a thin layer of green encroachment is far outnumbered by the dirty soup of thawing permafrost that in itself provides physical depth and bulk, coupled with and absence of oxygen to generate the dreaded methane that is 80-120 times he potency of the already dreaded CO2. Short term potency is all we need consider, human life will not be here to see it extend to the medium term. Remember too that with increasing CO2 and methane green growing things actually back down and go into reverse in their much needed conversion. Already diatom / algal populations and conversion are going into reverse, also diatom / bryozoan symbiosis on coral reef needs explaining clearly, not just the glib ‘bleaching’. Yesterday even, reading of the tiny numbers of remaining Right Whale and the loss of their principal food no mention is made that it is the loss of lower food chain, again diatoms/ algae that will probably be at the root of this problem.
Maybe I should have been a scientist, I hope I could get at the truth better than this.
Theres nothing in this presentation / vid that i can let go unchallenged, its back to back misinformation and nonsense, its endless and what is most alarming is that its issued June 2019!
“The abrupt thaw could represent about a half of the total permafrost climate feedback” at 02:50 … in my opinion try 1,000 % plus.
“If we can slow down human carbon emissions” … no its all set in motion, nice optimism, but interconnected feedback loops and the workings of nature are so very stacked against us ie 03:25
“Hit our economy” …. yes indeed!
This is like something made by twelve year olds.
postscript … note the term ‘restricted grammar and limited vocabulary’ … reminds one of the Idiot in Chief presently occupying (sometimes) the Oval Office.
One could say quite fairly that in this fag paper thin layer that we inhabit viewing the world as a childs football (ie 0.001in on an eight inch sphere) … drilling and capturing mostly the oil and gas from ancient diatoms that has upset the equilibrium which first allowed humankind to thrive and therefore latterly upset the amazing and horrifying multiplicity of feedback loops have now been forced to realign to the newly introduced contaminants and effluent that now trigger the chemical formula and physical laws that are quite unstoppable.
trumps refusal and crowbar silencing (as with YaleClimateConnections above) are far worse than any war crime and he should be tried as such. Whilst we’ve got people in the dock maybe Carl Benz, Rudolf Diesel and Henry Ford are to be answerable. Strange but true.
bbc r4 Saturday afternoon after the one o’clock lunchtime news treats us to ‘Any Questions’ followed by ‘Any Answers’ where old people ring in to ramble on. Yet here I am also participating as listener audience and as yet do not want to be lumped together with batty old … etc.
One of the half dozen questions was regarding trumps recently announced visit to Britain for the D-day memorial events; trump whether we like it or not is President of the USA our closest ally at that time.
What no-one mentioned is that post-Brexit we will do trade deals with anyone and everyone that will shake hands and agree to do so. Its called ‘backs against the wall’ Britain and therefore we will do trade deals with all and sundry just to glean a semblance of hope. You can wave goodbye to any form of UK motor industry and the multivarious supply chain. Which side of a 100k jobs in that industry alone?
What no one mentioned despite the endless ‘worthy’ hot air was that Pres Bone Spurs couldn’t even get his backside out of a hotel room, unglue himself from the tv / twitter and attend a pre-planned ceremony at a cemetary of American war dead a few months ago. Drizzle or a little bit of wet would seem to scupper his attendance; if perhaps Pres Bone Spurs did not have so contrived a ‘hairdo’ he could do what other men would have found to be no problem whatsoever.
What no one mentioned is the disgust we feel in the Free World that trump has deliberately taken such a regressive dark turn to dismantle and wreck all that was built up as ‘good’ for his country. Maybe that needs qualification, he resides in the USA and has endeavoured to pay as little tax as possible ie falsification, schemes, inflated values contrasting reduced values to grossly inflated when it suited him, etc etc. Yet one wonders what is his real country of residence … Russia?
…and what no-one mentioned is that trump is merely a short term fly in the ointment of what is otherwise a close cordial relationship that will continue far beyond any memory of things Trumpian.
What no-one mentioned when citing the past visit of Xi Jin Ping 习近平 (tones 2,4,2 something even the bbc is clueless about) … is that the Xi2 is endeavouring to modernise, to reach forward to universal world values, to do better, is doing better when viewed in modern Chinese history whereas trump is hell bent at going in a backwards direction and inciting unease, anxiety, hatred and polarising any and all caste, creed, religion. His moslem ban is stupid beyond belief, stupid beyond belief sort of sums him up. Remember trumps obscene tax handbacks to the already super-wealthy. In trumps world the bigot reigns supreme! So any comparison with X2i jin4 ping2 and trump is not clear cut, one aims higher, the other wrecks and regresses endlessly, of poor intention; therefore the latter is undesirable, toxic, unwelcome.
trumps manner is to never allow anything other than the glibbest shallowest platitudes with other World Leaders or the Free Press apart of course from in depth briefing sessions from his Master ie two hours unscripted with Putin in Helsinki, no minutes taken or even allowed, no other person of western heritage or US Official allowed. Wow – you cannot get creepier than that, it is what it looks like, it is treason and only trump himself so brass-faced and thinking himself above any law whatsoever would have had the gall to attempt such a shameful exhibition of treachery. Hence a fifteen minute walk-out with Kju and a huge banquet gone to waste, as all scripted by his Master so that Putin can sweep in, wipe up and gain influence.
