COP26 failure…

One country India should not have been allowed to water down the COP26 statement re coal use, the general concensus and plain common sense dictates how we should proceed. Its no use the individual doing his or her best to minimise carbon footprint when its the big emitters and industries that must offer clout and crunch the big numbers.

A statement, merely something on paper, this is what men in suits do best, when will the scientists and engineers be given chance to show their best? I think an alternative to COP needs to be instigated, I would hope such a thing is happening right now. But if you read and listen to tone and the possible outcome of many experts on this, those at the sharp end with knowledge, direct observation and data they too think as I do that a vast chemistry set of reactions has been set in motion and I doubt theres much we can do. For instance look at jet stream, arctic warming, Greenland ice melt, ocean plankton, etc etc.

COP26 was feeble, an obfuscation, fiddling whilst Rome burns.

In all practicality with impending arctic methane and the interconnectedness of amplifying feedbacks its all just window dressing so to speak but as responsible adults and responsible nations we must do our best, we must never give up on this. Though it would be useful to think we could look back and think we did our best the scene set is not good and immediate practical effect of our efforts looks very poor indeed. One point five will soon look irrelevant to everyone, it will blow away in the breeze, but if it helps minds focus then so be it.

Watching silly billionaires pour their money into junk spaceflights and super yachts is uncomfortable to watch; shame upon them, pity we couldn’t boycott their activities, I never have been keen on Amazon anyway. A glorified shopkeeper!

http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/

note in the above the heat over vast at present still withheld gas reserves in northern Canada and likewise the heat exactly over the shallow Laptev Sea ie northern Siberia. In time and we are already in my opinion at that point the Arctic instead of cooling the planet will become a vast engine, an agency of heating, our enemy so to speak. Its only in recent years scientists are working out the worlds water circulation into the Arctic, the importance and danger between fresh and saline, warm and cold.

Ice is funny stuff, once huge bodies of it ie the Greenland ice sheet is most obviously melting with endless melt pools and rivers falling thousands of feet into the interior of the ice massif then theres nothing that in all practicality can be done to halt this process. In pure vengeance I’d like to winch trump and his cronies beneath a helicopter and dump them in the middle of the fast thawing wilderness, a childish idea perhaps, but for the harm and delay they have caused I think perfectly justifiable.

Watch out for methane which exists in three forms, vast trapped reserves, subsea frozen hydrate and as the result of a warming of ancient carbon deposits now being prompted to microbial activity. As repeated already the irony of burning ancient diatomaceous oil and associated gas deposits has led to their oceanic demise, thats half of the world CO2 conversion gone, increasing CO2 also means trees and green land based CO2 conversion activity will also decrease, its their natural reaction. Fun times ahead.

postscript, please read arctic-news.blogspot … here i copy and paste re methane and the IPCC total refusal to acknowledge its importance or apparently its existence !!!

copy and paste …”One of the largest threats is seafloor methane and despite repeated warning from some of the best experts in the field, the IPCC simply waves away this threat. This and other elements in the bar have been discussed in detail in many earlier posts such as this one and on the extinction page.”

loony stupid headlines re climate change …

Whatever numskull produced this headline / news tag?

“LOSS OF GLACIERS WILL HURT TOURISM” ….

https://www.mail.com/int/scitech/news/11273142-loss-glaciers-will-hurt-tourism-power-supplies.html#.1258-stage-rightcolumn1-2

My response to this sheer level of stupidity is not printable here, there aren’t enough naughty words on the keyboard.

Chemtrails UK…

This morning it was obvious chemtrail overhead at 0900, by 11:00 the sky was much clouded, grey and 90% obscured.

Chemtrails north east England, theres also chemtrail directly above, out of shot. 09:49gmt 8th Nov 2021.

There was at least eight trails in the sky, both above and to my left out of shot.

None of this is conventional condensation trail, it is chemtrail.

Please explore my blog, learn about my DQA reporting system for daily chemtrail observation, of the effects of chemtrail nano-particle aluminium particularly west coast USA, the work of Frances Mangels retired Fisheries Biologist and the tragic demise of life in lakes and rivers. Also seabird collapse from starvation, exacerbation of wildfires from chemtrail aluminium build-up etc etc etc …..

Here below is NASA Worldview for the same day, the time of data capture I’m not sure, I’m guessing late morning; however by 11am the sky was much obscured anyway at this location. Chemtrail whitens the sky, induces cloud cover/ reaction and if over-applied can set the sky into a quite un-natural reaction, something I witnessed at this location two or three years ago. There is lots on this blog re chemtrail. Please realise I have given this time and attention, I am used to technical subjects and observation over an extended period of time, ie days, weeks, months, whatever.

I merely observe and record, I am most wary of ‘assumptions’.

