Scientists warning.

A month ago (June 21st 2019) I blogged and drew attention to how nonsensical, silly and downright intentionally misleading was a Yale presentation on youtube telling us how insignificant and quite benign was the impending release of methane (in three forms ie frozen hydrate, microbial and geological) as the permafrost melts, as it is in fact doing right now quite happily in all shallow Arctic sea including the East Siberian Ice Shelf.

My post re Yale Climate Connections nonsense … https://climate-change-briefing.com/2019/06/21/i-am-baffled/

A motley crew indeed … its called ‘funding’ …  pure and simple.

I’ve written this post energised by viewing today the vid below saying exactly as I do that basically the Yale presentation is garbage, staggering in its complacency and lack of knowledge; just a total and tragic disconnect from where we are at present.

The vid below is an embed on this page … http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/07/most-important-message-ever.html

 

 

I think I’m correct in saying that last years folly of the 2018 IPCC Report did not include Dr Peter Wadhams Arctic Ice material (world expert) and ignored impending methane release.

In the above attention is drawn to the misleading nature of the Yale Climate Connections presentation (02:00), the importance of the Russian work on methane release (14:00) and how Natalia Shakhova cannot get her work peer reviewed or published as her data indicates methane levels her reviewers do not want to read of !! Basically this is censorship.

Below is a good intro to the subject … Natalia Shakhova, Univ Alaska, Fairbanks.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DX0vJ-t7YRg

 

 

Another, easy read intro … https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/06/20/the-dangerous-methane-mystery/

Whilst we are here, a link below to a worthwhile read, climate change and the microbial aspect …

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41579-019-0222-5

How slow and stupid we are …

I read Sam Carana and anything from Guy McPherson; he has a critical enquiring mind, one of the youngest Professors ever appointed in the USA.

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/2019/07/most-important-message-ever.html

The slowness,  blindness and inaccuracy of the IPCC is astounding. I think I’m correct in saying didn’t include subsea methane release in their most recent ‘modelling’ (highly inaccurate anyway) and ignored melting Arctic ice. Lewis Carrol could have written the script. Levels that are in the short term are the levels that will destroy us, say x130 for methane; theres no medium or long term worth considering, we’ll not be here.

Anyways, 2C will come and go v quickly, better start thinking 3C plus, which of course means human life is teetering and gone.  Think about it, feedback loops of enormous world encompassing comprehensivity, nature in the raw so to speak, grain production areas disabled, theres nowhere else it can be done, corporations had better get ‘superfood’ substitutes developed v quickly. Thank God I don’t live in a large centre of population, water distribution / delivery / pumping and sewage disposal will become so critical.  And so on and so on …

So many pundits / governments / media voices seem to wish to project a false prediction that somehow or other 2 degrees C of warming will leave us all at a levelling off, when in fact the whole system of nature is now a frightening series of triggers and feedback loops revving up to go faster.

  • ice loss
  • jet stream
  • weather patterns
  • sea level rise
  • methane
  • green growing things ‘go in reverse’ for CO2 conversion
  • algae / diatom crash the oceans die (witness diatom / bryozoan symbiosis ie coral reef.
  • grain production
  • insects (pollinators) gone
  • aluminium levels
  • drinking water
  • power stations are nearly all coastal
  • etc

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/new-high-temperature-records-set-in-alaska-again-as-heat-wave-is-set-to-relinquish-grip/70008760

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hottest-weather-of-season-on-tap-for-northeast-as-record-challenging-heat-wave-builds/70008824

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-48810170

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/arctic-winter-warmest-record-temperature-global-warming-climate-change-north-pole-melting-ice-caps-a8243631.html

 

 

trump; traitor, progenitor of evil, cretin.

… oops sorry to offend any cretin. But its true, trumps many chaos, many denials are near beyond number.

Yes you had porn stars and paid them off even though dollar bills were never requested, never required.

Yes you ring hapless contractors and offer them cents on the dollar.

Yes. you steam roller through to bypass any semblance of paying a tax bill or accurate and honest accounting.

trump is quite hapless, the kid that never did homework, sailed along on ‘front’ and brazen disregard.

My particular axe to grind tonight is his breathtakingly pathetic performance at G20 re climate change. 

As usual a few ignorant and off target remarks and trump thinks, fools himself he ‘has it in the can’. Here in the north east of England we would call him ‘donnard’. It means stupid, dim, irrelevant, thick, of catastrophic bad performance; pretty well sums up the whole White House pantomime and its sick tired entourage. His baseless tissue thin platitudes surely can not still fool anyone?

Heres a useful succinct resume as what we are up against with the idiocy of trump; remember, his only qualification is a reality tv show of low merit.