So therefore I consider the bbc r4 ‘Any Questions’ invited panel to have made serious omissions in regarding trump and the dreaded visit. Lots of pontificating but they didn’t get to the main moral and ethical arguament. Basically the baseline is that trump is repulsive.
It baffled me later in the day on extended news when we had a few words from a pundit telling us how popular trump is, how great his base in America, this I doubt; bbc r4 news bias always endeavours to bend any objective truth to trumps advantage, luckily ‘The World Tonight’ programme at 10pm is a little bit more realistic.
worthwhile wiki entry below, even this does not realise the essential nature of tone marking for anything Mandarin, without tone markings meaning is lost, is unreadable and cannot be spoken as intended, its basic stuff! …
hilary and biden capable of so much, wiki/Xi_Jinping and xi working to enter the mainstream, the forward moving world, but trump when he ’emerges’ is nothing but a bigot hell bent on turning the clock back to darker days.
How sad to see the present state of the Mueller report ie Tuesday 26th March 2019.
trump most certainly in his outward at least low brow fashion most definitely will insist all thinking upon the matter is now closed. To shut down any intellectual or plain basic common sense enquiry to the trump mind is now dead and finished. How sad.
Wow, some sort of collective lobotomy must certainly have occurred in the bbc news room to issue such biased unthinking nonsense. I will say in bbc defence their evening radio programme ‘The World Tonight’ 10pm r4 generally has more bite to it, closer to some critical thinking.
To inject some ‘thinking’ into this post, to help join up the many crappy little dots called the trump Administration and all the dirty connections lets read a critique to the situation so far ….. https://wordpress.com/read/feeds/2663585/posts/2219372963
We also read this morning that a billion dollars is going via a military conduit for the needless wall under completely needless and mis-applied Emergency Powers. Theres already sufficient wall in all the places that matter, ‘the wall’ to trump is merely a hellbent dogma spewed at rallies to whip the crowd up and give ’em something to think about meantime. Remember his backdrop of rally attendees are handpicked for the camera, the man in the hard hat etc all stereotypes and recently once he had shouted ‘bullshit’ to the crowd he triggered a pre-arranged chant of ‘USA USA USA’ etc. Its all a con, all fakery, something he excells in, stage managed like a tv reality show, one must admit possibly the most qualified in the country to do so.
trumps wall is totally needless, merely an exercise in human misery (and impending climate change which he will not openly admit) ….. to aid protect the excessively wealthy when everything ‘goes wrong’ for the ordinary person. When trump says he’s going to get ‘the mexicans’ to pay for the wall he really means the taxpayer. This is plain and simple trumps flip-flop reversal in so many instances. He calls the media fake when he himself is exercising fakery on a Grand Scale!
Now that Muellers Report is proving a watered down version of what most people had hoped for trump feels vindicated and emboldened for further new levels of craziness, incompetence and affront to decency and good sense. To push the unspoken agenda of his bigotted cohorts themselves mostly pickled in excessive wealth and utterly remote from ordinary peoples aspirations, hopes and fears.
Lets do some more ‘thinking’ …. this man Robert Reich can aid evaluation of how nasty and hopeless trump really is. He’ll say anything to win praise, to gain support at that instant. Maybe hopeless isn’t the right word, more like ‘say anything at the time to protect his position’…. I had a mother like that and maybe thats why i hate such underhand deceit.
trump cares nothing for the ordinary person, for education, medical assistance or basic priveliges or rights for the ordinary general population. All are signs of totalitarianism / Fascism. His vacuous and quite useless promises re coal are hopelessly out of date, of bringing back jobs again hopelessly out of date and his denigration of for instance China quite obscene considering how much profit the West makes from importing goods from China. trump will bankrupt America much as he has done with his own inherited wealth. trump will say anything for a five second soundbite.
On bbc r4 this week we had ‘Inside Science’ devote a segment to the prospect of the increasing methane levels in the next few years, Professor Euan Nisbet from Royal Holloway University of London emphasising tropical wetland methane but if my ears are working correctly never once mentioned Arctic methane.