Chemtrail north east England and North Sea … https://go.nasa.gov/3bYr79X

Below is a screen capture of 5th Nov 2021 of the English Channel, very good evidence chemtrails are real and true.

Chemtrail English Channel, inc Dover, London, Essex 5th Nov 2021… https://go.nasa.gov/30angED

I was steam-rollered, jackbooted and literally forced into …

… having to accept against my will a ‘condensing boiler‘ most certainly against my wishes and remember its me that foots the bill (for in this case something i did not want) ie a replacement central heating boiler of the newer ‘condensing type’. This would be say eight years ago and cost me £1,700 GBP.

When the young man left after totting up I’m guessing £700 for ten hours labour (which is more than double any hourly rate I have ever charged never mind pocketed as a wage, in fact three times the amount on invoicable monies alone) …. I was left with gaping holes to fill and particularly with no immersion heater for instant hot water and the facility to air our clothing etc in the aptly named ‘airing cupboard on the upstairs bedroom level! Its particularly jarring to me we lost the immersion heater upstairs.

In winter it kept upstairs warm too, taking the edge off the cold. maybe indicating an inefficiency, but appreciated and of course now lost.

Point of this post and something that i only realised yesterday is that the super-duper pile of crap called the condensing boiler is in fact now seeming itself as out of date and backward when with the modern push to eliminating gas fired boilers now elevates the long uninstalled immersion heater I reckon as looking so much more attractive (its electric not the now shamed gas) and attractive to the ‘powers that be’ the authorities and the bright bunnies running around oh so desperate to install the latest. I wish them well in their Spanish villas and three car families and unfettered consumerism fuelled by decades of insisting on the installation of gas fired condensing boilers at very juicy hourly rates, certainly not a lifestyle of mine. In actual fact i hope they fall flat on their face and i look forward to once again having an immersion heater in the airing cupboard.

copyright climate-change-briefing.com 2021 E&OE

IPCC

The IPCC is an organisation I am very sceptical of, the experts are ‘hand-sorted’ so to speak which as we know with the lamentable omission of Prof Peter Wadhams in their last big science-fest a few years ago and so by not publishing his work (the considerations of a world ranking Arctic ice expert) … this means mostly the IPCC can only offer a sanitised and diluted version of what could actually happen to us all.

Heres a case in point of the IPCC not liking the extent of what could occur in the next few years re climate change and how they throw out of the window any modelling that scares or offends them, its bad science, selective science of the worst sort, be sure to look at the chart …

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/07/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-forecasts-future-warming

It must be remembered that if we model climate on a childs eight inch football the portion that we inhabit ie half a mile up and half a mile down equates to the thickness of a cigarette paper, one thousandths of an inch which is half the thickness of a human hair… FACT.

This means the chemistry set known as our worldwide climate systems are easily jarred and reactive to new ingredients ie temperature, ocean flow, atmospheric modifications, jet stream modification, ice loss, methane eruption, carbon particles ie dust, the loss of algal activity in the oceans, changing weather patterns over whole continents, etc etc.

In other words ‘crazy cussed stuff’ … such as drought where we don’t want it (lets say Americas grainbelt or Chinas rice bowl) and rain where it should not be for example in the Gobi Desert or the Himalayas (just guessing). Today we hear in the news that California is losing its electricity supply, upstream theres not enough water to power the hydro-electric generators.

Therefore in the above link which exposes the IPCC dislike of what could happen and refusal to accept modelling for a more catastrophic future than they are prepared to admit, I personally go with Sam Carana and fear the temperature rise will be greater than any contemplated by the IPCC, we are being spoon fed only what is deemed digestible by certain experts and vested interest.

What is fundamental to all this forecasting and modelling is that EVERYTHING seems somehow to be involved in a myriad of self reinforcing feedback loops. For instance today we hear on the news that Siberian fires are releasing carbon particles right up into the North Pole, this was easily seen on NASA Worldview a few days ago. Therefore the ice becomes darker, absorbs heat quicker and … BINGO melts faster from above, never mind the warmer water attacking from beneath. It will be near an instantaneous event when all ice ‘flashes’ from the Arctic, an event of probably weeks, months but not decades.

We have to fight, we cannot go down without a fight, but will it do any good? Not really.

It saddens me that hubris, name it what you will, will never un-mend peoples needs for vehicles of any sort which always one way or another carry huge carbon costs in manufacture and huge problems of disposal.

  • We need to live near our work, to walk there or maybe an electric or hydrogen trolleybus.
  • We need a one child policy everywhere. And applaud those with no children.
  • Car ownership of any sort needs to be a rarer thing.
  • Vastly reduce the American style burger culture.
  • Much reduce airflight for personal and even business need.
  • Minimise food waste, ie see your supermarket near closing, trolleyfulls of meat for disposal!
  • Only eat what you need.
  • Look at the footprint for concrete as a building material.
  • Look at the longevity of wind production, not so green.
  • etc etc name anything you like, there will be a downside to it!