Donald Trump Said Really Stupid Things About Climate Today. Here Are 8 Facts He Ignored.

 

trump and his many pronged attack on decency and intelligence
trump and his many pronged attack on good sense, established values and decency …

 

postscript; I am most certainly critical because the nonsense we see and hear and the divisive low brow garbage Presidency of donald j trump can not be allowed to develop into mainstream and accepted as ‘normal’. It is not normal in any shape or form to wreck, sow fear and anxiety, to deride ordinary people, to alter and manipulate impressions, views, free speech ie his achingly tiresome attack of the Free Press.

The man is useless. The photo-op (as with KJU NK) is quite shallow and basically pointless, but KJU loves all of this, propelled from hardly of importance to worldwide coverage.  trump feeds the world his photo-op lead story nonsense knowing fine well theres endless appetite for his trivia, this unthinking tissue thin nonsense.  This obscures a more critical debate or recognition of the dismantling and regressive backward motion of his Presidency. Witness EPA, Universities etc being told to not mention climate change or even accept such peril is at hand. This to my mind is a War Crime.

Heres a useful precis of the idiocy and hopelessness of a latter day Wizard of Oz, puffing and grunting but actually quite hopeless …

Trump’s G20 Trip Was More Bizarre and Embarrassing Than You Thought

I suggest for instance  … Ignorance of “liberal democracy” from the above where trump is hopelessy unable to understand what is actually meant by ‘western liberal democracy’ and thinks in his usual pointless wordsalad response that it is states out west run by LBGT enthusiasts that he is required to comment upon.

soundbite soundbite soundbite  …

Vast swathes of ‘ornery folk have forgotten theres a thing called books, of knowledge, precedent, history, depth and learning.

I am baffled …

I had held YaleClimateConnections as worthwhile and a valid source for climate change info, not that I’m much of an avid watcher of these things, I’ve a life to lead and have gleaned full well where we are heading. When will the penny drop that ppl have not the time for presentations of say fifteen minutes, youtube has many other items that need to be scanned as quickly as possible, an attached precis in document form would be mighty handy.  But this mornings visit has me baffled. For instance at 02:40 we are told “by 2100” (a misnomer in itself) that I quote loosely …  “Permafrost carbon feedback by 2100 ‘is’ smaller, much smaller than human fossil fuel emissions” … EH ! ? “Its about ten percent of that” …. CRIKEY. Sorry, invert your arguament then factor in a move of the decimal point.

I find this misinformation and crap hard to stomach. Methinks there is skewed thinking, Orwellian newspeak in action; its called trump, the EPA putting the screws on. Maybe shrouded as a general balm to quell any mass hysteria? IPCC is not much better, its most recent foray into ‘forecasting’ I think I’m right in saying deliberately did not include material contributed by Prof Peter Wadhams the worlds expert on Arctic ice and forgot to factor in Arctic methane !!!

Earlier the first nugget of wisdom in this pointless misinformation from Yale is of the plant life re-colonising and will transform some areas of thawing permafrost / methane release to a nett uptake ie 00:50 and onto 01:00 ! Blimey … now that is real optimism gone crazy. Sorry but even a child would say a thin layer of green encroachment is far outnumbered by the dirty soup of thawing permafrost that in itself provides physical depth and bulk, coupled with and absence of oxygen to generate the dreaded methane that is 80-120 times he potency of the already dreaded CO2. Short term potency is all we need consider, human life will not be here to see it extend to the medium term. Remember too that with increasing CO2 and methane green growing things actually back down and go into reverse in their much needed conversion. Already diatom / algal populations and conversion are going into reverse, also diatom / bryozoan symbiosis on coral reef needs explaining clearly, not just the glib ‘bleaching’. Yesterday even, reading of the tiny numbers of remaining Right Whale and the loss of their principal food no mention is made that it is the loss of lower food chain, again diatoms/ algae that will probably be at the root of this problem.

Maybe I should have been a scientist, I hope I could get at the truth better than this.

 

Theres nothing in this presentation / vid that i can let go unchallenged, its back to back misinformation and nonsense, its endless and what is most alarming is that its issued June 2019!

“The abrupt thaw could represent about a half of the total permafrost climate feedback” at 02:50 …  in my opinion try 1,000 % plus.

“If we can slow down human carbon emissions” … no its all set in motion, nice optimism, but interconnected feedback loops and the workings of nature are so very stacked against us ie 03:25

“Hit our economy” …. yes indeed!

This is like something made by twelve year olds.