I am assuming tropical methane is a more steady state influence yet the Arctic variety in its three forms ie geological, microbial and thawing hydrates is on an astoundingly high trajectory of growth ie explosions of methane off the chart so to speak.
bbc radio is often a bit wonky and yet another example and shame upon the presentation of the subject.
I’ve blogged on Arctic methane previously, plenty of tags.
One cannot help but feel we are plunged into darkness whilst having just entered a strange new room, our steps are tiny, we will tentatively, timidly grasp at anything.
I find it profoundly irritating (and I refuse to take part) that we have to ‘log in’ to use the listen again facilityfor bbc radio, this is new and a bloody nuisance …
Kelsey Grammer just destroyed his bookings for the forthcoming ‘Man of la Mancha’ bbc r4 0830 and tells us he likes what he hears from donald j trump, had voted for him and the full two years later is still okay with what he hears.
This is utterly baffling. We have a screaming outright idiot/ dictator in the White House and the bbc r4 are able to pull off this stunt! I have always maintained there is bbc bias, an agenda, a viewpoint but this goes against all common sense and decency.
Another instance how ‘the world out there’ is increasingly distorted, the break-away seven from the Labour Party are in my opinon to be applauded, to have had the nerve to dump an unusable system called the Labour Party under Corbyn. Clever fella Corbyn, good on camera, loves his little loudspeaker van, always able to deride the party in power yet generally has no policy of his own, would be disastrous in power; one gets the feeling too much time spent watching, ruminating, but reacting (albeit often v slowly) … but no forward energy. Without T May as a punchbag its hard to know what he thinks.
We are in a strange place, the disastrous Brexit will destroy any UK car manufacturing and the supply chain, we were sold a simplified idea of the future. With what we know now Brexit would never happen, yet T May steam rollers on regardless. Those responsible for this simplified over-sell have a great deal to answer for. Perhaps the over-simplified ‘sell’ was an indication of their own limited abilities?
How we think, reach a viewpoint is quite odd nowadays, information is not necessarilly enlightenment. trump rides on this, tv show experience he knows fine well is all he need know.
Theres a common thread in all this, Brexit and trump … its the destruction of present evolved systems and trading partnerships. I shudder as perishable goods / agriculture will fare in the present situation. With trump I’d say he’s knocking down the little men, the smaller producers to allow his bigtime new friends to hoover up any opportunity at knock down prices.
With the temp rise, the loss of diatoms and the loss of coral (erroneously in my opinion termed ‘bleaching) the bryozoans fail, die because the microscopic partners have gone. Therefore to paraphrase trump … “Who would have known invisible things could be so complicated” … yup!
I got the link above from arctic-news … makes for the grimmest reading, but I’m glad its there. As I’ve learnt and repeated for the life of this blog the past year it is the sledge hammer threat from the thawing subsea methane that will stop the pendulum of life. Its a fact, its elementary observation and realisation, things as yet hardly seen that we cannot get politicians or the IPCC to take heed; the latter as generally acknowledged by climate-savvy scientists to be a report twenty years behind; witness the fact that the IPCC does not even recognise or factor in the importance of arctic methane release which in fact will be the death of us all.
Yet can we get ‘the man in the street’ to ponder on these things, to think a little bit more ???
Go back to my post half a year ago ‘making a model of planet Earth’ we are in fact a habitable zone of a wet cigarette paper placed on a childs 8inch football. Thats all we have and so hence our habitable layer is ultra sensitive to change, is staggeringly interconnected in all climate systems, jet stream, oceanic waterflow, gulf stream, accelerated melting of Greenland ad infinitum … never mind the fun down in the Antarctic.
Please note I always have my radar turned on for either plain simple crackpot sites or sites designed to mislead or render a subject as ‘nuts’ ie misinformation. Beware that general media can be ‘loaded’ in this respect. My own beef being bbc radio news r4 being so un-crtical of trump and their choice of words actually sounding to support him or serve him up in the best light. That is what I think is the value of my blog, quality material.
postscript …. we may as well have the video from the latest arctic-news, it makes a valuable contribution.
Its just hit me, this year I cannot recall seeing the little hoverflies that used to be so prevalant at my local nature reserve the ‘pit heap’.
In five years time will I be able to see any honeybees, any pied flycatchers here in the UK ?? … I think the answer will be negative.
Its too formulaic, too easily pre-determined. In other words a game with a fixed outcome, the result of manipulation and an agenda. The BBC in fact as far as I can judge from their radio news output (r4) presenting an angle contrary to a more open approach. Consider the bbc radio news of two years of presenting trump in the best possible and uncritical light. I can think of many occasions when unfortunately theres nothing else to listen to, so its QT and knowing fine well how this will turn out. I just do not like Dimbleby nor care for his manner; much over-rated in this context.