If we lived ‘biblically’ simple farmers and traders and craftspeople I’m sure we would not be in this mess.

Will any of the above bullet points help us all … not really.

My evening window …

… is open!

But no moths in two hours whatsoever have entered into my kitchen and this is from a large garden full of established shrubs and including beyond countless various nooks and crannies.

There is something wrong, that is for sure.

But a google search reveals next to nothing of up to the minute (or year) moth decline here in the UK.

Luckily my garden displays maturity, complex planting ie a great jumble of many different things and many many niche environments, all mostly never disturbed by any human ie me.

As per usual after the summer solstice the nights seem to be cutting in quickly. This is not something I revel in, luckily a couple of nights ago I treat myself to a car ride up to where for near twenty years we fed horses and me n whatever pet dog went round on our circular walk of an hour. The place is loaded with memories, I fully realise the value of this ‘extra-curricular activity’ and am moving toward when time permitting to ‘get out more’ to stay in touch with this focus of location from years gone past.

The June shutdown of birdsong seemed early this year, I generally name it as the ‘June 13th shutdown’, but this year things seem a bit off course, earlier. A pigeons nest I suspect rock pigeon, was found destroyed and eggs scattered in my garden this morning. I wonder at the new tenants in the let property next door, very cat orientated but also I suspect against garden birds and their song. Why do I think this …. leylandii next door felled to zilch, I suspect her complaints, a dark woman I suspect wanting her own way, I doubt she’ll have much to do with me. Also obviously ‘very set in their ways’, as if at thirty five going on seventy.

Good news is that both birdboxes on rear of house host bee colonies. My garden provides lots of flowering plants, but I look further afield at neighbouring gardens and its a pathetic spectacle, I look around and all is barren, ignorant nothingness and I reckon the birds, insects and small animals likewise think the same. I think its fair to say they vote with their feet so to speak and most winged things flock to my place.

Climate change, a laymans guide.

I often feel there is difficulty in finding or locating the latest on climate change ie increasing methane, ice loss, feedback loops etc.

This overview by Sam Carana holds up well, succinct and eminently digestible for the layman; I am a layman.   http://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/extinction.html

It illustrates the stacking pernicious influences which in themselves arithmetically ensure sufficiently our downfall and even for this guaranteed scenario Sam Carana plays a light touch re the inevitable compounding and accelerating positive feedback loops that will push us into a whole new series of situations. Its all a quite dire mix, highly ironic as its mainly the consumption of oil and gas from ancient diatoms that has led to our demise, taking away the fundamental first layer of oceanic food chain and 20% of the worlds CO2 >O conversion. And yet no-one has ever seen a diatom with the naked eye.

I think I’m correct in saying it was independent scientist James Lovelock that discovered the gas DMS a product of oceanic plankton and its importance. I suggest read his autobiography, an instructive blend of practical science, talent and an independent thinking mind.

Also …  https://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/dms–the-climate-gas-youve-never-heard-of/

Sam Carana in a more recent post highlights the disregard paid by the latest IPCC (Sept 2019) briefing / report in which NO FIGURE IS QUOTED for the effects of subsea methane in its three forms, frozen hydrates, microbial, capped gas deposits. The IPCC are criminal in this neglect. However not as criminal as donald trump in the rolling back and eradication of decades of wise strategies to husband the planet more sensibly; but of course trump would know nothing of the natural world.

 

Northern Canada: +22C when it should be zero.

Yikes, ultra creepy temp increase  … anything that says by 2100 Greenland Ice Massif will be gone … more like 2026 I’d say. This end of 2026 point in time is when i would think we are somewhere at a minimum of  3 to 4C global warming, you can wave goodbye to anything like a piddling 2C prediction … quite laughable sticking to 2C considering the interconnectedness of natures climate systems and feedback loops. If I’m not correct then I will donate £1k GBP to charities, no quibble.  Remember, the accelerating nature of ice melt is working against us, any child knows wake up next morning and it can often be an exasperating sight to see all the ice and snow mostly gone overnight as often happens here in northern England. Realise too that with increased ice-melt the freshwater adds to increasing humidity and rainfall. Therefore no albedo effect ie the reflective nature of a white landscape is lost and ad infinitum heat absorbancy spirals way beyond most publicly available predictions. Permafrost becomes mush, methane tumbles upwards from microbial, geological and thawing hydrate; better sort some space for all the oxygen cylinders we will need.

And then what ?