 

 

postscript … note the term ‘restricted grammar and limited vocabulary’ … reminds one of the Idiot in Chief presently occupying (sometimes) the Oval Office.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newspeak

One could say quite fairly that in this fag paper thin layer that we inhabit viewing the world as a childs football (ie 0.001in on an eight inch sphere) … drilling and capturing mostly the oil and gas from ancient diatoms that has upset the equilibrium which first allowed humankind to thrive and therefore latterly upset the amazing and horrifying multiplicity of feedback loops have now been forced to realign to the newly introduced contaminants and effluent that now trigger the chemical formula and physical  laws that are quite unstoppable.

trumps refusal and crowbar silencing (as with YaleClimateConnections above) are far worse than any war crime and he should be tried as such. Whilst we’ve got people in the dock maybe Carl Benz, Rudolf Diesel and Henry Ford are to be answerable. Strange but true.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

trump deliberately shreds climate good sense…

Yup, the Clown in Chief wheezes and chunters onward strapped into his dodgem car of  stupidity ….

parp parp bang bang crash collide !

trump and his quite evil disregard of impending climate change is a danger, a gross refusal to get savvy and wise up to what needs to be done. a supreme example of ignorance. I cannot even say pig-headed, its an insult to pigs.

Google loves me i can tell, I seem to have completely disappeared from what previously had been first page image results when I googled for ‘chemtrail UK’ or ‘UK chemtrails’ …  I think its from pasting a youtube from an active critic of chemtrails that indeed has himself been dropped / banned by youtube and google. One gets the feeling google is sucking up to trump just a little bit too much. Time will tell. from this one can assume that anything ‘subjective’ is being policed and freedom of opinion is being hampered, again, George Orwell predicted this.

Heres an update on the trump administrations laundering of truth, the refusal to listen to experts …

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/05/even-steve-bannon-thinks-trumps-latest-climate-change-plan-is-too-extreme

 

 

 

A strange thing to talk about ….

On bbc r4 this week we had ‘Inside Science’ devote a segment to the prospect of the increasing methane levels in the next few years, Professor Euan Nisbet from Royal Holloway University of London emphasising tropical wetland methane but if my ears are working  correctly never once mentioned Arctic methane.

I am assuming tropical methane is a more steady state influence yet the Arctic variety in its three forms ie geological, microbial and thawing hydrates is on an astoundingly high trajectory of growth ie explosions of methane off the chart so to speak.

bbc radio is often a bit wonky and yet another example and shame upon the presentation of the subject.

I’ve blogged on Arctic methane previously, plenty of tags.

One cannot help but feel we are plunged into darkness whilst having just entered a strange new room, our steps are tiny, we will tentatively, timidly grasp at anything.

 

I find it profoundly irritating (and I refuse to take part) that we have to ‘log in’ to use the listen again facilityfor bbc radio, this is new and a bloody nuisance …

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0002r6y

https://www.royalholloway.ac.uk/about-us/news/royal-holloway-researchers-lead-project-to-remove-greenhouses-gases-from-the-atmosphere/

Esquire and links…

The Esquire article holds worthwhile links to get a grip on climate change, it would benefit donald j trump enormously to get a handle on this  ….

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a26077427/trump-tweet-midwest-cold-global-warming/

With warming oceans you can forget abt the marine food chain, lower strata and indispensable diatoms, algae, plankton hardly get mentioned yet are crucial. Its my opinion its diatom collapse that we’ve lost coral reef, its a symbiotic relationship and have yet to find one article stating this case.  Its burning the oil and gas remains of diatoms that has led us to this predicament, ironic in the extreme. A few months ago i posted a ‘make a model of planet Earth’ whereby the usable space ie a mile total on this planet is represented by a one thousandths of an inch cigarette paper moistened onto the surface of a kids eight inch diameter football. Scale one thou inch equals one mile. A lot of the ice is melting from below, as when kids, we are so suprised next day its gone. As Sam Carana tells us its when grain production fails that we will really be in a predicament. Its as if everything we have, nature etc is merely a scummy film ready to be wiped off.

https://wordpress.com/read/feeds/84273524/posts/2153823518

trump is a dickhead of an extreme and dangerous kind, seems theres a word to express his wish to incubate, spread and render viable the worst of ignorance for the common masses i mean those people he cares not one jot for other than poll and voting numbers … the spread of ignorance agnotology.

 

postscript : here a link from the above Esquire article, near total absence of insects and butterflies from Puerto Rican forest as visited by scientific professionals  ie 98% of ground dwelling insects are gonehttps://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jan/15/insect-collapse-we-are-destroying-our-life-support-systems

 

 

IPCC underestimations …. COP 24

Are massive and most likely catastrophically so. The battle is with nature and the natural world of feedback systems. All were in place, fully functioning and in equilibrium  well before we walked upright.