JRM sheds light on this bigotry, his wish to project a certain image, below we hear at 02:04 “I used to live not a million miles from Slough … ie Eton College etc etc and Dimbleby likes to raise a laugh at that …. “With your son”.
I’m okay with Eton, two of the most interesting charming people I’ve ever met are old Etonians, good for them! But I do not like Dimbleby scoring points with presumptions of his beloved Middle England viewpoint, levering an audience to raise his laughs. One man is open and honest, the other operating a self serving audience manipulation, an agenda. I am quite warming to Jacob Rees Mogg.
I would normally never cope with / tolerate / be bothered with an hour long vid but this treatment is most worthwhile. Its a good vid and needs to be required viewing for many many people on this planet.
For instance telling us…
… 03:35 Arctic temp rise is now six times faster than global average not times two as per outdated IPCC presentations.
… of the ‘stiffs’ at the IPCC I mean non-functioning bods (it was a charade actually) that as we are told are twenty years behind the times ie current thinking at 05:20
IPCC = a misleading impression. These two men will tell you the IPCC is laughable, a joke amongst the Climate Community. Twenty years behind the time.
*What I’ll do in the next day or so is work up the salient points into a buletted list, hour long vids as much as they are welcomed are difficult to fit in to my schedule and need to get lots done.
What can we do about general media, Fox News and other such unthinking yet biased populist nonsense? Realise that my own interest of chemtrails has been so entangled unfortunately deliberately with nonsense theories that its v difficult to get the average person to take on board that aircraft trails in the sky warrant a suspicious eye. For newbies : some trails stay around and haze yet oldtime conventional trails merely evaporate, turn to nothing. So what is going on when we get hazy obscured skies ? Please think, please question.
Fox are clever, they medicate their product with a reinforcing populist viewpoint that is engineered / premeditated to draw viewers to their bosom. Its all agenda, increasingly is so, to be on message, to promote a viewpoint. Choice is often now not to learn but to receive reinforcemnt of ones own viewpoint. Retro retarded bigots just love it …..
Rates of change and alterations are expotential, ie not a linear response. This is the quite frightening interconnectedness of the climate system on the planet ie jet stream, arctic temperature, water temps and movements and leads to methane release which will sky rocket the whole system onto another more horrible level. My loose terms here are intentional using ‘horrible’ meaning theres nothing we can do, the numbers self reinforce and all egg each other on into an unknown scenario ad infinitum. Think of crop failure, altered rain pattern, the limit of human sufferance due to heat (hence trump and his need of a wall indicating he does recognise climate change) … loss of human cognisance, reasoning and will, unable to function … or question.
… in the way it is reporting trump. Last night at 10pm on bbc r4 ‘The World Tonight’ radio programme we had a recycled many days old quote from djt that was read by ‘an actor’ … as if the Presidents vocal delivery is too whacky for legitimate discourse (which it is) regarding how he will not condemn Saudi Arabia for the Khashoggi murder and torture and probable dismemberment. The complete three minute piece was deliberately, overtly biased toward putting trump in a good light. The use of the actors voice completely changed how we would have perceived the insanity from trump. The world cowers and sniggers yet the bbc in this previously respected radio programme is basically ‘so far up’ that all we can see are toenails. Crude imagery yes, but true. And an insult to all the listeners. A word I never use is ‘conspiracy’ but from what I heard last night the word fits.
Heres the poor man, RIP; the world must never forget his sacrifice.
Strangely bbc radio struggles with pronouncing his surname and as for names in Mandarin they make up phonetics that do not exist … its easy, pop into any Cantonese take-away and get the correct sound.
Why is the bbc hanging on to this ridiculed and false viewpoint? Are newsroom people so inexperienced and useless? I would love someone to answer me this. Note I do not have tv, but do most mornings read online best quality US news reporting which I regard as valid material.
As Seth Meyers points out trump stumbles from one whacky misjudgement to another, spouting valueless junk as he mumbles along. ‘Get him outa here’ as usual with all trump put-downs being most appropriate to himself. trumps invalid criticism of Forestry Management in CA being stupid beyond belief sprinkled with the ‘raking the forests’ nonsense. That is obviously his grounds management from golf courses, which I’ve not heard anyone else make the connection. A night in the forest would do him good, as with, like …. being outdoors and more than twenty paces from a golf buggy. Might make him realise his carefully tended coiffure has to go !
Witness also trumps recent junk regarding Admiral McRaven.
People just stand around at the Idiot in Chief talks crap; which is probably safer for everyone.
Also todays nasty nasty helicopter whirring Ivanka and emails invective / denial from trump displays his nasty nasty combative mindset. And this is from the so-called President of the United States !! Indeed we are trawling the bottom layer of sludge to come up with this shit.
climate-change-briefing 