 

Heres a pic of what its like up there in NWT … https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/mackenzie-valley-winter-road-closed-1.5064202

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/truck-plunges-deline-ice-road-1.3477869

 

Postscript; thinking of ice loss, not even the term logarithmic in relationship to volume decay is applicable when the temperature is rapidly increasing as in the North West Territories cited above, any ‘steady state’ conformity to plotting arithmetic curves or laws of decay goes out the window or into the newly formed lake. Again, thinking of childhood observation of a quick thaw here in temperate England, all the melt seemed to merely sink into the earth itself which in a permafrost situation up north is the last thing we need. So therefore in my mind most ‘predictions’ are invalid, unreal because thawing ice behaves in its own unique way. Its back to what I fear by 2026.

At least i’m doing ‘something’ even if its quite by chance or the new circumstances of my wife passing away three years ago which has enabled me to do things differently, ie much reduced mileage in the car as I’m happier being nearer to home (I’m the ideal profile for an electric vehicle) …  washing machine bust and won’t be replaced, plastic bucket and a clothes line do all i want as theres no real dirt or grime to remove. Keeping the computer switched off most hours also helps in several ways, use books more, increase pleasure in sketching, copying, taking notes, memorise things … we don’t always need to be up on the latest news online, theres much human knowledge that is as good now as it was forty or a hundred years ago. I’ve no tv through choice and this suits me, bbc r3 and 4 provide sufficient, no mobile either and I’ve uninstalled the wireless remote heating thermostat. The only modern luxury I wish to retain is my central heating system and the pleasure of a hot bath !

Spinning and tumbling clothes dry here in England can be severely cut back and perhaps eliminated in many households, the washing line does all these things; particularly as these last few years we seldom have the rainfall here in NE England that we used to have.

Thinking is an ongoing thing …

How sad to see the present state of the Mueller report ie Tuesday 26th March 2019.

trump most certainly in his outward at least low brow fashion most definitely will insist all thinking upon the matter is now closed. To shut down any intellectual or plain basic common sense enquiry to the trump mind is now dead and finished. How sad.

What prompted me to write this post is this bizarre piece from the bbc …. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-47698811

Wow, some sort of collective lobotomy must certainly have occurred in the bbc news room to issue such biased unthinking nonsense. I will say in bbc defence their evening radio programme ‘The World Tonight’ 10pm r4 generally has more bite to it, closer to some critical thinking.

To inject some ‘thinking’ into this post, to help join up the many crappy little dots called the trump Administration and all the dirty connections lets read a critique to the situation so far ….. https://wordpress.com/read/feeds/2663585/posts/2219372963

We also read this morning that a billion dollars is going via a military conduit for the needless wall under completely needless and mis-applied Emergency Powers. Theres already sufficient wall in all the places that matter, ‘the wall’ to trump is merely a hellbent dogma spewed at rallies to whip the crowd up and give ’em something to think about meantime. Remember his backdrop of rally attendees are handpicked for the camera, the man in the hard hat etc all stereotypes and recently once he had shouted ‘bullshit’ to the crowd he triggered a pre-arranged chant of ‘USA USA USA’ etc. Its all a con, all fakery, something he excells in, stage managed like a tv reality show, one must admit possibly the most qualified in the country to do so.

trumps wall is totally needless, merely an exercise in human misery (and impending climate change which he will not openly admit) ….. to aid protect the excessively wealthy when everything ‘goes wrong’ for the ordinary person. When trump says he’s going to get ‘the mexicans’ to pay for the wall he really means the taxpayer. This is plain and simple trumps flip-flop reversal in so many instances. He calls the media fake when he himself is exercising fakery on a Grand Scale!

Now that Muellers Report is proving a watered down version of what most people had hoped for trump feels vindicated and emboldened for further new levels of craziness, incompetence and affront to decency and good sense. To push the unspoken agenda of his bigotted cohorts themselves mostly pickled in excessive wealth and utterly remote from ordinary peoples aspirations, hopes and fears.

Lets do some more ‘thinking’ …. this man Robert Reich can aid evaluation of how nasty and hopeless trump really is. He’ll say anything to win praise, to gain support at that instant.  Maybe hopeless isn’t the right word, more like ‘say anything at the time to protect his position’…. I had a mother like that and maybe thats why i hate such underhand deceit.

trump cares nothing for the ordinary person, for education, medical assistance or basic priveliges or rights for the ordinary general population. All are signs of totalitarianism / Fascism. His vacuous and quite useless promises re coal are hopelessly out of date, of bringing back jobs again hopelessly out of date and his denigration of for instance China quite obscene considering how much profit the West makes from importing goods from China. trump will bankrupt America much as he has done with his own inherited wealth. trump will say anything for a five second soundbite.