To paraphrase the twit in the White House …. “Who would have thought Climate Change could be so complicated” … Yes and so powerful and so all enveloping. Its ‘everything’ and its as if the roulette wheel decides our fate on one cruel spin.

Carbon capture must happen, yet so far its exploratory and small scale. And may I interject that for each oversize SUV or needless pick-up there will be a swathe of carbon capture apparatus to offset the crap!

The IPCC for instance does not even factor in loss of Arctic ice; its computer modelling is twenty years behind the times and not one recognised Ice Scientist was on the panel. Its as if we are suffering from collective stupidity, the Brits cannot handle the Brexit problem, the Americans are saddled with an idiot in the White House.

Heres some exclamation marks !!!!!! and a few more !!!!!

Below is a vid tieing in Prof Peter Wadhams (Arctic Expert) and a presentation in immediate response to IPCC outdatedness / time lag / ineptitude.

Salient points ….

  • IPCC much over complacent.
  • Controversial area of geo-engineering not explored.
  • IPCC contains / embraces discredited modelling ie ice won’t disappear till end of century.
  • IPCC ignores albedo effect ie reflectivity of the suns warming rays instead of worst case being absorbed (think Arctic methane) .
  • IPCC ignores increased melting of Greenland.
  • IPCC not factoring in loss of ice caps.
  • Govts can quote any target for the future, yet we all know theres always a shortfall that is excused away sometime hence…

To contradict the IPCC, reaforestation is in a practical world not feasible; timescale too! But it always makes nice tv to see junior school bods piddling about with seedlings… Germany for instance is stripping forests to get at open cast mining of lignite  … dirty dirty dirty.

Also the bitchiness, obfuscation and sheer downright twattery of Science reared its head when Dr Wadhams chapter on arctic methane was omitted from a written book / presentation for a Conference in China (without informing Prof Wadhams)  because we are told the Harvard Prof in charge did not believe Arctic methane was a possibility !!!  Remember that methane will arrive from three sources, geological, microbial and the release from thawing frozen hydrates; all from vast areas previously frozen we never visit nor can visualise in their seemingly endless expanse, ie East Siberian ice shelf which exists in huge swathes of shallow sea.

Interestingly Stuarts presentation included ‘Villian of the Day’ naming Theresa May in which she has sanctioned fracking and fossil fuel infrastructure; I don’t know details.

 

 

Also, a brief list ….

Home Page 3

https://paulbeckwith.net/https://paulbeckwith.net/

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

Home

Home

 

 

 

Climate change… a worthwhile hour.

I would normally never cope with / tolerate / be bothered with an hour long vid but this treatment is most worthwhile. Its a good vid and needs to be required viewing for many many people on this planet.

For instance telling us…

… 03:35 Arctic temp rise is now six times faster than global average not times two as per outdated IPCC presentations.

… of the ‘stiffs’ at the IPCC I mean non-functioning bods (it was a charade actually) that as we are told are twenty years behind the times ie current thinking at 05:20

IPCC = a misleading impression. These two men will tell you the IPCC is laughable, a joke amongst the Climate Community. Twenty years behind the time.

*What I’ll do in the next day or so is work up the salient points into a buletted list, hour long vids as much as they are welcomed are difficult to fit in to my schedule and need to get lots done.

 

What can we do about general media, Fox News and other such unthinking yet biased populist nonsense?  Realise that my own interest of chemtrails has been so entangled unfortunately deliberately with nonsense theories that its v difficult to get the average person to take on board that aircraft trails in the sky warrant a suspicious eye. For newbies : some trails stay around and haze yet oldtime conventional trails merely evaporate, turn to nothing.  So what is going on when we get hazy obscured skies ? Please think, please question.

Fox are clever, they medicate their product with a reinforcing populist viewpoint that is engineered / premeditated to draw viewers to their bosom. Its all agenda, increasingly is so, to be on message, to promote a viewpoint. Choice is often now not to learn but to receive reinforcemnt of ones own viewpoint. Retro retarded bigots just love it …..

Rates of change and alterations are expotential, ie not a linear response. This is the quite frightening interconnectedness of the climate system on the planet ie jet stream, arctic temperature, water temps and movements and leads to methane release which will sky rocket the whole system onto another more horrible level. My loose terms here are intentional using ‘horrible’ meaning theres nothing we can do, the numbers self reinforce and all egg each other on into an unknown scenario ad infinitum. Think of crop failure, altered rain pattern, the limit of human sufferance due to heat (hence trump and his need of a wall indicating he does recognise climate change) … loss of human cognisance, reasoning and will, unable to function … or question.